The economy of Iran is a transition
economy where a continuing strong labour force growth
unmatched by commensurate real economic growth is
driving up unemployment to a level considerably higher
than the official estimate of 11 per cent. According to
experts, annual economic growth above five per cent
would be needed to keep pace with the 900,000 new labour
force entrants each year.
Government spending as percent of
total budget was 6 per cent for health care, 16 per cent
for education and 8 per cent for the military in the
period 1992-2000 and contributed to an average annual
inflation rate of 14 per cent in the period 2000-2004,
although some unofficial estimates place the figure
above 20 per cent today. Iranian budget deficits have
been a chronic problem, in part due to large-scale state
subsidies totaling more than $40 billion per year (40
per cent of the government's budget in 2006), including
foodstuffs and especially gasoline.
The Government is attempting to
diversify away from oil by investing revenues in other
areas of the economy, including, car manufacturing,
aerospace industries, consumer electronics,
petrochemicals and nuclear technology. Also, Iran has a
great potential for development in mining, information
and communication technology (ICT).
Pre-revolutionary Iran's economic
development was rapid. Traditionally an agricultural
society, by the 1970s, Iran had achieved significant
industrialization and economic modernization. However,
the pace of growth had slowed dramatically by 1978, just
before the Islamic revolution.
Iran's long-term objectives since the
1979 revolution have been economic independence, full
employment, and a comfortable standard of living for its
citizens, but at the end of the 20th century the
country's economic future was lined with obstacles.
Iran's population more than doubled in that period, and
its population grew increasingly young. In a country
that has traditionally been both rural and agrarian,
agricultural production has fallen consistently since
the 1960s (by the late 1990s Iran was a major food
importer), and economic hardship in the countryside has
driven vast numbers of people to migrate to the largest
cities.
The rates of both literacy and life
expectancy in Iran are high for the region, but so, too,
is the unemployment rate, and inflation is regularly in
the range of 20 percent annually. Iran remains highly
dependent on its one major industry, the extraction of
petroleum and natural gas for export, and the government
faces increasing difficulty in providing opportunities
for a younger, better-educated workforce, which has led
to a growing sense of frustration among lower- and
middle-class Iranians.
After the end of hostilities with
Iraq in 1988, the government tried to develop the
country's communication, transportation, manufacturing,
energy infrastructures (including its prospective
nuclear power facilities) and hospitals & schools
and has begun the process of integrating its
communication and transportation systems with those of
neighbouring states.
Five-Year Economic Development
Plan (2005-10)
The Fourth Five-Year Economic
Development Plan (2005-10) sets the guidelines and
points the direction in which the trade sector will be
taking over the next five years. The focus has been on
expanding trade interaction with the global community
and pursuing an active presence in international
markets. To achieve this would require raising exports
substantially. Another area of focus has been to develop
free trade zones and turning them into gateways to
international markets.
On the domestic front, the priority
has been to improve social justice and the overall
situation; i.e. regulating the domestic market on the
one hand, and maintaining a well-functioning supply of
basic commodities on the other. The latter would need
improving the subsidy distribution system to relieve the
government of the huge financial burden on subsidy
payments. Another obligation the plan places on the
government is to provide economic justification for the
pricing of basic commodities and public services.