relations
Panetta and after
Islamabad and Washington need to find a middle-ground without
confrontation and coercion to put wilting bilateral ties back on track
By Imtiaz Gul
“Too much Panetta has spoiled the air,” remarked a senior American diplomat recently. This has left us little room for setting things back, he said, visibly anguished for having been caught between Pakistani demands for apology over the November 26 Salala incident and the reticence of the sole superpower. The diplomat agreed that “geo-politics” of the United States puts limitations to what individuals can do to improve relations.

In the court of outlaw
Jirgas and panchayats draw strength from feudal and
sardari system to challenge justice and regular courts
By Mohammad Awais
The centuries-old jirga (or panchayat) system is operational in the country uninterrupted, despite several media exposures of brutalities inflicted on women and children in illegal trials and rulings by apex courts against this parallel judicial system. 
Only Frontier Crime Regulations (FCR) jirga working in Fata is legal, but that one is also not without a scary fact that its verdict cannot be challenged in any court of Pakistan.

Yeh Woh
Time for action
By Masud Alam
In a recent talk show, the host opened discussion with the question: What is the biggest challenge facing the new prime minister? And the prompt reply was: to lose the epithet of Raja Rental and get some respect from the nation.
Being unambiguously and shamelessly corrupt in every possible way has been an essential job requirement for anyone to aspire for a public office in the present episode of ‘democracy’, written and directed by Asif Ali Zardari who was a small time crook himself before he took up the highest office in the land. The Zardari-led PPP has filled this government with thugs and racketeers, many of whom are convicts or wanted in criminal cases; and the presidency with those who are made to fight the president’s fights in the Supreme Court. President Zardari may not have saved a single innocent Pakistani from being hanged on trumped up charges, but he has eagerly advanced presidential pardon to every influential criminal who was ever punished by a court of law, and promoted them in rank and responsibility. 

interview
“Our reporting is mostly state-centric”
By Usman Ghafoor
Delhi-based Neelabh Mishra, Editor, Outlook Hindi, was in Pakistan recently, along with his friend Kavita Srivastava, a human rights activist, on the special invitation of the family of Dr Khalil Chishti, the 80-year-old Pakistani virologist who had been released from a jail in Ajmer, India, having served a life sentence. Mishra took time out to speak to The News on Sunday, during his brief stay in Lahore, following a busy schedule at the Chishti’s in Karachi. He wished he could go sightseeing, but the ‘reporting visa’ formalities “ate up our time.”

Amid dreams of a new Egypt
Though Muslim Brotherhood is voted to power, the Tahrir Square still challenges all the forces who seek to tame the revolutionary process
By Ziyad Faisal
To the naked eye, the Egyptian presidential polls presented a quandary for voters. The international media tended to boil it down to a choice between the Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Morsi on the one hand, and one of Mubarak’s men, Ahmed Shafik, on the other. 
To the Western liberal commentator, the honeymoon period of the Revolution is over, and the possibilities for alternatives beyond what these two men represent are far fewer than before. Even worse, for some, such possibilities never existed. There is a tendency to view the whole Arab revolutionary process as a sort of delayed but sure verdict of history: with the repressed Islamist leanings of the popular classes being finally translated into broad populist movements, whose only possible outcome could be Islamists in power. The electoral experiences of Tunisia and Egypt so far seem to strengthen such interpretations of events. Even progressives speak with concern of a “Tehran 1979” situation.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

relations
Panetta and after
Islamabad and Washington need to find a middle-ground without
confrontation and coercion to put wilting bilateral ties back on track
By Imtiaz Gul

“Too much Panetta has spoiled the air,” remarked a senior American diplomat recently. This has left us little room for setting things back, he said, visibly anguished for having been caught between Pakistani demands for apology over the November 26 Salala incident and the reticence of the sole superpower. The diplomat agreed that “geo-politics” of the United States puts limitations to what individuals can do to improve relations.

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s repeated insinuating statements in New Delhi and Kabul (we have run out of patience with Pakistan) constituted the context for American diplomat’s frustration with the deadlock in bilateral relations. It was also reflected in the mood within the American Congress, where various angry Congressmen introduced several bills in the last six months or so to “set Pakistan right” i.e. the bills touting the right to self-determination for the people of Balochistan, US citizenship for the CIA spy Dr Shakil Afridi, and moves to block all military and civilian assistance to Pakistan with ever more strings attached to them.

