Editorial
Imran Khan and Nawaz Sharif (where on earth did Abrarul Haq spring from?) are talking about issues in generalised terms — inflation, loadshedding, corruption. They probably don’t know what’s hurting the poor and the not-so-poor people of this country most. Today, the people in this country can’t eat what they want to; they are not eating as well as they used to. Today, a person holding a bag of vegetables is looked at with as much envy as one holding a meat bag a few years ago.  

inflation
How pricey can it get?

Solutions need a comprehensive understanding of issues pertaining to production, preservation and distribution of different food commodities  
By Shahzada Irfan Ahmed
For Pakistan, food inflation is not an issue but a challenge. With greater number of mouths to feed every year and lesser resources at their disposal, it’s not an easy task for the government to meet the demand of food. The ever-widening gap between the demand and the supply of food products puts a pressure on the prices of these commodities and takes a heavy toll on people’s pockets.  

Scraping along
Woes of a low-income family
By Naila Inayat
Going home after a tough day at school, any nine-year-old would want to be welcomed by some good food but for Danish things are different; he has to be content with whatever his mother and father can afford in these times of food inflation. 

Editorial

Imran Khan and Nawaz Sharif (where on earth did Abrarul Haq spring from?) are talking about issues in generalised terms — inflation, loadshedding, corruption. They probably don’t know what’s hurting the poor and the not-so-poor people of this country most. Today, the people in this country can’t eat what they want to; they are not eating as well as they used to. Today, a person holding a bag of vegetables is looked at with as much envy as one holding a meat bag a few years ago.

This is the stuff revolutions are made of. Remember Marie Antoinette’s retort “Let them eat cake” and what followed. But Khan and Sharif have failed to pick on it.

Instead of food, people are fed reasons — one or the other and sometimes together. Speculation in food had become familiar because it was a pattern — a shortage of tomato followed by shortage of onion and so on. And then came huge input costs as the excuse because of energy and fuel prices. For two years running, it’s floods and their aftermath and for as many years it’s the international food prices.

For people here, all of the above cited reasons hold true at this particular point in time. And every necessary food item has gone out of reach.

Result: poor people who spent a major chunk — around 60 per cent — of their income on food now feel the crunch. And then there is the cumulative effect because there are other important heads they have to cater too like the electricity bills. For a majority of poor people, cooked vegetables and lentils are a thing of the past. Most of the time, it’s chutney (green chillies or whatever) with roti.

Food prices now pinch even the lower middle classes and the middle classes; because there’s the private school fees and the house rent and the utility bills.

This is a free-for-all situation with the government sitting as a silent spectator, allowing no regulation of any kind. If it can step in to control the price of staple food like flour, why can’t it do something about other things. Yes we know there’s Benazir Income Support Programme but with the food inflation’s current status even that is insufficient.

Food inflation is huge and this is what we want to highlight in today’s Special Report.

 

inflation
How pricey can it get?
Solutions need a comprehensive understanding of issues pertaining to production, preservation and distribution of different food commodities  
By Shahzada Irfan Ahmed

For Pakistan, food inflation is not an issue but a challenge. With greater number of mouths to feed every year and lesser resources at their disposal, it’s not an easy task for the government to meet the demand of food. The ever-widening gap between the demand and the supply of food products puts a pressure on the prices of these commodities and takes a heavy toll on people’s pockets.

No doubt the supply issue is integral to this scenario, but there are other factors also that are responsible for the hike in the prices of edible products. Some reasons may be common for increase in prices of different products and others only related to a particular product. Just like reasons, suggested solutions are also diverse and need a comprehensive understanding of issues pertaining to production, preservation and distribution of different products.

A comparative analysis of the current prices of food products with that prevalent in a corresponding year in the past show a significant rise in the prices of milk, meat, vegetables and staples, edible oil, spices, pulses and sugar. Different reasons are cited for the increase. TNS spoke with experts and stakeholders about what could the solutions be.

Despite being the fifth largest producer of milk, Pakistan is spending millions of dollars annually on the import of formula milk to meet its milk demands. Though the country ranks high among milk producing countries, the yield per animal is dismally low. It is one-third of the yield of an Australian or New Zealander cow.

Experts believe major reasons for low production are consumption of inferior feed, non-professional farming and lack of efforts at breed improvement. They suggest the feed has to be improved and farming done on modern grounds. The practice of keeping cattle in small numbers in congesting dens and feeding only of agricultural byproducts like straw, cottonseed cakes (khal banola) should also be done away with. Pakistan Agri Forum President Ibrahim Mughal suggests efforts at breed improvement through artificial insemination and proper administration of vaccines and medicines to the milk-producing animals to improve productivity and reduce mortality among them.

