'Out and out' a reformer
Dr Tahirul Qadri has always believed in a divine mission for himself. All worldly gains that he has made during his continued journey to his metaphysical destiny are just useful byproducts, not the real thing. Fortunately for his followers, he will now be focussing all his energies to achieving what he is made for -- a resurrection of Islamic thought and theology.

Tense borders
Afghanistan is in a grip of fresh violence, with the tempers running high across the Pak-Afghan border. The blame game has once again put the two neighbours at loggerheads. The surge in assaults by the Taliban fighters and air strikes and military operations by coalition forces is causing serious concerns about peace and stability in the region. 

On his own terms
In the midst of statements hinting at a general election next year or in early 2008, the political environment in the country remains fluid. Different stakeholders throw feelers to gauge public response to frame their respective election campaign.

Over Da Vinci Code
One of the things about coming to America is to let all the flowing energy sink in, and then ponder on what makes the place tick. Problem is that you may get very peculiar answers. One thing that was difficult to take in is that apparently the place does not have an official, or national language! They have been making do with an assumption all this time, until word started trickling in that people were being refused jobs because they can't speak Spanish! They are beginning to get round to it but it is obvious that it is a minor matter and does not really bother many. 

Two, and two together
Necessity is the mother of invention. This Mother's Day, a fresh proof of the truth in the saying was provided in that ultimate place for revolutionary ideas, the West, in this case precisely London. The inventors are two Pakistanis .They are neither the angels nor can they be given marks for uniting in time. They are the estranged children of the ailing Pakistani democracy, posing as responsible souls after lives spend in waywardness.

Power that be
"We are facing hours of unannounced loadshedding on a daily basis in our city. At least Wapda should inform people beforehand," says Nazir Ahmad Wattoo, a resident of Dhuddiwala Faisalabad.

Campaign time
Anybody watching tv over the past few weeks can easily gauge that elections are round the corner. General Pervez Musharraf is constantly on the move addressing political rallies, meeting delegations of ruling party workers and local bodies' representatives, and announcing development schemes for under-developed areas. General Pervez Musharraf has taken the campaign responsibility upon himself.

 

 

 

Dr Tahirul Qadri has always believed in a divine mission for himself. All worldly gains that he has made during his continued journey to his metaphysical destiny are just useful byproducts, not the real thing. Fortunately for his followers, he will now be focussing all his energies to achieving what he is made for -- a resurrection of Islamic thought and theology.

The scholarly nature of the gigantic task has made it necessary for him to put all other pursuits away to trusted lieutenants and disappear in the seclusion of foreign lands, England to be precise. The idea is to dig deep and come up with something that keeps Islamic view of the world relevant for the next thousand years. The ambition is grand and Tahirul Qadri, during the last 30 years or so, has dropped enough hints to show that he is fully up to it.

In the entire history of Indian Muslims, only one more person -- Sheikh Ahmed Sirhandi -- is credited to have achieved that. For this unprecedented achievement he is commonly known as mujaddid alf-e-sani or 'the' reformer for the second millennium. The moral, religious, political, economic and spiritual decadence of the third millennium should mean that the task of reviving the religion is cut out for someone with some experience in all of these disciplines. Dr Tahirul Qadri, for better or for worse, has legitimate claims to have given a shot or two to all these fields and disciplines, though the degree of his success in each one of them has varied widely. His detractors will be prompt to point out that he has been a dismal failure in all but one of them. An eloquent speaker, Tahirul Qadri has never failed to impress with his choice of words and scholastic logic.

Most of his audiences mistook his mastery of complex scholasticism, couched in stylised phrases and peppered with a devout's deep-seated reverence for the divine, as genuine scholarship. In 1980s, he was a celebrity: his audio cassettes heralding the arrival of morning for believers across the land of the pure and the video versions of his speeches doing the rounds as a religious relic does. He was winner of polemics with Christian missionaries, expositor par excellence of the divine message and rehabilitator like no one else of traditional religious beliefs, facing the twin assault of modernity and orthodox fundamentalism. His fan-club included the whole Sharif family which produced Lahore's own political dynasty in the years to come. In fact, Mian Muhammad Sharif, the father of then Punjab chief minister Mian Nawaz Sharif, was one his most visible sponsors and admirers. 

