Financial sector plays a pivotal role in the national
economy. The privatisation process and market competition is making it
more and more competitive and attractive for the consumers of selected
segments of society. Nevertheless, it has yet to make big strides in
national economy particularly with reference to project financing despite
the fact that it has already gone a long way to give impetus to economic
growth due to consumer financing.
One of the grey areas where the financial sector is yet
to show its commitment is micro-financing that has become synonymous with
poverty alleviation. The success of Grameen Bank in Bangladesh under the
leadership of Noble Laureate Dr Yunis Khan and its satellite
branches/offices in a few other developing countries, the micro-finance
magic is a proven phenomenon.
What exactly is micro-financing? How does it really
differ from commercial financing? Why should commercial bankers step into
it? Should it be exclusively left to the government to share the burden of
alleviating poverty? These and a few other questions are attracting the
attention of bankers, economists, social scientists and government policy
makers.
Quest for micro-financing
During 90s socio-economic and political developments
triggered a sort of chain reaction of events that were conducive for
increasing poverty and social inequality in the country. Consequently,
according to official information poverty increased to 30.6 per cent by
1998-99 and further increased to 34.4 per cent by 2000-01 because after
1999 the government had the compulsion of pursuing tight fiscal policy to
reduce fiscal deficit as demanded by the IMF. During first three years of
present government’s seven years rule, economic growth remained subdued
to slightly more than 3.0 per cent of GDP. It picked up subsequently and
according to government’s claim poverty stood reduced to 23.9 per cent
by the end of FY2004-05. These figures are contested by independent
analysts. The WB estimates that poverty has reduced by more than 5.0 per
cent only despite a high average economic growth of more than 7.0 per cent
during past four years. The government is committed to reducing poverty by
half, that is, to around 17.0 per cent by 2015 to achieve the UN MDGs. It
wants to achieve these goals through high economic growth and by enhancing
the role of micro-financing.
Micro-financing is recognised as an effective tool of
pulling poor and vulnerable segments of a society out of poverty by
creating self-reliant business opportunities for them by lending small
loans at comparatively reduced interest rates with minimum documentation
or collateral. It is one of the major pillars of Pakistan’s poverty
reduction strategy. Since FY02 micro-finance disbursement has been on the
increase from Rs1.0 billion to Rs6.06 billion during FY06. According to an
estimate during past four financial years total disbursement has been more
than Rs10.0 billion and the number of beneficiaries has increased to more
than 1.0million. Pakistan’s first micro-finance bank, Kushhali Bank has
been playing a leading role in extending credit to poor borrowers. The
bank has 150 outlets in 88 districts of the country and has plans to
extend its reach to poverty-hit areas of FATA. According to Kushhali Bank
president "we are operating a sustainable model for removing poverty
in the country and were being helped by the ADB that provided $150.0
million to the Bank." The Kushhali Bank is also utilising $320.0
million provided by the ADB for this purpose.
According to press reports, the SBP is presently
processing around a dozen applications for establishing micro-finance
banks and one-third of them are likely to be allowed to establish the
banks. Only a sizable number of micro-finance banks with a commitment to
reach out to the poor segments of the society can dent poverty in the
country. But, there are a few reservations about functioning of
micro-finance banks in the country compared to the working of mother bank
of micro-financing, the Grameen Bank of Bangladesh.
The most significant point in this context is about the
rate of interest that the micro-finance banks charge on disbursed loans.
The Kushhali Bank charges an interest rate that varies from minimum 20.0
per cent to maximum 30.0 per cent. It is an extremely high interest rate
by any stretch of imagination particularly when it is to be paid by
members of deprived segments of society who borrow small loans to pursue
small business to become self-reliant financially. The First Micro Credit
Bank owned by Agha Khan Foundation and the First Women Bank Limited
established by the federal government are providing micro-credit at lower
interest rate of around 14.0 per cent.
In addition to the issue of high interest rate, the
banks demand tough documentation. They work as a deterrent for the poor
loan seekers not to opt for it. It is therefore, imperative to
successfully manage micro-financing as a tool of poverty alleviation by
reducing interest rates and minimising the requirements of documentation.
The second important point is about empowering women in
the country. The experience of Grameen Bank clearly shows that women are
highly reliable and responsible borrowers. This should prove equally
correct in Pakistan also.
The demands on micro-financing are tremendous in case
one were to look at the huge task on reducing poverty and empowering the
women. In absolute term, according to one estimate the number of poor
persons has decreased from 49.23million in 2001 to 36.45million in
2004-05. This is a very huge number to be pulled out of poverty in the
midst of serious problems of unemployment, low wages, high inflation
particularly of food items that runs into two digits. According to an
analysis there are around 10.0 million households in the country who need
micro-credit. A large number of these people live in far-flung and remote
areas of the country where access is limited.
Government’s strategy
Poverty alleviation is a global issue and is also the
concern of UN, multilateral organisations and developed countries. WB
Report-2007 estimates about quantum of poverty in 2004 compared to 1990
are quite revealing. According to the report, "proportion of people
living on less than $1.0 a day fell to 18.4 per cent in 2004 leaving an
estimated 985million people living in extreme poverty compared to total
number of 1.25 billion in 1990. Two-dollar a day poverty rates are falling
too, but an estimated 2.6 billion people, almost half the population of
the developing world are still living below that level in 2004."
According to the report the developing countries have
achieved a solid 3.9 per cent annual growth in GDP per capita a year since
2000. It contributed to rapidly falling poverty rates nearly in all
developing regions.
High growth in China between 1990-2004 and in other
South Asian economies, according to the WB estimates helped reducing
poverty for more than 260million people. In direct contrast to reduction
in poverty in Asian countries, the number of people living in extreme
poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa has remained the same as it was in 1990,
298million because the region has remained politically unstable. This is a
matter of concern for all those who really want to see poverty reduced
among the developing and least developing countries.
Poverty alleviation in Pakistan is a challenging
problem. It, in fact, "goes beyond growth and poverty rates."
Problems allied with poverty manifest themselves in widening gap of income
inequalities among different segments of society, inter-provinces and
intra-provinces income inequalities and lack of social sector development
that adversely affects health and education for the poor, lower and
mid-level segments of the society despite increase in per capita income.
Factors such as fiscal and monetary imbalances are
showing up in terms of high rate of inflation, unmanageable current
account and fiscal deficit and increase in public debt. They are making
the task of reducing poverty difficult. With a heavy baggage of these
issues, will the government’s two pronged strategy of sustaining high
economic growth, higher spending in public sector and invigorating
micro-financing really alleviate poverty in the short and long term
perspective?
The strategy should deliver the result, that is,
Pakistan should be in a position to reduce poverty by half by 2015. Even
if one were to go by the WB figure of reduction in poverty by around 5.0
per cent in the country against 10.0 per cent reduction in poverty given
by the government officials, it should be satisfying. At least there is
breakthrough in addressing the problem. Economic growth is likely to be
more than 7.0 per cent by the end of current fiscal year because of around
4.0 per cent growth in agriculture sector and high growth in the
manufacturing and services sector. This would have a positive effect on
poverty alleviation.
Conclusion
The real issue is about having a sustainable economic
growth and implementing fiscal and monetary policies along with
administrative measures that safeguard economic interests of the general
public. Micro-financing despite being an effective tool of poverty
alleviation, has a limited role. The government, should therefore, focus
on sustaining macro-economic stability and higher economic growth by
improving upon key economic fundamentals such as tax-to-GDP ratio, fiscal
and trade deficit, inflation and public debt. They are key to reducing
poverty as the Chinese and other Southeast Asian experience has amply
demonstrated.