He says agricultural and dairy research has consumed billions of rupees but results are not obvious. “I think the research which is limited to office shelves and racks should be taken to the farmers without delay.”

Prices of vegetables, poultry, grains and pulses go up and down but those which are always on the rise are those of meat. Once they reach a level they retain it till they are surpassed. The reasons are many, including smuggling of live animals and unregulated export of meat. But the less known are that animals are not reared especially to obtain meat, says Dr Asif Sahi, Project Director at Punjab Agriculture and Meat Company (PAMCO). This results in the ever-increasing shortage of meat supply in the market. Only those animals that are nearing expiration and are unable to produce off-springs or milk or mate with females are brought into the market for slaughtering.

He says that around 90 percent buffalo calves are slaughtered before attaining the age of one month as the farmer thinks them to be a burden and consumer of buffaloes’ milk. As only female buffaloes are allowed to grow up they are ultimately slaughtered, leading to loss of milk they could produce.

Besides, Sahi says, she-goats and sheep which have not given birth before are slaughtered. In fact, he says, they are the nursery and their slaughtering leads to loss of meat-yielding animals they could have reared.

According to Sahi, the farmers should be convinced about discontinuing these practices and rearing calves till the age they attain desirable weight. The Punjab government, he says, is offering subsidy to farmers who are rearing calves to add to the meat supply. Special breeds meant to obtain meat will have to be introduced. These breeds have a high meat-to-bone ratio which makes them a viable option. PAMCO, he says, has imported semen of this from abroad and started working on the project to introduce such breeds.

Unfortunately, in Pakistan, the post-harvest wastage of agricultural produce is 30 to 35 percent of the total production. Elimination or even reduction of this wasted amount can improve the situation considerably, believes Ibrahim Mughal. Vegetables and fruits are wasted due to unprofessional harvesting and cutting methods, lack of storage capacity, improper packing and rough transportation methods. “We must first save what we have and then go for increased productivity,” he says, adding that the yield per acre will have to be improved as the available land is limited and cannot be increased. Ibrahim says that one can have little control over input costs but the output can be increased by introducing best practices and through research.

Mushtaq Ahmed, a vegetable trader in Badami Bagh Market, believes speculation related to the supply of agricultural products is a major reason for hike in their prices. When there are forces which can release or hold back stocks according to their will, benefits of bumper crop cannot reach consumers. Such mafias, comprising middlemen and their patrons, should be tackled with strongly. Why is it so that the withheld stocks are brought into the market as soon as the government decides to import these products in high demand?

Farmers across the country are interested in cultivating staple and cash crops. Very few of them sow sunflower, rapeseed, canola etc and that too during the interval between sowing of two major crops. A concerted effort to set up vegetable oil industry and marketing channels can help convince farmers to venture in this direction. This will also help decrease dependence on imported oil, especially palm oil imported from Malaysia.

Cultivation of olive in Chakwal and Khushab districts for extraction of oil is one such step in this direction.

Sheikh Mushtaq Ahmed, a grain merchant in Akbari Market, says unnecessary hassle in import of spices and pulses from the neighbouring country should be removed. Whenever there is a shortage of these products due to floods etc, the prices touch the skies and formalities for import take ages to complete. “Everybody knows red chillies sown over thousands of acres have been destroyed in Badin. But what they don’t know is that the government is not going to import it from India before the time when it is expected to reach markets,” he adds.

No doubt the dependence on regional trade has to be increased in order to ease the supplies of these products. Recently, around 40 agriculture experts of the SAARC countries participated in a meeting in order to set up SAARC Agriculture Centre with the objective of increasing productivity of pulses in the region. They observed the production of pulses including masoor, moong, maash, rajmah and khesari is high in these countries, especially, but they are importing them from countries like Turkey and Canada. Promoting mutual trade will bring down the cost of transportation as well as the invoice value.

Sugar, which was once declared a luxury by a ruling party member of the parliament, is one of the most manipulated edible products. Targeted by regulators for cartelisation sugar mills owners, many of whom are influential political leaders, had their say and succeeded in setting prices of their choice on many an occasion. Experts believe the cartels have to be broken and negative propaganda against import of sugar from countries like India in times of need be countered. The campaign against Indian sugar for being rich on harmful phosphorus content was just an attempt by the cartels to keep things under their control, they believe.