When he embarked upon an institutionalisation of his idea of religious reform, his admirers across the world opened their wallets to the maximum. His Idara Minhajul Quran and Tehrik-e-Minhajul Quran had supporters in almost every town, big and small, in most of the central Pakistan as they did in lands as distant as the United States and Norway. In the stagnant academic environs of those days, in love with tradition but shaken to the bone by the arguments of its modern and orthodox rivals, his was an engaging voice of certainty which sought to reconfirm traditional beliefs through the force of his rhetoric. His self-assured mannerism led many of his followers to assume that he had divine blessings.

Any human being could have fallen victim to this phenomenal popularity. Tahirul Qadri, despite his declarations of being the chosen one, turned out to be just that -- a fallible human being -- and did what most people with an audience bigger than their family and friends do in the land of the pure. Politics. In 1990, with a huge fanfare he launched Pakistan Awami Tehrik, as a means to realise his socio-religious reforms. Retired armymen, academicians, religious scholars, sportsmen and even TV stars entered Tehrik en masse in those heady days. It is another thing that almost all of them starting leaving the organisation in droves much before it faced its first electoral success. Still when Pakistan had its general elections in 1990, the country's first cricketing hero, Fazal Mehmood, was one of the most prominent candidates on Tehrik's electoral list. Perhaps the emptying of Tehrik, as soon as it was filled by a number of towering giants, owes to the fact that the party was too little a platform to accommodate all of them besides the overwhelming presence that Tahirul Qadri himself enjoyed.

In mid-1990s, Pakistani Awami Tehrik renounced elections and devoted itself to social work, through setting up schools, libraries and dispensaries. But the renunciation was neither complete, nor irreversible. In 1997, Tahirul Qadri was sharing political stage with people who had done nothing but politics to make their presence felt. From relying on the iconic popularity of his erstwhile followers to allying with already established political figures like Nawabzada Nasrullah Khan, Benazir Bhutto, Hamid Nasir Chatta and Manzoor Wattoo, he had taken a 180 degree turn and very surprisingly was taken quite seriously by the political class. Whether voters ever took him seriously, too, is besides the question in a political environment in which most decisions are taken outside of the electoral sphere which may explain why Dr Tahirul Qadri was one of the front-runners for a cabinet slot under Pervez Musharraf's military regime. Some thought he was aiming for the post of the prime minister.

He did not make it that high, though the highest watermark of his political career came about under the military rule. He was elected a member of the National Assembly, the only one to represent his Tehrik in the legislature, only to resign couple of years later citing Pervez Musharraf's failure to come good on his promises to clean up the national polity.

Tahirul Qadri was elected to the assembly from a constituency in Lahore where a large number of his voters were Christians. For someone who had cut his teeth on polemics with Christians across the world this was a huge volte face but to the astonishment of his critics he pulled it off rather very successfully.

All of his other religio-political turnabouts have been much less successful, though. In the process he also earned some bad name for himself and created a lot of bad blood towards him among those who saw him as an ungrateful opportunist who leaves no stone unturned to attract attention. While some religious sections of the society revile him for conferring divine blessings even on the most mundane initiatives that he purported to undertake, many Islamic scholars and their offspring have accused him of blatant plagiarism.

Like most things Tahirul Qadri does, his departure to England has generated a lot of controversy. His critics say his politics has reached a blind alley and his role as the head of Minhajul Quran is no longer above allegations of making personal gains from collective pursuits. Away from the den of all these charges, his grand ideas to transform the whole Islamic polity for the next ten centuries may take a backseat to the thought of recasting himself -- once again. Whether this will help him attain greatness he aspires is too early to judge

Tense borders

Afghanistan is in a grip of fresh violence, with the tempers running high across the Pak-Afghan border. The blame game has once again put the two neighbours at loggerheads. The surge in assaults by the Taliban fighters and air strikes and military operations by coalition forces is causing serious concerns about peace and stability in the region. The insurgency and attacks against US and allied forces stationed in Afghanistan are on the increase in areas which share borders with Pakistan's tribal belt -- giving an excuse to Kabul to point accusing fingers towards Islamabad for not doing much to stop the cross-border infiltration.