The American diplomat in Islamabad was not the lone American voice of discomfort. Almost around the same time, former presidential candidate, Senator John McCain also spoke out and accused the Obama administration of needlessly damaging the US relationship with Pakistan and “antagonising the Pakistanis” with an “in your face attitude.To further antagonise Pakistan unnecessarily is not something I would particularly think is appropriate,” McCain said in an interview with an American TV channel (reported by Online news agency, June 15, 2012).

McCain, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said that the administration’s encouragement of India taking a more active role in Afghanistan while simultaneously criticising Pakistan could be a recipe for disaster.

“I would have nurtured this relationship with India sort of the way we have been for years, rather than sort of antagonising the Pakistanis even more with this kind of in your face attitude,” he said.

McCain made these comments in response to what Leon Panetta said in Kabul a few days ago; “we are reaching the limits of our patience with Pakistan, which provides “safe haven” for the Haqqani network and other groups that launch attacks on US forces.”

Only a day earlier, Panetta had made disparaging remarks on Islamabad to the extreme displeasure of most Pakistanis.

Criticism of the Obama administration’s way to handle Pakistan also resonated in a recent New York Times/International Herald Tribune op-ed that Steve Cohen of the Brookings Institute and Moeed Yusuf, South Asia adviser at the US Institute of Peace, penned jointly.

“Unfortunately, the proposed remedy (to deal with Pakistan) is as misplaced as was past support for Pakistan’s military dictators, which came at the cost of the country’s democratic evolution. Those who would force changes by playing a divide-and-rule game grossly exaggerate America’s capacity to influence Pakistani politics,” the authors stated.

In the carefully crafted and insightful analysis, both Cohen and Yusuf advise against exploiting the existing civil-military divides because its unintended consequence could be the strengthening of the right-wing rhetoric in Pakistan and greater space for security-centric policies.

“….any US conceptualisation of Pakistan as two Pakistans — that is, a neat division between civilian and military elites — is false and will not resonate among Pakistanis. It is wrong to assume that a majority of Pakistanis would support a US policy so obviously driven to undercut the military, although there is widespread hope — even within the army — that the Pakistani political system will produce more competent politicians…”

Warning that the Pakistani military’s reaction to “a two-Pakistans approach would, more than likely, cost the United States the all-important intelligence cooperation needed to tackle global terrorist threats emanating from Pakistan,” Cohen and Yusuf underline that “We must patiently try to turn Pakistan from an ally that is no friend into a state that seeks normal relations with America and its neighbours. Short cuts are unlikely to work.”

This advice, regardless of whether taken in by those who matter within the Obama administration, comes at an extremely crucial juncture. Most of the Congress and the American public opinion look down on Pakistan primarily because of the perceptions built around its policies by the American administration and the media.

US geo-political considerations apart, Pakistan has its failings and follies to blame too; President Zardari’s participation in the Chicago summit (May 21-22) without any deal on the resumption of ground lines of communications (GLOCs) served only to invite scorn by all and sundry because the rationale behind the last-minute invitation to him was the presumption that the deal is done. This was both embarrassing as well as humiliating for Zardari and entailed even greater condemnation of the country.

This was shot in the foot and the entire top leadership is responsible for discrediting the country, particularly within the US-Nato nations. Almost every one of them billed Pakistan short of being cheats, indecisive and complicit in the violence in Afghanistan. So, the president’s presence in Chicago (without a deal on supplies and the settlement of the apology issue) was a slap in the face of all those who thought participation in such an international forum is good any way.

What good, we fail to understand because the results were on the contrary.

That’s why the relations remain hostage to the ego and arrogance of a super power driven by its global geo-political agenda on the one hand, and a discordant indecisive Pakistan, which seems unable to break out of the cold-war mindset, and apparently lacks the vision required to reset its strategic paradigm which has entailed unimaginable economic attrition than tangible benefits. Both the countries need to find a middle-ground without confrontation and coercion. But greater onus rests on Pakistan, a country gradually wilting under the consequences of the skewed policies it has pursued so far.