 

Eighty-year-old Parveen Kausar spends most of her time recalling the good old days when she could eat everything and in good amounts.

“Grains, vegetables, meat, milk and fruit, everything was available at cheap rates,” she says in a trembling voice. “The food was of good quality, pure, and readily available.”

Kausar, part of a family of 10, lives in Khan Colony, a low class (not exactly a slum) neighbourhood, administratively under Lahore’s cantonment board. The colony comprises upto 500 houses with the majority living on rent. It consists of parallel streets alongside the railway track with the posh Gulberg on the other side of the track.

The 50-year-old locality was called Muft Pura (a place for free) soon after the creation of Pakistan when poor people started occupying this abandoned piece of land alongside the British-era constructed railway track. Later, the army took over the land, making it part of the cantonment board-governed area. Muft Pura streets are now divided into three small localities: Hasnain Abad, Khan Colony, and Fateh Abad.

Majority of the people of the locality are unemployed, daily wagers or labourers in different factories of the city. Some of them do small businesses in rented shops.

“Most of the women of the locality work in posh house and bring leftover food from the houses where they work as maids,” says Muhammad Hanif, 65, a labourer and old resident of the colony.

“We eat mutton and beef in dreams only,” he said, adding, “The situation was a bit better till two years ago. Everyday is getting worse. Ten years back, we used to have meat or beef twice a week and now it’s almost once in two months, especially when we have guests at home. Most people in this locality cannot afford prices of food, meat, grains, and fruit.”

Khan Colony is one of the thousands of such poor localities in the poverty-ridden Pakistan. According to the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP), more than 48 percent Pakistanis are facing food insecurity. High food prices have significantly worsened the consumption patterns of such a basic necessity.

Shopkeepers selling grocery, essential items and chicken say that the buy capacity of the people is decreasing day-by-day. “Customers who used to buy the things up to Rs 10,000 a month are now purchasing up to Rs 5,000, while the people buying things up to Rs 5,000 are almost nowhere. They are buying small portions of sugar, oil, tea, milk, yogurt etc,” says Muhammad Azam Butt, a general store owner who is running the shop for more than 10 years in Khan Colony.

Muhammad Farooq, 30, having two children, is running a chicken meat shop for the last one year and says that the number of customers is decreasing gradually because of non-affordability. “In last two days, I have sold only 21 kilogramme chicken in this big locality.” Farooq, who used to run a meat shop in another area of Gulberg, left that business because of decreasing sale. People are not buying meat anymore, he says.

“The future of the poor people living in localities like Khan Colony is dark. Food is going out of their reach,” says Hanif, adding, “I know many families in the area who do not eat or cook for days and they have to beg.”

“Prices have increased highly in the last few years and the reason is not their shortage or non-availability but lawlessness. Tomato was Rs 60 per kg a week ago and now they are Rs 200 per kg,” he gives an example, saying this is poor governance and lawlessness. “Nobody is controlling the mafias in the business in Pakistan. This is just like might is right and people are helpless.”

Many of the people of the locality seem frustrated and disappointed over the situation believing the situation will be worse in the coming years. “We have no solution to these things. We don’t know what our children will eat in future,” says Muhammad Mumtaz, a small scrap dealer. “We just to want to go in a protest rally and die in a blast to get rid of this situation.”

vaqargillani@gmail.com

 

Scraping along
Woes of a low-income family
By Naila Inayat

Going home after a tough day at school, any nine-year-old would want to be welcomed by some good food but for Danish things are different; he has to be content with whatever his mother and father can afford in these times of food inflation.

Danish is not the only child in the family of six; he has three elder siblings who have the same feelings. But, for 38-year-old Shaheen, children’s craving is not important as much as getting enough to eat.

“If I start making fancy dishes for them I’ll end up with nothing,” she says.

Shaheen is a domestic worker, belonging to the lower strata of society. “To make a simple vegetable dish I’m spending Rs 300-400 daily, that is if you count all the ingredients. We are six people in the family and 2kgs of dry vegetables are sufficient for a day,” she says.

Similarly, they can’t have enough money for rice and lentils (daal chawal). Gone are the days when daal was a poor man’s meal. “Today, it is for the influential people. Chana daal was for Rs 15 per quarter kg three years back, now it’s for Rs 40. And, it is considered to be the cheapest of all daals,” she says, with a straight face.