Afghan President Hamid Karzai has last week charged Pakistan for training and sending militants to destabilise Afghanistan saying that Islamabad should realise it no longer has power to determine events in his country. A senior US security official too has recently blamed Pakistan for not doing enough in the war on terrorism and militant sanctuaries on its side of the border.

Islamabad, rejecting the charges, has asked Kabul to keep its own house in order. However, President Gen. Pervez Musharraf during an interview with a Pashto language private TV channel admitted that cross border infiltration was continuing despite Pakistan having deployed close to 80,000 troops along the Pak-Afghan border. US has a total of close to 20,000 troops all over Afghanistan.

The sudden surge in attacks and suicide bombing by Taliban, al-Qaeda and supporters of former Afghan prime minister, Gulbaddin Hikmatyar -- who have joined forces for a common cause -- indicate that other regional powers too could be pulling strings. The US is threatening Iran on its nuclear capability and has signed historical agreements with India to send a wave of concern in Pakistan and China, the emerging economic giant of the future.

Taliban in their last days had developed friendly relations with China after their leadership assured the Chinese that no separatist movement of Muslims would be backed by Afghanistan. China had fears that Taliban might be funding, training and sending fighters to Xiahinkiang province where Muslim separatists under the banner of Uighur army were struggling for independence. President Musharraf on return from his last trip to China had said in Peshawar that he was ashamed to hear from Chinese officials that the Karakoram Highway, built with the hope to further cement China's friendship with Pakistan, is being used for infiltration.

Currently though neither China nor Iran is in picture because Taliban insurgency is going on in areas along the Pak-Afghan border.

The resistance starts from northeastern Kunar province and stretches to the southwest of Afghanistan. The southern Kandahar, Helmand, Zabul and Urozgan provinces are in the grip of insurgency, where US-led coalition forces are engaged in ground offensive as well as air strikes to bomb the suspected hideouts of the Taliban and their supporters. Dozens of Afghans, majority of them civilians, have been killed in Kandahar, Helmand and Urozgan during the last two weeks. Two Chinook helicopters have been shot down in Kunar in the last eight-nine months killing more than two dozens US soldiers.

It's the first time in four years that Taliban fighters have changed their tactics from guerilla warfare to conventional war -- by taking control of towns and villages close to the main cities in Kandahar, Kunar, Paktika and Khost provinces. Fact is that in pursuit of insurgents the US planes bomb whole villages, which mostly kill innocent civilians rather than fighters. The recent bombing of Pajwaye district in Kandahar province is ample proof of this where more than 100 people, majority of them common villagers, were killed by the bombing.

More than 60 persons were arrested in Kandahar and Helmand during raids on mosques and houses. It was claimed by the Corp Commander of Kandahar, Rehmatullah Raufi that top Taliban military commander, Mulla Dadullah has also been arrested, but the reports about Dadullah's arrest proved to be untrue. The concentration of US forces in Kunar suggest that Americans are convinced that Osama bin Laden, Ayman Al-Zawahiri, Gulbaddin Hikmatyar and top Taliban leaders are hiding in the mountainous region and valleys of the province covered by thick forests.

But the human losses and heavy damages inflicted on the coalition forces by the comparatively poorly-equipped resistance fighters bring so many questions to mind. As for military training, one can to some extent agree with Mulla Dadullah's argument that there is no need to use Pakistan's soil for training when they can do it easily inside their own country or to hire services of the Pakistani intelligence agencies, as claimed by President Karzai. Dadullah has claimed that he has raised a group of 100 committed fighters, who can become suicide bombers and die to protect him in case he is endangered.

There are questions that are still to be answered: How and where do the insurgents hide after carrying out attacks? What are the channels that ensure a smooth supply of funds and logistics for a sustainable struggle against the military might of the US?

Taliban can capture a town or village, and even the district headquarters buildings in different provinces, but they cannot keep control of these places for long -- they have no air cover or safety against the ruthless bombing by the coalition forces. Shootings suspects, raids on houses, search operations and random arrests by the coalition forces reflect their frustration and also provide the opportunity to the anti-US and anti-Afghan groups to propagate it as such and win support from people.

It's also a known fact that people are not supporting the Taliban out of their free will but are helping them either out of fear or hatred created by the foreign troops showing no sensitivity towards local customs, traditions and in most cases, to places of worship.