The writer is executive director, Centre for Research and Security Studies, Islamabad and has authored ‘Pakistan — Before and After Osama bin Laden’, Rolli Books, New Delhi

 

 

 

In the court of outlaw
Jirgas and panchayats draw strength from feudal and
sardari system to challenge justice and regular courts
By Mohammad Awais

The centuries-old jirga (or panchayat) system is operational in the country uninterrupted, despite several media exposures of brutalities inflicted on women and children in illegal trials and rulings by apex courts against this parallel judicial system.

Only Frontier Crime Regulations (FCR) jirga working in Fata is legal, but that one is also not without a scary fact that its verdict cannot be challenged in any court of Pakistan.

In jirgas and panchayats, women and children are traded as commodities to resolve feuds — they are physically abused, mentally tortured and even exchanged as sawara or vaani. They are forced to pay off for sins of male members of their families.

According to a petition filed by the National Commission on Status of Women (NCSW) in the Supreme Court, 87 illegal jirgas were held in 2011 in Sindh alone in which 26 girls and women were exchanged as vaani.

This curse is prevalent in all provinces and the number of illegal jirgas and their victims, reported and unreported, would roughly be in hundreds in one year.

There is also a misperception that this cruel parallel judicial system is operational in far flung areas only. Just two cases are sufficient to assert that this curse is prevalent in settled urban areas: a woman was raped in Sheikhupura on a local jirga’s orders in 2011 (The CJP took suo motu notice of this crime) and in December 2011 a boy shot dead his mother in Gujranwala for refusing to exchange her 12-year-old daughter as vaani to resolve a dispute. According to 2010 official estimates, Gujranwala is Pakistan’s seventh and Sheikhpura 16th largest city.

The Mukhtar Mai case came to the limelight in 2002 and led to international condemnation of jirga system. Since then hundreds of cases have been reported, but the state machinery always remains inactive and helpless to stem this curse. The prime reason is: powerful feudal and tribal lords, who are patrons of jirgas and panchayats.

Women rights activist Dr Farzana Bari says jirgas and panchayats are run by men of elite class, who drive their strength from the feudal system and flaunt their influence over subjugated masses by holding illegal trials in criminal cases and making them victims of inhuman punishments. She says no political party has adopted a strong stance to eliminate jirga system, adding during the recent Kohistan episode, powerful Awami National Party objected that this is a conspiracy against the jirga system. “Our political parties want status quo regarding the jirga system.”

She says the Sindh High Court declared the jirga system illegal in 2004 with the efforts of the civil society. “A landmark verdict from the Supreme Court is expected in the NCSW’s petition against the jirga system, and after that we will launch a more organised move against the jirga system.”

Legal expert S.M. Zafar says jirga and panchayat system is an old and traditional judicial system that has neither constitutional cover nor legally prohibited. He says if a jirga or panchayat pronounces an illegal sentence, then courts could declare it null and void, and initiate legal action against jirga or panchayat members.

Asked whether jirga or panchayat system should be reformed or banned, he says the parallel judicial system has strong roots in our culture and could not be banned through legislation or court verdict. Zafar says the jirgas could play effective role, if they are used for the resolution of civil matters to reduce burden on courts, adding criminal matters could not be given to jirgas or panchayats at any cost.

Geo TV telecasts a talk show Jirga, and it gives an impression that perhaps there is also a soft corner for this parallel judicial system in our media. However, Saleem Safi, who hosts the show, gives a very informative account of various forms of jirgas. He says his inspiration to name his talk show Jirga is Afghan parliament or Loya jirga as both of them are based on true democratic spirit. “My second inspiration is traditional jirga operational on the Pakhtun belt that resolves disputes. This jirga works on the moral spirit and enjoys the trust of parties which contact it for the resolution of their disputes.”

These two forms, elaborated by Saleem Safi, are very much similar to town meetings in US and regional council in the UK as they deal with legislative and civil issues and find solutions through debate among stakeholders. “However, other two forms of jirgas, which are condemnable, are the jirgas working in the tribal belt under FCR and the jirgas under sardari system that is operational in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, Sindh and Balochistan,” he adds.

Saleem Safi says the decisions of FCR jirga cannot be challenged in any court of Pakistan (that is sheer violation of fundamental human rights), and the state machinery is used to implement its verdicts. “And Sardari jirga is as cruel as the sardari system.”

