Last week the KSE100 lost 0.69 percent or 78 points to
close at 11,296 points. The market seems as directionless as sometimes it
gets where punters cannot decide where the market is headed, and nobody
can fault them due to the judicial crisis in the country.
The month of March has been terrible for Pakistan. The
lawyers’ countrywide protests against the government and the heroics of
our national cricket team; it is in fact wonderful that our stock market
is not as gloomy as it normally gets in such difficult situations.
There are many people who believe that because of the
new margining regime, the market’s fall has been very controlled. In
fact, the rise has been very controlled too. This is what higher margins
do in a stock market; because speculators’ trading capacities become
more limited, they are unable to carry out hugely leveraged trading.
Having said so, there are more investors staying out of the market than
others, as their majority is waiting for a better time to build
portfolios. This is why even investors love speculators, because it is for
them that every smart investor gets a fantastic opportunity to build
portfolio and in anticipation of that, start building liquidity by getting
out of "expensive" shares - those which are trading far above or
close to fair values.
Our portfolio lost slightly over 1 percent, after
booking bonus and cash dividends on its holdings last week. But even this
1 percent is not bad, considering the fact that our total investment in
equities is at a low. We will buy some shares at last week’s closing
prices.
We are taking our 300 shares in FFC to 500 shares (at
last week’s closing price) because we cannot wait any longer. The
speculators might want to take this bluechip to less than Rs.100 in which
case we will redouble our stakes. Take that! For OGDC we will have 500
shares, buying another 200 at last week’s closing price because we
believe that is too attractive for us to ignore.
We are liquidating our investments in Indus Motors, our
favourite, because we think that the market will soon enable us to buy at
better price. Same treatment we are giving to Pak Suzuki Motors, PSO, ICI
and Azgard Nine. Please do not get misled; we are doing it only
temporarily, and if speculators were not there, we would not have hoped to
buy back these shares at more attractive levels. PNSC is going up defying
all rules but we do not care.
Callmate’s December closing results have not yet been
announced and the market waited too patiently it must be acknowledged,
before it gave up.
There is a definite advantage our portfolio has over
balanced mutual funds that cannot liquidate beyond a certain level and
have to maintain certain minimum investments in equities.
Before we sign off, a word about stock and cash
dividends. Each time a company goes ex-cash dividend, the price is marked
down by the amount of dividend announced, even though it would be a while
before the company will remit the dividend to its shareholders. Similarly,
it is true for stock dividend. The number of shares outstanding for a
stock dividend carrying company goes up only after free shares are
received by the shareholders, but the stock market price is marked down on
ex-bonus date.
OUR PORTFOLIO - LAST WEEK’S CLOSE
Symbol Last rate Shares Value Weekly Rise/fall
gain/loss in share
price
ABL 113.9 100 11,390 (180) (1.80)
ACBL 81 100 8,100 (3,800) (38.00)
AICL 193.6 0 - - 10.60
ANL 24.8 100 2,480 (10) (0.10)
BAFL 46.75 0 - - (13.25)
BOP 122.3 0 - - 3.30
CTTL 46 0 - - (1.85)
DGKC 87 100 8,700 (140) (1.40)
FFC 104.25 300 31,275 (2,025) (6.75)
HCAR 60 100 6,000 (95) (0.95)
HUBC 30.85 0 - - (0.65)
ICI 128.6 100 12,860 (390) (3.90)
INDU 248.5 100 24,850 (285) (2.85)
KAPCO 58 0 - - 0.90
LUCK 78.25 100 7,825 - 0.50
MCB 282 0 - - (26.50)
MLCF 18.5 0 - - (0.65)
NBP 237.8 0 - - (34.25)
NCL 38.5 0 - - (0.75)
NML 100 110 11,000 (248) (2.25)
OGDC 116.8 300 35,040 (255) (0.85)
PKGS 216 100 21,600 (695) (6.95)
PNSC 55 0 - - 1.00
POL 317.45 300 95,235 (1,995) (6.65)
PPL 244.5 100 24,450 (800) (8.00)
PSMC 526.05 100 52,605 (590) (5.90)
PSO 352.6 100 35,260 (1,805) (18.05)
PTC 46.25 0 - - (3.05)
SHEL 370 100 37,000 (1,000) (10.00)
UBL 168.15 0 - - 3.05