Contrary to Pakistan's stand, the Afghan and US officials are of the firm believe that South and North Waziristan as well as Bajaur agencies have become safe sanctuaries for infiltrators and serve as reservoirs for recruiting, training and sending fighters and suicide bombers to Afghanistan. Since Pakistan was deeply involved in the past in whatever the Afghan authorities are now charging it for, the issues of infiltration, training and logistical support may continue to haunt it in the times to come.

 

 

On his own terms

In the midst of statements hinting at a general election next year or in early 2008, the political environment in the country remains fluid. Different stakeholders throw feelers to gauge public response to frame their respective election campaign.

Some of these issues revolve round the question of the president in uniform. The central question remains: should the president, after having stayed in this office for seven years, be seeking re-election by assemblies that will be at the virtual end of their term?

It did not look exactly like a feeler -- what the president himself suggested recently. In a brief tv comment he said that under the constitution the existing assemblies are mandated to elect him for a second term. There is no ambiguity in the constitution in this context and people debating the issue are unaware of the constitution, he said.

He has also said he will seek a re-election at least a couple of months prior to the expiry of his term. His tenure will end on November 15, 2007, which means a presidential election could be held any time between September 15 to October 15 next.

Similar exercises have also been carried out in the past by the president's constitutional managers to mould public opinion in his favour. The current exercise came soon after the announcement of 'Charter of Democracy' by PPP-PML-N.

The charter does not contain any reference to General Musharraf or his uniform. It says: "We the elected leaders of Pakistan have deliberated on the political crisis in our beloved homeland, the threats to its survival, the erosion of the federation's unity, the military's subordination of all state institutions, the marginalisation of civil society, the mockery of the Constitution and representative institutions, growing poverty, unemployment and inequality, brutalisation of society, breakdown of rule of law and, the unprecedented hardships facing our people under a military dictatorship, which has pushed our beloved country to the brink of a total disaster;..."

The president has reacted by saying the so-called Charter of Democracy contained nothing for the welfare of the Pakistani masses and they were only interested in their own lust for power. While Punjab Chief Minister Chaudhry Pervez Elahi's statement is aimed at targeting the conservative Muslim League workers. Nawaz Sharif, he said, had practically joined the Pakistan People's Party by signing the Charter of Democracy in London and the PML-N workers should therefore quit the party and join the real Muslim League.

What's most interesting is the rebuttal of the president's statement by the Inter-Services Public Relations. The rebuttal by ISPR would suggest that whatever General Musharraf had said he had said as an army chief. As president he has other channels to rely on, like the one through his press secretary and the government spokesperson as well as the newly-appointed federal information minister.

Denying the remarks, the ISPR stated: "The president did not say that present assemblies will elect him for a second term in the interview to the private television channel, and clearly stated that his tenure expires on November 2007 and new elections should be held one month earlier in October 2007 under the Constitution."

Musharraf had also said that new presidential elections could be held two months before his tenure expired in November 2007. Director General ISPR Major General Shaukat Sultan said that the president said that presidential elections should be held between September 15 and October 15. "The president had clarified the constitutional position and had not used the word of his election by the present assembly as attributed to him."

Earlier, the Alliance for the Restoration of Democracy (ARD) announced that it would chalk out a strategy to counter President General Pervez Musharraf's move to get re-elected from existing assemblies.

ARD spokesperson Munir Ahmad Khan said: "There is no constitutional, legal and moral justification for the present assemblies to re-elect Musharraf for another term. How can an assembly, itself elected for a five-year term, elect a person as president for nine years?"

"An assembly can elect a new president for the remaining term if an incumbent president dies, resigns or (gets) impeached, as happens in the US. But, one assembly, under no circumstances, can elect presidents for two full terms. If this unfortunate precedent is set, it will open a Pandora's box and everyone will be abusing it in future," he said.

All these political maneuverings are being done in the backdrop of some other developments on the borders. There has been a volley of statements where Afghan President Hamid Karzai and a top British army officer have accused Pakistan of letting Taliban militants infiltrate Afghanistan to carry out attacks. This has received swift condemnation from Islamabad that dismissed the charges as ludicrous.

Besides, some recent statements emanating from Washington suggest that the US can look at Pakistan without Musharraf. In a recent congressional hearing the US Assistant Secretary of State Richard Boucher (May 18) said that the US believes it is important for Pakistan to ensure the 2007 elections are credible, free and fair.