Asked whether last two brutal forms of jirgas could be reformed, he says, “Both types of jirgas are based on sardari system and there is no chance of reforming them without demolishing the sardari system.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yeh Woh
Time for action
By Masud Alam

In a recent talk show, the host opened discussion with the question: What is the biggest challenge facing the new prime minister? And the prompt reply was: to lose the epithet of Raja Rental and get some respect from the nation.

Being unambiguously and shamelessly corrupt in every possible way has been an essential job requirement for anyone to aspire for a public office in the present episode of ‘democracy’, written and directed by Asif Ali Zardari who was a small time crook himself before he took up the highest office in the land. The Zardari-led PPP has filled this government with thugs and racketeers, many of whom are convicts or wanted in criminal cases; and the presidency with those who are made to fight the president’s fights in the Supreme Court. President Zardari may not have saved a single innocent Pakistani from being hanged on trumped up charges, but he has eagerly advanced presidential pardon to every influential criminal who was ever punished by a court of law, and promoted them in rank and responsibility.

It is, therefore, little surprise that his first choice for the disgraced Yusuf Raza Gilani’s replacement as prime minister is embroiled in a drug racket and his second and eventual choice, Raja Pervez Ashraf, has a solid reputation for public lies and graft in commissioning rental power plants and has been recommended by the court for stern punishment. Only, the PPP in its zeal to do the opposite of what the highest court decreed, punished the country instead, by installing the Raja as yet another reason for us to be ashamed of being Pakistanis.

But let’s face it: the man who failed in his job as power minister, and is believed to have made loads of money from his failure, is now in charge of everything the government of Pakistan is supposed to be doing. Let it be as it may. There are more serious things to worry about then the circus played out by a tired old joker of a GoP, 24X365.

Monsoon is upon us. The melting of ice on the mountains has been delayed because of the unusually long spring. Coupled with early and heavy rains it’s the recipe for a disaster on the scale of 2010. At the least, mild to severe flooding in southern Punjab and Sindh is being considered a certainty.

The Met Department issued a warning for higher than usual rainfall this year, following which the National Disaster Management Authority ‘asked the provincial governments to be vigilant and focus on preparedness and early response’, following which the district administrations announced that they were ready for any eventuality. Reassuring? Ask the affected millions of 2010 and 2011 floods, who are still dying of waterborne diseases and waiting for resettlement. They have heard all this before.

The country’s state of preparedness can be gauged from the fact that infrastructural damage caused by the flooding of last two years has not been repaired, neither have the recommendations of various commissions and think tanks been implemented, or an investment made in advanced early detection systems. If nature decides to be rough again this summer, we’ll be caught in the same state of ignorant inaction that we displayed in 2005, then in 2010 and again last year.

As for rescue and early recovery, the standard procedure for the GoP as soon as a disaster hits has been and remains limited to: the president and prime minister to fly away on begging tours, and the rest of the government to wait for international aid and development agencies to release funds so they can start saving lives and setting up camps for survivors. They have neither the capacity, nor the will or intent to do more.

What will save Pakistanis this year is what saved us during every past disaster: us. It’s the neighbours who feed and shelter the stricken; it’s the common folk who give most generously of their time and money; it’s the professionals who offer their services to affected communities free of cost; it’s the business people and industrialists who rebuild houses and work places.

The best fund raisers are our friends and colleagues; the most user friendly and reliable weather information is provided by an individual blogger (pakistanweatherportal) and the most effective means of mass communication between the affected communities and aid agencies is provided by the local media, particularly FM radio, using unpaid or paltry-paid young local men and women.

We are our own safety net and it’s time to spread ourselves again. The time for pointing fingers and apportioning blame will come later.

masudalam@yahoo.com

 

 

 

 


interview
“Our reporting is mostly state-centric”
By Usman Ghafoor

Delhi-based Neelabh Mishra, Editor, Outlook Hindi, was in Pakistan recently, along with his friend Kavita Srivastava, a human rights activist, on the special invitation of the family of Dr Khalil Chishti, the 80-year-old Pakistani virologist who had been released from a jail in Ajmer, India, having served a life sentence. Mishra took time out to speak to The News on Sunday, during his brief stay in Lahore, following a busy schedule at the Chishti’s in Karachi. He wished he could go sightseeing, but the ‘reporting visa’ formalities “ate up our time.”

Still, Mishra said he had a fair taste of the city: “Late one night [in Karachi], we went for a walk and found that the people were awake and enjoying themselves. We had gol gappas from a roadside stall, even as we heard an occasional sound of gunshot in the distance. And, I thought to myself we get to see only one side of Pakistan in the Indian media.”

