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Pak-US economic cooperation: positive aspects

By Ismat Sabir

The US considers a stable, democratic and economically healthy Pakistan essential for fulfilling its key objectives. Pakistan is the biggest recipient of American aid, after Egypt and Turkey. This assistance has played a crucial role in economic development of the country. In June 2003, the then president of the US, Bush established a five year, $3 billion aid package for Pakistan. Pakistan has also received from time to time billions of dollars as reimbursement for playing a dominant role in the war against terror.

The Pak-US relationship is not a new one and has been firmly entrenched since ages back. However, Pak-US relations have experienced many ups and downs, despite being allies for decades. Pakistan has paid, and is still paying a very high price for being a major non-Nato ally and playing a crucial role in the war on terrorism.

After 9/11 Pakistan became a “very important friend” of the US and an anti-terrorism supporter. US sanctions to Pakistan’s 1998 nuclear tests and 1999 military coup quickly waived and, in October 2001, large amounts of US aid began flowing into Pakistan.

Pakistan intends to submit more than 55 projects, including energy projects costing $6.8 billion to US to be financed under the Kerry-Lugar bill. US will extend $7.5 billion aid package during the period from 2010 to 2014. Out of the total $7.5 billion aid, US will provide $2 billion to promote agriculture in the country and $1 billion as support to find a permanent solution to the energy crisis.

Under the Strategic Objectives Grant Agreements (SOGA), USAID and the government of Pakistan have already signed six agreements amounting to $478.5 million on September 30th, 2009. These programmes included an education sector reforms program worth $107 million, governance program worth $32 million, economic growth program $124 million, health and population welfare program $50.1 million and Fata development assistance at $115.2 million.

Pakistan has signed a $65 million deal with the US for the “hot transfer” of refurbished American frigate USS McInerney by August 31st. Pakistani officials described the deal as a major “milestone” towards further strengthening the Pak-US relationship.

 

Trade

The US is one of Pakistan’s major export markets, consisting about 25 per cent of total exports. The main items of exports from Pakistan to US include cotton yarn, textiles and apparels, rice, leather products, surgical and sports goods. Main items of imports from USA are mechanical appliances, telecom and electrical equipments and petroleum products.

The imports from US are rapidly increasing because Pakistan has reduced import tariff schedules.

In June 2002 four maximum import tariff levels of 5 per cent, 10 per cent, 20 per cent and 25 per cent were established. Pakistan’s tariffs are below the World Trade Organisation (WTO)-bound commitments and the weighted average applied tariff is 15.2 per cent, down from 56 per cent in 1994.

 

Investment potential

The US is fast becoming the largest investor in Pakistan. The government has identified 12 major sectors for US investment, including energy, power, infrastructure, industry, roads, agriculture, food, chemicals and hotels.

Pakistan’s economy is agro-based but at present, agri-business is not being done on scientific lines and there is a great scope for establishment of joint venture projects.

Furthermore, to cope with the energy problem, US recently offered to provide $125 million for six power plants in Pakistan and will also assist in establishing thermal power projects.

The funds would be utilised for repair and maintenance of Tarbela dam units at an estimated cost of $16.5 million that would increase electricity generation by 80 MW. About $15.2 million will be spent on unit numbers 1 to 6 of Muzaffargarh Thermal power plants.

Pakistan would also receive $18.1 million for repair and maintenance of units CC-5, GT-7 and 8 of Guddu Thermal power plant. Besides this, US will also provide $60 million to improve power distribution system of Power Distribution Companies (Discos). Furthermore, the United States and Pakistan have agreed to fast-track pending Pakistani requests for military equipments as the two step up their security cooperation.

 

Major agreements signed                    

(1) August 2002: Pakistan and USAID signed an agreement under which the aid agency was to provide a grant of $100 million to support the country’s educational reforms.

(2) October 2002: A cooperation agreement was signed between the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry and US Chamber of Commerce and Industry for formation of Pakistan-US Joint Business Council.

(3) April 2003: An agreement to extinguish $1 billion bilateral debt that Islamabad owed to Washington.

(4) June 2003: Two agreements were signed to further enhance bilateral trade and investment and bolster cooperation in the field of science and technology.

 

TABLE-1: US AID TO PAKISTAN, 2001-07

($ millions)

Program or          FY2001          FY2002          FY2003          FY2004          FY2005          FY2006          FY2007

Account          Actual          Actual          Actual          Actual          Actual          Estimate          Request

CSH              5.0          15.6          25.6          21.0          32.2          21.7

DA                10.0          34.5          49.4          29.0          40.6          29.0

ERMA            25.0                                                 

ESF               624.5          188.0c          200.0c          297.6          337.1          350.0

FMF              75.0          224.5          74.6          298.8d          297.0          300.0

IMET             0.9          1.0          1.4          1.9          2.0          2.1

INCLE  3.5          90.5b          31.0          31.5          32.1d          37.6          25.5

NADR             10.1                    4.9          8.0          7.8          10.3

PKO              220.0                                                 

Subtotal          $3.5          $1,061.0       $494.6          $387.4          $688.4          $754.3e        $738.6

P.L.480 Title Ia       0.5          10.0          9.0          6.0          10.2          23.0         

P.L.480 Title IIa      1.9          5.1          9.7          8.4          5.8          6.7         

Section 416(b)a          85.1          75.7                    9.6          2.0                   

Total   $91.0          $1,151.8       $513.3          $411.4          $706.4          $784.0e        $738.6

 

Sources: US Departments of State and Agriculture

 

TABLE-2: TRADE BETWEEN PAKISTAN AND USA

($ million)

Year    Export          Import          Balance        Total exports          % Share in          Total imports          % Share in

                             of trade   of Pakistan          total Exp.    of Pakistan          total imports

2001-02          2257.538          686.807          1570.731          9,202.218     24.53          10342.865     6.64

2002-03          2616.859          735.317          1881.542          11,160.246    23.44          12220.253     6.01

2003-04          2943.444          1,326.931          1616.513          12,313.000    23.90          15592.000     8.51

2004-05          3446.593          1,563.090          1883.503          14,391.081    23.95          20598.114     7.59

2005-06          4192.947          1,657.530          2535.417          16,452.398    25.48          28586.007     5.79

2006-07          4183.427          2,299.844          1883.583          16,976.243    24.64          30539.709     7.53

2007-08          3,705.86          2,440.41          1,265.45          19,222.86     19.28          39,968.50     6.11


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