"We are supporting the election commissioner with money. We found aid money to help him with setting things up, getting transparent ballot boxes, all the other kinds of things he wants to do," he said. "We think that's a key pillar of having a free election."

The US, he said, also had engaged the Pakistani government and 'others' in its efforts to 'build the basis for a good election, a free and fair election' next year. "We remind the government and everybody else of the importance that election be credible, free and fair and widely recognised," he said.

 

One of the things about coming to America is to let all the flowing energy sink in, and then ponder on what makes the place tick. Problem is that you may get very peculiar answers. One thing that was difficult to take in is that apparently the place does not have an official, or national language! They have been making do with an assumption all this time, until word started trickling in that people were being refused jobs because they can't speak Spanish! They are beginning to get round to it but it is obvious that it is a minor matter and does not really bother many.

I don't know if word has got round to you yet but there is stuff of much greater import at hand; here all five boroughs of New York, and the rest of the city and suburbs; not to mention the rest of the State and the other fifty States and other nations north and south of the borders, and in Europe and any other continents left over, I mean everyone has completely lost his marbles -- over The Da Vinci Code.

You wake up in the morning to the sound of this convoluted discussion of the movie on this talk-show panel, then they go to this wide-eyed interviewer stopping early morning joggers in mid-jog to speculate on it because it hasn't opened yet; and you go to bed with a panel gathering to talk about it, all night long I guess, which is why they look exhausted in the morning.

One would have thought the subcontinent at least would be immune, but it seems there too there have been protests and demonstrations -- for or against I don't know. All of which is a bit rum, because if you, like me, have been dumb enough to plod through the book, you will recall that it is quite a plod. The tale is fanciful, the story telling is pedestrian, and there is nowhere near enough action to give Schwarzenegger an anxious moment. And I am afraid to say even this because the last people who tried to tell Dan Brown that he wasn't the cat's whiskers got clobbered for a few million dollars in law costs.

Actually I saved myself the trouble of having to say anything as I came away the day the film finally opened. The weather had turned changeable and wet, and there were freak thunderstorms all over town and we barely made it to the flight -- only to sit in a cramped seat for three hours, until the passengers balked and they gave us a sumptuous airline dinner right on the tarmac!

Departing flights were lined up dozens strong, and only one could take off every five minutes, so every five minutes we moved fifty yards and stopped again. We sat gloating that we manage things better in the third world; but by the time we were ready, the early evening editions of the papers were in, and so were the very first reviews of 'Code'. The first one I read said, "It seems like the dog's dinner, not the Last Supper!" Ho, ho!

Of course it's going to be the voice of one crying in the wilderness, and the film will have made its millions way before the ink on the last nasty review is dry. The thing about hype is, once hyped it can't be de-hyped! And that is what really makes it tick!

 

Necessity is the mother of invention. This Mother's Day, a fresh proof of the truth in the saying was provided in that ultimate place for revolutionary ideas, the West, in this case precisely London. The inventors are two Pakistanis .They are neither the angels nor can they be given marks for uniting in time. They are the estranged children of the ailing Pakistani democracy, posing as responsible souls after lives spend in waywardness.

The Charter of Democracy signed by Mohtarma Benazir Bhutto and Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif after weeks of suspense reads like a dream remedy. Beginning of course with the military, whose burgeoning role in the politics of the country, we all have agreed and agreed again, has to be curtailed.

A significant part of the charter is dedicated .to providing a framework within which this containing job can be done. The National Security Council is to be disbanded and Kargil is to be investigated. The services chiefs as well as the chief of joint chiefs of staff committee are to be appointed by the prime minister; the coups since 1996 (which means focusing on one coup and ignoring the rest) are to investigated; no one is going to have the right to ask the military to intervene or throw out an elected government (unlike what has been the case in the past); the military land allotment and cantonment jurisdictions are to come under the purview of the Defence Ministry and a body is to be set up to review, scrutinise and examine the legitimacy of all such land allotments; etc, etc.

Military intelligence agencies have also found a prominent mention in the map of Mohtarma and Mian Saheb. The recipe for good democracy seeks to put Inter-Services Intelligence, Military Intelligence and other security agencies under the command of the elected governments "through the Prime Minister Secretariat, Ministry of Defence and Cabinet Division respectively."