An MA in English Literature from Delhi University, Mishra has been associated with journalism for the past almost three decades now. He began with Bharat Times (of The Times of India group) as a reporter and went on to become the editor of Outlook Hindi four years back.

 

The News on Sunday: Tell us briefly about the trends in Indian media?

Neelabh Mishra: The most shameful trend is that of ‘paid news’. Today, you can actually buy column space in order to get a news item printed, and the paper will print it as a news item.

This is so ridiculous. I remember, during the last general election, a newspaper carried a lead, “Congress wins hands down in such-and-such constituency,” with a reporter’s byline. And, just below that item, there was a story by the same reporter on the same constituency; it said, “BJP is winning…”

This whole business of paid news started with the corruption of a few reporters. The newspaper owners saw big money in it and that’s how the trend picked up. Come to think of it, nothing is done under the table. You have rate cards. The reporters are given targets — as if they were company’s sales representatives.

Newspaper owners also sometimes prefer shares in real estate instead of hard cash, in exchange for a ‘news item’.

TNS: What about good old journalism?

NM: Well, our reporting is mostly only state-centric, instead of being people-centric. For instance, recently, when the foreign/home secretaries of India and Pakistan met and they decided to liberalise the visa regime between the two countries with effect from June 1, but it never happened, it led to a fierce blame game in the media. Here, we could’ve done better by carrying stories of the common people who go through the painstaking visa process. What are their issues? How are they affected by the state policy? The media could’ve spoken, for instance, about the World Social Forum [that didn’t allow visas to a lot of Pakistani journalists wanting to attend the event].

These are the kind of stories that the media should be looking at, instead of rattling off the policy laws of the state.

The electronic media, on the other hand, functions in its own way — it’s often guilty of dumbing down and looking at things in a very simplistic manner. At times, it also takes a jingoistic position. If an incident like the Mumbai attack happens, objectivity is the first casualty and the entire electronic media starts toeing a similar line. It’s a game of TRPs.

TNS: How is Pakistan projected in the Indian media in general?

NM: Pakistan does not feature regularly in the Indian media. And, when there is ‘sensational’ news from across the border, such as Rinkle Kumari’s case, the Indian media is not generally accepting of the fact that the news was covered in Pakistan first.

While in Karachi, we went to the office of a Sindhi-language newspaper that had done some brilliant reporting on Rinkle. They had covered the case from the human rights angle as well as that of the minorities, without any communal bias. But the Indian media had treated the story as if there was no support for Rinkle Kumari in Pakistan.

On Pak-India issues, the approach of Hindi media is strictly right-wing.

TNS: Are the Indian newspapers in the vernacular more daring and open than the mainstream media?

NM: Hindi newspapers have the largest circulation in the entire world. Denik Jagran, for instance, tops them all with a circulation of over a million. It is followed by Denik Bhaskar.

While it is of great advantage that you have big newspapers catering to a large section of population, this has also resulted in the fragmentation of news, because these are multi-edition newspapers. For instance, in the state of Rajasthan alone, Denik Bhaskar has around 17 editions. This means one part of Rajasthan will not be informed about what’s happening in the other parts of the state.

In other words, news is not treated as something which should be seen as a whole. We have newspapers focusing on really small local/regional affairs. In the Hindi media, this would mean losing out on perspective.

There are exceptions. The Bengali media is not as fragmented, perhaps because of the high literacy rate in the region. The Malayalam media is also more concerned with the world affairs.

TNS: How do the market forces impact your editorial content?

NM: Today, the newspapers in India don’t bank on circulation for revenue; they earn big through ads. And, because the economy is blooming, there are lots of advertisers. At times, the advertiser’s interest dominates.

Outlook is one media group where the editorial policy is laid down by the editors and not the publishers. In The Times of India, it’s not even the owners but professional ‘brand managers’, as we call them, who set the editorial policy. These managers decide what the readers want to read, what will sell, etc.

TNS: Is an average journalist in India well looked after?

NM: Look, financially, India is a skewed market. There are newspapers whose editors’ annual income is up to IR 30 millions. Journalists are hired on contract-basis, so you have individual salary negotiations.