Shaheen earns Rs 3,000 a month and her husband is an electrician whose monthly wages total up to Rs 12,000. The family spends Rs 7,000-8,000 per month on ration and essential grocery items. Shaheen says that they don’t have much left to buy fruits. “Not that I don’t want my children to have fruits but with a major proportion of our income going into the daily eatables, I can only buy us fruits once a month.

“Three years ago, this was manageable within our budget. I would buy vegetables for Rs 100, not any more.”

Shaheen’s youngest son Danish and eldest child Shabana both caught dengue fever recently. According to her, there was no cash in hand to provide for the ailing children’s nutrient deficiency — “no apples, bananas, milk and eggs. I had to borrow money from someone in order to feed them.”

 

interview
“Ours is… also a severe governance crisis”
Abid Qaiyum Suleri, social policy analyst and development practitioner is also a specialist in Food Security from the University of Greenwich, UK, and executive director of Sustainable Development Policy Institute
By Ather Naqvi

The News on Sunday: Spending on food items has increased considerably in our monthly budgets, especially in the last couple of years. What are the reasons?

Abid Qaiyum Suleri: There are many reasons for food price hike in Pakistan. However, to me, the primary reason is inefficient governance that fails to ensure consistent food supply as per the demand of consumers. Increase in prices of agricultural inputs, increase of cost of transportation, damage to physical infrastructure limiting the supply of food products, hoarding and cartelisation (especially in case of sugar) and smuggling of food grains and live animals to neighbouring countries are some of the other factors leading to food inflation. But again, all of the abovementioned issues could have been tackled through better government initiatives at the local level.

Restricted or uncertain physical supply of food triggers panic buying. Those who can afford to pay try to buy beyond their immediate requirement even at higher prices. This further encourages hoarders to sell at a higher price and the vicious cycle continues till the supply becomes stable.

TNS: Despite being an agricultural country, little seems to have gone into our research on ways to enhance per acre yield, why?

AQS: Our public as well as private sector investment in agriculture research and development has sharply declined over the last many decades. Lack of coordination and integration between agricultural universities, agricultural research centres and agricultural extension departments led to a situation where everyone was working in their own ivory castle. We as a nation took a quantum leap from being an agriculture-dependent economy to services sector led economy. However, we ignored the fact that the services sector while contributing to the GDP cannot absorb illiterate and semi-skilled labour force. This institutional and policy neglect of agriculture not only led to stagnant agricultural productivity but is also a major factor behind turning of agricultural lands to unplanned towns and peri-urban slums devoid of basic civic amenities. This situation has turned more grim due to climatic and seasonal variations, thus affecting the per acre yield.

TNS: What is the impact of food insecurity on the common man and how does it affect our overall economy?

AQS: There are four levels of securities: individual, national, regional and global. All of them are mutually non-exclusive and a must for each other. Unfortunately, half of our population is food insecure (as per the SDPI-WFP joint study 2010). This segment of population with massive individual insecurity tends to resort to extreme and extraordinary behaviour. Some of them reduce their meal size, others shift to less preferred diet. Still others prefer to feed the earning family members at the cost of women, elderly people and children in the family.

At the societal level, some of these insecure individuals protest for basic amenities such as an uninterrupted supply of electricity, gas and water; resort to industrial actions (which may turn violent). Or, they are forced to sell their kidneys, even sell their children and resort to various other criminal activities such as theft, burglary, robbery and kidnapping for ransom. Some force their women into prostitution and children in child labour. In worst cases, people commit suicide and/or kill their family members. A few also become prey to militant groups and blow themselves up as suicide bombers. The abovementioned behaviour not only promotes intolerance and violence but also leads to socio-political instability which affects economic growth and prosperity.

TNS: Are we in a position to cope with the food shortage created by the floods of 2010 and the present one in Sindh?

AQS: Fortunately, wheat, our staple food, was not much affected by two successive floods. However, food security does not mean ensuring wheat security only. Floods have a massive impact on people’s socio-economic access to food. Survivors of floods lost their livelihood, their reserved food, livestock and shelter. Strong social safety nets and innovative policies can not only help to restore people’s livelihoods but can also improve their socio-economic access to food.

Food distribution in the short run and the distribution of agricultural inputs in flood affected areas by the various national and international organisations did yield a positive result and should be continued in the flood affected areas of Sindh.

Let me again reiterate that ours is not only a food crisis, we are also faced with a severe governance crisis and I don’t see any way out until the crisis is resolved.

TNS: Is kitchen farming a viable option in our part of the world?

