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Demand
for New International Economic
Order should be revived
Negotiations
on major economic issues facing the world economy have been in progress,
albeit at a painfully slow pace - both within and outside the United
Nations
By Aftab Ahmad Khan
Since the late
1950s the Third World has been articulating it’s dissatisfaction with
the global economic institutions and with the international arrangements
and patterns of financial flows, trade, commodity pricing and technology
transfer.
The non-aligned movement
is itself a manifestation of this assertion of will. The Group of 77 has
been both active and vocal. The calculated raising of oil prices by the
oil producing countries in 1973 was another expression of the same will.
The growing strength of the movement for Islamic solidarity must also be
placed in the same category. Negotiations on major economic issues facing
the world economy have been in progress, albeit at a painfully slow pace -
both within and outside the United Nations.
In this process two
resolutions of the General Assembly have outlined the main features of the
desired change. The first is the 1974 resolution on the establishment of a
New International Economic Order (NIEO). The second is the Charter of
Economic Rights and Duties of State also adopted in 1974. While the first
outlines the main areas and directions of change, the second sets about
the principles in achieving and maintaining a new order. A series of other
world conferences have examined and recommended changes in every major
area of international economic relations.
Independent efforts at
North-South dialogue have sought mutually beneficial relationships. The
efforts of the Brandt Commission in this direction have been widely
acclaimed. The South Commission which was set up in 1986 as an independent
group of eminent persons from developing countries under the chairmanship
of former President Julius Nyrere in its report released in 1990 titled,
“The Challenge to the South” also made a commendable effort to focus
attention on the flaws of the existing global economic order and has
illuminated critical areas of national and international policy germane to
development in the Third World.
The main proposals
associated with the establishment of NIEO are as follows:
(a) Measures to provide
a just and equitable relationship between the prices of exports and the
prices of imports in the developing counties with a view to ensuring
sustained improvement in their unsatisfactory terms of trade.
(b) Preferential and non
reciprocal treatment for developing countries.
(c) More favourable
conditions for the transfer of financial resources to developing
countries.
(d) Targets for Third
World industrialization, greater transfer of technology from the advanced
to developing countries and the creation of indigenous technology for the
developing countries.
(e) Expanded role for
producer associations.
(f) A reformed
international monetary system that would promote development and provide
adequate flow of real resources.
(g) More international
aid with targets for official development assistance and external debt
relief.
The contemporary world
economy shows little promise in terms of achievement of these proposals,
though it may continue for diplomatic reasons to pretend otherwise. The
industrialised North now has less incentive than before to resuscitate a
substantial agenda for wide ranging North-South dialogue for
re-structuring the existing international economic order after the
dramatic changes that have occurred in the post 1989 world.
Vast differences in
their respective fortunes and consequently in their geo-political
interests have emerged among the nations of the South over the last two
decades. Coupled with the unfolding of events in Eastern Europe, they have
also strengthened the conviction in much of the North that time is on its
side in influencing the future trajectory of global development. The
implication is that the South must acquiesce, however reluctantly to
North’s views on how the South should develop, politically and
economically. A second corollary is that the South must accept and live
with the intellectual and economic terms of trade established by the North
in the distributions of gains and losses emanating from global economic
transactions. It must accommodate deliberate North induced distortions in
global markets for agriculture, minerals, labour and textiles in which
South might demonstrate greater comparative advantage and productive
efficiency. Yet it must correct distortions in which the North might have
an advantage (such as financial services) with insufficient off setting
compensation by way of aid, debt relief and new capital flows and with new
demands for respecting intellectual property rights.
The demise of the Second
World on which the South relied for pursuing what once appeared to be an
attractive alternative model has also dampened the South’s exertions for
NIEO. Too many nations of the South relied on East European or Western
financing and preferential trade arrangements for playing either the wrong
end or both ends of the East-West game during the cold war. For them the
demise of the Second World as a globally influential partner and financial
sponsor is a serious blow. The East European and Soviet republics have now
become competitors in attracting aid and Western capital. The eclipse of
the Second World has deprived the Third World of moral support in
international fora where North-South dialogue on various aspects of NIEO
was earlier conducted.