On the other hand, in electronic media, you have very high salaries but also grades. A few TV channels dominate, but then because there is a media boom — it is one of the fastest growing sectors in the Indian economy — every businessman wants to open a TV channel.

TNS: In Pakistan, a lot of business tycoons have started their media groups, even though they don’t have any background in journalism. Is it the same in India?

NM: Well, it’s a two-sided phenomenon. Firstly, while the business tycoons are entering the media, the media tycoons are also becoming business magnates; they are acquiring companies and opening new enterprises. Again, I’ll quote the example of Denik Bhaskar whose owners recently launched into the power sector and acquired mines.

In south India, the political leaders are entering into the media business. In Tamil Nadu, you have every big political party or leader owning a TV channel and a newspaper — Chief Minister Karunanidhi has Sun TV, Jayalalitha owns Jaya TV. Besides, Kerali TV in Kerala is owned by a Congress politician. Communist parties also have their own media group.

TNS: Are these TV channels run professionally?

NM: The political figures in the south are very smart; they’ve got professionals to run their media outlets. But these are eventually propaganda channels. As a result, they end up having a niche market only. They don’t enjoy the kind of prestige a mainstream media group does.

TNS: What is the situation of trade unions in the newspaper industry?

NM: Till about 15 years back, the trade unions were a very strong entity; they would hold strikes etc. Today, their back has been broken thanks to the corporatisation of the media and the introduction of the contract system. Naturally, the journalists have no option but to comply. Though their independence is compromised at times, there’s no question of union activities.

TNS: Does the Indian media depend a lot on government advertisements?

NM: No. In fact, for the big media groups, government ads mean nothing at all; they are a waste of time. We only depend on corporate ads.

TNS: Is there a lot of support in India for the issue of visa liberalisation between the two neighbouring countries?

NM: If you ask the man in the street, he wouldn’t have an idea how the people in Pakistan live, what they wear, what they do for a living etc. One reason why I am for people-to-people contact is that this will remove a lot of misunderstandings about each other’s culture. This will also spare the media any misrepresentation.

TNS: Don’t you think allowing Pakistani TV channels into your territory will do the needful?

NM: There was a time when Pakistani TV shows were famously seen in India; this was in the pre-dish antenna days, till the 1980s. Later, the policy makers, under pressure from the right-wing, thought that the growing Islamic radicalisation in Pakistan was not suited to the common TV audience of India.

I personally don’t buy this. I believe our audiences are mature enough to decide what is right and what is wrong. Besides, if you have one such thing coming from Pakistan, there will be a lot of other positive things also.

TNS: What about allowing just the entertainment channels?

NM: Often the policy makers have funny arguments. They think coded messages of terrorist attacks will sneak in through the entertainment shows.

TNS: How faithfully does your media present the true picture of India? Or, is it just about ‘Incredible India’?

NM: Media, as it continues to grow, has already busted the myth that ‘dog cannot eat dog’ — i.e. the media will not criticise the media. In Outlook, for instance, we recently printed scripts of Nira Radia tapes that showed how corporate corruption had gotten into the media. As a result, a lot of media personalities were exposed.

Where paid news has become a common practice, a lot of editors and commentators are also writing against it. Presently, the matter is with the Election Commission.

So, if there is glorification, the media is also showing the true picture — stories of drought, hunger and poverty. But, you can say that these stories go in the background and images of unreal India dominate.

TNS: Do you think TV is journalism at all?

NM: It is journalism and at the same time it isn’t. It isn’t journalism because of the way it is being practised: it shows a staged reality. For instance, if you are doing a TV show on a certain topic, you will put an anchorperson together with a state representative and an activist, cut to random visuals, throw in frivolous comments here and there that only lead to a sparring match and preclude a serious discussion.

It seems the producers have decided beforehand what line they would take. The entire show then becomes an exercise in “manufacturing consent”, to use a Chomskyan phrase.

 

 

 

 

Amid dreams of a new Egypt
Though Muslim Brotherhood is voted to power, the Tahrir Square still challenges all the forces who seek to tame the revolutionary process
By Ziyad Faisal

To the naked eye, the Egyptian presidential polls presented a quandary for voters. The international media tended to boil it down to a choice between the Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Morsi on the one hand, and one of Mubarak’s men, Ahmed Shafik, on the other.