Those who can see eye to eye with the military can of course envision changes in the judiciary as well. The two former prime ministers say it is time all military and judicial officers filed their annual assets and income declarations, for the time being leaving another suspicious breed by the name of journalists outside the ambit of their reform scheme. They also suggest ways to ensure an independent judiciary and say: "No judge shall take oath under any Provisional Constitution Order". They promise Pakistanis that should they get another chance to implement their charter, the recommendations for appointment of judges to superior judiciary shall be formulated through a commission which shall comprise among others members of various bar councils in the country. The decision to approve the names proposed by this commission is to lie with a parliamentary committee with equal representation of the treasury and the opposition.

The charter also discusses other less important areas such as the restoration of the Constitution as it read on October 12, 1999, before General Pervez Musharraf took over, but it kind of compliments the General for his work by qualifying that certain constitutional provisions enacted under him such as the restoration of joint electorates are to stay, even if with some alteration.

The charter repeats the old line that Kashmir has to be resolved in the light of the United Nations resolutions passed half a century ago. This is perhaps the only place where the charter's authors have defied the current international opinion on issues, taking care as they have that their observations are cushioned in an international document a la Islamabad.

This brings us to the jarring, missing part in the Charter of Democracy. It sets out to reform the system on a large-scale but fails to address the issue of Pakistan's sovereignty in relation to the diktats of the world powers. It is surely a blueprint to constitutional amendments, but it does address other questions on the side, like Kashmir, Afghanistan, and might as well have continued to include foreign interference in the affairs of Pakistan, both directly and through financial institutions such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund etc. And since the charter doesn't take up these matters, it is only natural for it to avoid entering areas where it would have been incumbent upon its signatories to suggest possible reforms in the country's economic system. For the moment at least, the two former prime minister whose hands had been tied by constant outside assertions have limited their view of the economics to National Finance Commission Award and yes, to an open parliamentary debate on the defence budget.

Even when the topic is federating units and where a new constitutional package is deemed necessary, there is, as yet, no talk of provincial autonomy. The most radical the charter gets is when it suggests incorporating Federally Administered Tribal Areas into NWFP "in consultation with them."

But it needs to be reiterated that the charter's essence lies in its objective to free future prime ministers of the halters previous prime ministers have found placed around their necks. It encompasses and also builds on a lot many of the independent demands voiced by various circles in Pakistan over the years on that count. Coming from the leaders of two major political forces in the country, these vows and promises should matter, and in the words of a Pakistan People's Party leader from the NWFP, should at least herald a new future where inter-party dialogue and adjustment is encouraged.

The responses to the 36-point document are indicative of the dilemma of the Pakistanis who live in perpetual confusion and crave absolute clarity. The clouds of confusion could have been lifted a bit and the divide would have been pungent had the earlier signs delivered on their promise.

The takeover in 1999 was supposed to bring out the divide starkly, but it didn't and we had a situation where even the direct victims of the coup appeared to be seeking a rapprochement with their tormentors. The exile of the Sharif family more than five years ago provided another opportunity for the demarcation of a line where military rule per se was rejected in favour of the prevalent model of democracy.

The PPP, which is more an anti-establishment idea than an organised political outfit working concertedly towards a set objective, had its moments too, but it wasted them while preferring to get its country head photographed with the man in power and getting Ms Bhutto's spouse out of the country. The Charter of Democracy will have served its purpose if it could just manage to clear the blurred lines in a helter-skelter whole that is called politics in Pakistan. Many among us would have been happier if the plan had come from people with better democratic credentials, like many would prefer a policy of equidistance with the failed politicians on one side and the uniformed reformers of the system on the other. But the arrangement seems so very impossible in what we have made of Pakistan today.

The charter has led to some very caustic responses from the ruling group. For all these counter remarks may be worth, none of the worthy gentleman in the ruling camp has so far felt the need to argue against it point by point. They have been otherwise heard so vociferously campaigning for a president in uniform continuing in foreseeable future but perhaps coming up with an anti-thesis to the Benazir-Nawaz proposals would amount to giving them undue importance. The funniest part in the drama is where post-charter General Musharraf is shown as coveting the post of the prime minister. More realistically, the impossibilities inherent in the charter convey a message as if Mohtarma and Mian Saheb are content with where they are.

