Data compiled by the State Bank of
Pakistan shows that Pakistan’s IT export revenue
totalled less than $50 million in fiscal 2004-05, rising
to just under $75 million in fiscal 2005-06 - which is a
tiny fraction of India’s estimated global IT revenue of
$36 billion.
According to the Pakistan Software
Export Board, however, the size of Pakistan’s IT
industry, including global export receipts, export
earnings retained outside the country, domestic IT
services and hardware, is "probably considerably
understated."
PSEB’s managing director, Yusuf
Hussain, says that a BearingPoint study titled
"Strategy for increasing exports of BPO"
(prepared in October 2005) placed Pakistan’s global IT
revenue in fiscal 2004-05 at around $400 million.
Hussain says: "The basis of the
figure was the State Bank of Pakistan’s IT export
revenue figures of just under $50 million. BP multiplied
this figure by 2 to account for IT export revenue brought
into the country but not registered with the State Bank.
BP further estimated that for each dollar brought into the
country, three dollars are retained by Pakistani companies
overseas. Therefore, global IT revenue of Pakistani
companies added up in fiscal 2004-05 to $400 million.
Therefore, for official IT export figure of just under $75
million reported by the SBP for fiscal 2005-06, actual
global receipts of Pakistani IT firms should be around
$600 million."
PSEB says that the State Bank is
"not reporting Call Centre Revenue under IT exports,
and that the PSEB is working with the SPB to correct this
anomaly." Should global IT export revenue - rather
than export earnings - be used as the key measure for
exports? According to the PSEB, it should - if that is the
international norm.
In support of this contention, the PSEB
cites the fact that a "Trade in Services Brief"
prepared by the World Trade Organisation’s International
Trade Centre in Geneva in 2004 lists "Mode 3,"
i.e., revenue generated by commercial offices overseas,
and "Mode 4," i.e., compensation received by
temporary workers who have travelled abroad, as export
revenue streams which must be included in trade revenue
calculations.
Even if this argument is accepted,
however, there is no getting away from the fact that
Pakistan’s IT export revenue is a pittance. The question
is, why?
IT firms say that one reason for this
is that personal agendas in the government undermine
industry objectives. They say that PSEB, the facilitating
arm of the government, is actually telling the industry
what to do instead of asking the industry what policy
measures are needed to boost export revenue.
IT firms say that a lot of money is
being spent by government functionaries on visiting
software parks in China, India, Singapore, Turkey,
Malaysia and other countries. "What is so different
about the mechanics or infrastructure of an IT park that
it needs to be seen up close in so many
destinations?" says an industry executive.
Government functionaries have been
talking about software parks for the last four years, but
nothing has materialised yet.
The Pakistan Software Export Board,
which is a government-owned private limited company
registered in the Ministry of Information Technology, has
a large number of employees who, according to IT firms,
"contribute very little to the growth of the
sector."
Each PSEB project has a project
manager, and there is a director for each function -
Marketing International, Marketing Domestic, Legal, IT,
Human Resources, etc.
Industry executives say that Rs 100
million a month is being spent on maintaining the PSEB.
"Think of how this money could be used to fund
various activities to promote the IT sector," says an
industry executive.
PSEB, for its part, says that it has
taken a number of steps to promote Pakistan’s IT sector.
It says it conducted an internal study entitled
"Assessment of IT Professionals in Pakistan" in
2005, which reported the figure at 75,000. It also
sponsored an "IT HR Needs Assessment Study"
conducted by BCCI FAST in 2005.
PSEB says a detailed study is required
to accurately estimate Pakistan’s IT revenue and provide
a basis for planning. It says it plans to retain an
international IT research firm to conduct such a study.
But there is no indication so far of just when this study
will be carried out.
It is not clear just what PSEB’s role
is in promoting the IT sector. An E-Governance Directorate
already exists for automation projects for government
bodies. IT firms say that PSEB "should stop
undermining the steps that the private sector takes to
help itself." They say: "PSEB is the government,
and must stop interfering and dipping its fingers in every
pie."
The Ministry of Information Technology
has shown little interest in promoting or developing the
IT sector. Its focus has been totally on
telecommunications.
Following liberalisation and
deregulation of the telecom sector, teledensity in
Pakistan crossed 20 per cent in 2006 from a mere 4 per
cent in 2003. Pakistan now has 5.4 million fixed-line
subscribers and 46.4 million cellular phone subscribers,
as against only 3.6 million and 1.4 million, respectively,
in 2002. Wireless Local Loop (WLL) services are available
in more than 160 cities in Pakistan and the number of WLL
subscribers increased to 1.4 million in November 2006 from
81,000 in January 2005.
With internet connectivity now
available in over 2,300 cities, towns and villages, there
are now more than 2 million internet subscribers in the
country.
Issues affecting the growth of Pakistan’s
IT industry include a lack of ready, usable office space
available for existing companies to grow into. Many
companies have offices in two or three locations within a
city because of insufficient space availability in any one
location.
New companies, investors and expatriate
Pakistanis returning home to set up IT companies are
disappointed at the unavailability of a ready, hi-tech
office environment where a young, vibrant industry can
flourish and grow.
Other impediments include
connectivity/bandwidth issues, power back-up issues,
exhibition/showcasing issues, and a ready environment with
everything at close access - a real IT park where young
professionals can innovate, can interact, can carry out R
& D, can work as teams and develop their talents.
Secure surroundings for showcasing are another issue.
Tax policy issues affecting the
industry is another area that needs to be looked at by the
government. Hi-end computer components and equipment like
servers, networking equipment, etc. is all imported at a
15 per cent tax. This tax is a big hindrance in fulfilling
demand requirements and needs to be done away with. India
has a zero-tax regime for computer equipment imports to
allow its IT industry to spread its wings.
Human resource issues include problems
arising from the fact that most Pakistani universities are
still not providing the kind of education that is needed
by the IT industry. The curricula are still outdated.
Lecturers and professors still lack quality - the Higher
Education Commission’s programme has been "a waste
of money that has produced low-quality PhDs," say
critics.
No IT-related R&D is being done at
most of the universities. R&D, funded by the
government but driven by industry, needs to be a major
requirement of all university engineering and computer
science programmes. Things like the National ICT R&D
Fund exist, but are limited to paper. Who will administer
the fund? And companies are still perplexed about how to
actually get this funding.
Most funds are going into numerous
consultant reports full of recommendations by Gartner,
etc. But there is nothing beyond commissioning a report by
some international consultant. There is no execution
capability.
Education in Pakistan is not preparing
young people to be confident and good communicators with a
thirst for knowledge and innovation. There is a great gap
between the quality of supply and the demand for
IT-related human resources.
The government needs to give away large
areas of land to private IT learning centres of
excellence. Give land and give control (rather than be a
watchdog), and watch IT firms flourish. The reality is
that there are large budgets for most things except
education.