To the Western liberal commentator, the honeymoon period of the Revolution is over, and the possibilities for alternatives beyond what these two men represent are far fewer than before. Even worse, for some, such possibilities never existed. There is a tendency to view the whole Arab revolutionary process as a sort of delayed but sure verdict of history: with the repressed Islamist leanings of the popular classes being finally translated into broad populist movements, whose only possible outcome could be Islamists in power. The electoral experiences of Tunisia and Egypt so far seem to strengthen such interpretations of events. Even progressives speak with concern of a “Tehran 1979” situation.

Fortunately, for the optimist, matters are not quite so simple. First, one must account for the organisational and political weakness of the liberal and progressive sections of the Egyptian body politic (and more broadly, the other Arab Spring countries).

It is important to remember that decades of repression by authoritarian plutocracies could only help the Islamists, even if the terror of the mukhaabrat-state targeted both Islamists and secular dissidents. For the mukhaabrat (secret-service) state, it is a relatively simple matter to silence secular progressives, by closing down open public forums and oppositional mass media.

As for Islamists, such measures might hurt them, but other spaces remain open to them — spaces which the state cannot easily clamp down on, in a Muslim country. Charities, mosques, religious study-groups, professional associations of the middle-classes: this is where Islamists can operate under the guise of religion, donning an almost “de-politicised” garb. Their discourse in such cases is, ultimately, political, but to the ruling regime it can pose less of an immediate threat. If the masses have no bread, let them have religious events, to put the matter crudely. In the long-run, this means that they begin to take over most of the oppositional space from secular progressives, and become a significant voice for the grievances of the popular classes.

Additionally, it would be a mistake to view a force such as the Muslim Brotherhood as a pure monolith. It has an impressive organisational cohesion, it has clearly-articulated social and political aims, but it must still operate in a very fractured and diverse society. There has been much evidence for friction within the ranks of the Brotherhood: from the very beginning of the Revolution. There were indications that the youth-wing of the organisation chafed at the reluctance of the Brotherhood’s leaders to throw their whole weight behind the Tahrir Square revolutionaries. And the Brotherhood itself has a certain constituency among the popular classes. No amount of religious rhetoric can completely modify the demand for socio-economic equity and youthful impulse for political expression.

Even more importantly, the key is to view the electoral process as being merely one aspect of an ongoing process of seismic changes in the Egyptian society and politics. While it is true that the Muslim Brotherhood has been eager to placate Western fears of “radical Islam” and seek some sort of arrangement for power-sharing with the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), the elections could be seen as contributing to a strengthening of democratic legitimacy (relative to the Mubarak era, of course).

One should be under no illusions at all about the limits to democratic progress while the iron fist of the SCAF hangs over Egypt, looking to co-opt the Brotherhood and set up yet another regime of corruption, patronage politics and gross inequalities. But the first cracks, perhaps, in a potential alliance between the Brotherhood and the SCAF are already visible: the military rulers want to appoint a cabinet of their own choosing and the Brotherhood claims this as its own prerogative. There have also been severe tensions with the traditional patrons of the Muslim Brotherhood, the Saudi monarchy. Electoral legitimacy is flawed and incomplete, but it has certain logic of its own.

Additionally, the first round of voting in the presidential elections revealed a third and powerful player: Hamdeen Sabahi of the Karama (Dignity) party, which espouses the older Nasserist ideals in Egypt. Leaving aside the cynicism of electoral power-politics and the shortcomings of Nasserism itself, it is very interesting that his ideas of Arab unity, secular, and economic redistribution still have enough proponents in Egypt to win them 21.5 per cent of the votes: putting Sabahi in third place after Morsi and Shafik.

And perhaps most importantly, the forces which sparked off the Revolution — the activist youth in Tahrir Square, the independent labour unions and various other progressive elements — continue to courageously put forward their demands. They challenge both the legitimacy of a moth-eaten electoral process and the stifling hold of the military over state and society. The undying slogan made famous by the Tahrir Square revolutionaries still reverberates its challenge to all forces who seek to tame, contain or pervert the revolutionary process: “Ash-shab yurid isqat an-nizam” (The people want the downfall of the regime). When the people refer to a “regime”, it is clear that they speak not just of one strongman, Mubarak, or one party. Their dream of a new Egypt goes far beyond the machinations of generals and the power politics of the Americans, Saudis, Muslim Brotherhood and Salafists.

 



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