To a significant extent,
as pointed out in South Commission report, the South has let itself down
over the years through sustained domestic mismanagement. Heavy spending on
armaments in a large number of developing countries showed inadequate
regard for genuine development priorities. In many countries of the South,
there was self-indulgence with the public purse by leaders whose avarice
stretched belief. These were hardly the images likely to impress the North
about the South’s commitment to welfare-oriented growth.
In terms of the current
dominant economic theory with it’s faith in the ‘magic of the
market,’ the existing market structure provides the most appropriate
framework for economic develop in the Third World. The principal problems
of development according to this view lie in the domestic economy of the
developing country in the form of market imperfections, unproductive or
inadequate land, poor governance, corruption, inadequately developed human
resources, low rates of savings and investment and socio-political
rigidities.
The best approach to
overcome these weaknesses is through market oriented domestic policies.
Given appropriate internal policies, the international system-aid, foreign
investment and foreign trade-can play a crucial supporting role in
development. As such, the appropriate Third World strategy for economic
development is to foster those domestic changes, which promote foreign
trade, foreign investment and other financial flows.
The appropriateness of
the current liberal approach in the case of a large number of developing
countries is, however, questionable. The proponents of this view ignore
the fact that the market tends to favour the already well endowed and
thwart the less developed. Unregulated international trade and capital
movements will accentuate and not diminish international inequalities. The
existing system creates declining terms of trade for the South.
Inelasticity of demand for the primary product exports of the less
developed countries and the existence of competitive international markets
for those products lead to lower prices for many Third World exports. At
the same time, the semi- monopoly structure of Northern markets and the
rising demand for manufactured goods lead to higher prices for industrial
goods of the North.
There is undoubtedly a
strong case for brining about changes in the existing global economic
system in order to ensure enlarged net transfer of resources on
appropriate terms by the writing down/writing-off of debt unwisely
incurred by many developing countries in the past as well as by enlarging
the flow of financial resources from the international agencies and
directly by the rich countries, greater control of transnational
corporations (TNCs) and greater TNC transfer of technology to developing
countries, and trade reforms including commodity agreements.
The countries of the
North and the South also perceive a mutual interest in ensuring global
economic security and prosperity in order to avert prospects of (a) human
degradation (famine, starvation, diseases, natural disasters etc), in a
world increasingly seen as a global common, and /or (b) preventing violent
conflict within or between these blocs. North and South also share the
desire to narrow, not widen the large gap in income and wealth between
them. North and South accept implicitly that the gap can only be narrowed
by a faster rate of growth in the South then in the North, but growth in
both places nonetheless.
The North, however, has
yet to crystallize it,s thinking in a precise and concrete agenda for
action.
The prospects of any
extensive and meaningful change in the existing global economic system
however, are quite dim on account of the absence of Southern unity and the
undermining of the credibility of commodity threat. Southern unity has
been weakened by the differential impact of food, energy, debt and
recession crises, by the growing gap between the newly industrialised
countries (NICs) and the least developed countries as well as by the
traditional regional and political conflicts.
The credibility of the
commodity threat was undermined by the inability to develop other OPEC
like producer associations, by unwillingness of OPEC to link the oil
threat to Group of 77 (G-77) demands in a meaningful way, by declining
demand of Southern raw materials. The G-77, no doubt is surviving at the
UN, but the establishment of NIEO has become increasingly irrelevant to
the development strategy of a large number of Third World countries.
The inequities of the
present international economic order can only be rectified when the Third
World has unity and will and capacity to be self-reliant.
Unfortunately, at
present the Third World lacks collective muscle and many of its countries
can too easily be manipulated by the G-8 countries. A new international
economic order cannot be the product of human compassion and charity on
the part of the developed world. Peaceful resolution of intra-South
disputes and the determined pursuit of a negotiating strategy evolved by
mutual agreement alone can make developing countries strong enough to be
heard.
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