 

 

Power that be

"We are facing hours of unannounced loadshedding on a daily basis in our city. At least Wapda should inform people beforehand," says Nazir Ahmad Wattoo, a resident of Dhuddiwala Faisalabad.

Defending the authority, Chairman Wapda Tariq Hameed had said a few days back that the stupendous increase in the usage of electrical gadgets is a major cause of loadshedding. The extra load overheats transmission equipment, leaving no choice with the authority except to suspend power to cool its transformers, otherwise the whole system could collapse, he said.

What exactly are the reasons of loadshedding? Market data confirms that airconditioning units, fridges and other home appliances sale has increased manifold in recent years. Chairman Pakistan Electronics Manufacturer Association Sarfrazuddin estimates that 700,000 air conditioners units will be sold in Pakistan this summer. Introduction of less power consuming split air conditioners in the market is main reason, he says. "The cost of one split unit was over Rs50000 four years back and is now around Rs20000. Airconditioners and refrigerators which were considered a few years ago as luxury have become a necessity in recent years due to severe climatic conditions."

Principal information officer KESC Sultan Hassan says that there is a visible difference in the consumption of electricity in Karachi during winter and summer. "In summer an additional 300 megawatts of electricity is consumed in Karachi, most of which is eaten up by ACs. In Karachi alone, the increase in demand of electricity is 7 per cent per annum due to different factors -- including more and more usage of electrical gadgets. With that kind of demand, electricity infrastructure ought to be double in ten years," he says.

According to Sultan Hassan KESC has a production capacity of 1500 megawatt while the city consumes 2200 megawatts during peak hours. "For the rest we rely on Wapda which provides us 550-580 megawatts. People should understand that loadshedding is a phenomenon to keep the power supply intact. When demand is more than production or availability, loadshedding in certain areas of city is unavoidable. Otherwise the whole system will collapse."

People are not interested in the logic provided by Wapda or KESC officials. "The use of more gadgets does not justify power breakdown for hours. If that was the reason, why don't the affluent localities, where usage of these gadgets is on its peak, do not face loadshedding," asks Amjad Hussain Lodhi, a resident of Lahore's walled city. He admits that in his house usage of electricity is almost double in summers. "In winter average electricity bill of our house of 7 people is around Rs700. But in summer the bill goes up to Rs1500 and will further increase since I have installed a split air conditioner."

Haji Mian Tariq Farooq President Abid Market Lahore thinks that availability of electrical appliances on installment is also one reason why they are being sold in such huge numbers.

The producers of electrical appliances also verify that the demand is reaching new heights in the Pakistani market. Zonal Sales Manager Haier Pakistan, Rehan Alvi tells TNS that three years back the consumption of air conditioners was 350,000 units per year which has now crossed the 700,000 mark. The overall sale of home appliances is increasing by 20 to 25 per cent every year, he says.

"The manufacturing of split airconditioners was introduced in the year 2001 in the Pakistani market and now more than five companies have their production units," says Rehan

Wapda officials says that electricity consumption is on rise "It's 11 per cent more than last year. From April 20 to May 1 this year, it increased by 25 per cent compared to the corresponding period last year," says Member Power Wapda Muhammad Anwar Khalid. "There is no shortfall of electricity.On May 23 the total demand in the country was 12,600 megawatts, while Wapda had over 14,000 megawatts electricity available on that day."

Anwar Khalid says that loadshedding is not a phenomenon related to shortfall of electricity alone. There could be other reasons like some accident or emergency. "WAPDA has 700 grid stations of various capacities and when the electricity load at a specific transformer increases more than it could handle, it overheats and WAPDA has to switch it off to cool it down. This is what we do to save the whole system."

"More usage of electric gadgets is not a big problem. The real problem is excessive and uneconomical usage. We should review our electricity consumption habit and try to save more and more electricity," says Khalid.

The line losses have been reduced by three per cent in the last three years. "Line losses have been brought down from 24.4 per cent in 2003 to 21.4 per cent. We're already ahead of target that was set at 21.9 percent. The numbers of consumers have also increased from 13.3 million in 2003 to 15.8 million in 2006," he adds.

Architects are of the view that electricity consumption has something to do with the way houses are designed in Pakistan majority of which ignore the climatic conditions. The occupants consume extra energy to make the houses comfortable. "It is estimated that improved building designs can reduce household energy bills by up to 20 per cent," says Abdul Khaliq Mughal, a Lahore-based builder.

 

 

Anybody watching tv over the past few weeks can easily gauge that elections are round the corner. General Pervez Musharraf is constantly on the move addressing political rallies, meeting delegations of ruling party workers and local bodies' representatives, and announcing development schemes for under-developed areas. General Pervez Musharraf has taken the campaign responsibility upon himself.

Leaving the prime minister aside who never had any political pretensions, the top leadership including former Nawaz Sharif loyalists like Mushahid Hussain Syed, Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain and Chaudhry Pervaiz Illahi are not worthy of running a successful campaign. Mushahid Hussain had never been a politician with mass appeal. The Chaudhries from Gujrat may have had a strong following in their home-constituencies, but they never had to do the political campaigning on a national level. In the 2002 election that brought them into power, they succeeded because their group was 'chosen' by the establishment.

The visibility of Pervaiz Illahi in the media is mainly due to his position as the chief minister of the largest and most developed province. As for the rest of the vocal members of the ruling establishment, their political vocabulary during the last four years has been limited to expressing support for the idea of having an in-service general as president.

The talk of elections next year has made the political differences among the ruling coalition more visible. The most serious differences recently surfaced in the Sindh coalition, where the very important partner MQM decided to boycott the provincial assembly session.

With the ruling coalition in disarray, General Pervez Musharraf has been forced to take up the leadership of the political campaign. The campaign is targeted at his own election by virtue of a win for the present ruling coalition and if necessary through some compromise formula with the opposition parties, particularly with Pakistan People's Party.

 

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Musharraf's advisor in the field of education is Dr. Atta-ur-Rehman, the chairman of Higher Education Commission. Dr. Atta had taken upon himself the responsibility of changing the face of higher education in Pakistan. Earlier, his programmes suggesting changes in the current university setup were severely criticised and opposed by the university teachers nationwide. They were of the view that in the name of reforms, Dr. Atta was trying to do away with whatever little autonomy was available to the university education in Pakistan. Instead of an elected senate and syndicate, the suggested scheme had asked for a board of governor with governor of the province as head to manage the universities.

Dr Atta-ur-Rehman is obsessed with the idea of producing thousands of PhDs to compete with India. However, with the quality of existing faculty, especially in the public sector universities, this ambitious plan of the chairman HEC was bound to fail. He along with the president ignored certain important areas such as the primary and secondary levels that need drastic changes. Then there are at least five different systems of education operating in Pakistan that hinder any higher education reform. First is the Madrassa education in thousands of religious seminaries. Then there are schools that charge monthly fee of rupees fifty thousand and produce students who find it easy to get admissions and jobs abroad very easily. However, they are totally unaware of Pakistan's culture and way of life. When students from these so-called elite institutions come to rule which they must, they are unable to understand the real problems and issues faced by society.

The third system of education is being followed by institutions run by Christian missions working in the subcontinent for about two hundred years. These institutions have been serving the cause of quality education at a reasonable and affordable cost. Now, these institutions along with their hospitals are facing the wrath of the religious might.

Then there are the mushrooming 'English medium' schools established in houses everywhere, with untrained and inadequate staff. They are fleecing the public since 1977 when Zia regime had denationalised educational institutions.

Lastly, there are schools run by corporations, municipal committees and other local bodies in a most pathetic condition. the working conditions are unspeakable and facilities provided to the students and teachers are below standard.

The chief minister of Punjab has started a publicity campaign and spent million of rupees on advertisements projecting Punjab government's programme for improving the state of education in the province. For all practical purposes, it only has a propaganda value.

The higher education reformers also seem to have ignored the important question of academic freedom and promoting a culture of debate and freedom to question age-old norms and beliefs. To achieve this objective, the criteria for selection of teachers and vice-chancellors and principals will have to be changed. The importance of social sciences and arts education will have to be recognised. The science education is being promoted at the cost of liberal arts and social sciences.

What's most important, the social status of teachers must be improved if talented people are to be attracted towards this important field. One hopes that this high sounding talk about education is not a part of election campaign. For it needs serious efforts and revolutionary decisions.

 

 

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