AQS: It is a very viable option, especially in order to ensure the smooth supply of perishable kitchen items such as vegetables etc. However, it would only work if our agricultural extension services are able to deliver.

On the Mesoscale, we had the provision of farm houses around Islamabad (and now they are a status symbol around all mega cities). The concept of farm houses in Islamabad was to provide fresh and uninterrupted supply of food to urban consumers. However, they are being used as part places of retired generals, senior bureaucrats and politicians. We need to revert to the original concept of farms houses and kitchen gardening to remain food secure in a rapidly changing world.

TNS: Why have we not been able to get rid of the middle man? Do we have an alternative?

AQS: In the absence of functional public sector institutions, middle men are playing a crucial role in sustaining our agricultural sector. They provide loans to buy inputs for the next crop without collateral, thus function as a micro-finance institute. They buy standing crops, thereby offering insurance to any seasonal damage. They provide storage facilities. They help in grading and marketing. They take care of important documentation for export (in case of exportable commodities). They also take care of road to market connectivity. Perhaps, we need to enhance the bargaining power of farming communities so that they don’t get exploited by the middle men. I would say that if we cannot provide farmers with loans without collateral, if we cannot offer them farm insurance, storage and grading facilities, and connectivity to markets then it would be better to institutionalise and formalise the role of middle men.

TNS: In a free-market economy like ours, do you think the government has a role to play in keeping the food prices under control?

AQS: Free-market economy works where the institution of market is functional and the rights of consumers are protected. Unfortunately, we lack in both these prerequisites. The government should ensure a smooth functioning of markets and infrastructure farm to market connectivity, discourage malpractices such as cartelization, ensure that producers and marketers meet the basic requirements of quality standards. On top of it, the prime responsibility of the government is to ensure the protection of consumer rights. If the government takes these measures, the prices of food would be automatically under control.

TNS: Have we been able to establish a link between the farm and the industry so that they can complement each other as is the case in some other countries of the world?

AQS: Not yet. Unfortunately, we could never think of value addition in food chain. Pasteurised milk, local sausages and fruit juices are some of the recent examples but there is a lot of potential, especially in fruits/vegetables, cereal/flakes, dairy items and meat sector where linking industry and agriculture would not only ensure food supply but also increase choices for consumers.

TNS: How do we compare our agricultural situation with that of India, since it has a huge population to feed?

AQS: In India, the green revolution followed the white revolution (milk and diary products). The situation is not ideal there too when it comes to food security. Their small farmers are heavily indebted and many are forced to commit suicides due to financial hardships, but the good thing is that their government is investing in agricultural sector. Fortunately, the word cooperative agriculture did not get scandalised in India and that is one of the secrets why they are able to feed 1.2 billion people. Pakistan can learn from India’s innovative ideas like free school meals and minimum employment guarantee schemes to overcome the problems of socio-economic access to food.

The interview was conducted via email

 

The man in the middle
Profile of Mian Javed

Mian Javed, 55, wipes his grey moustaches with the back of his hand which then lands on his protruded belly and rests there for a moment. He contemplates for a moment with his eyes closed, facing the sky and lips murmuring without making any audible sound.

The trance ends soon enough as he lifts his white, starched kameez to get hold of the pack of currency notes resting in the fold of his belly. Without counting them, he throws the pack towards Abdul Majeed, a 60-year-old potato farmer who catches it without going amiss and holds it close to his chest for long.

The old man is desperate to start sowing seeds in the four acres of land he has just got on contract. Every passing day without progress means accumulated loss to him as it reduces the time at his disposable to reap a crop and get returns on his investment.

Majeed tried to raise money for basic inputs like fertilisers, seeds and pesticides and break loose from the bond he always had with the middleman but could not succeed. Everyone he approached asked for guarantees and security deposits and showed concerns about the situation which could arise in case of loss to crop due to weather or disease.

Unable to satisfy them, he has to once again turn to Javed, his long-time companion and saviour. Things work out smoothly and the cost of inputs is calculated with mutual consent. The only paper work involved is related to estimates about the yield and the time it would take for the crop to be ready for harvest.

What would Majeed get out of the whole deal? He will have a full say in determining the price at which the farmer will be ready to sell the produce to him. This is no exploitation, says Majeed, who claims to calculate the price after keeping a sufficient margin for the farmer. “It’s totally Islamic to get returns on investment which in my case is totally pure as there is no interest involved.”

His assertion is challenged by many who are uncomfortable with the idea of pre-selling a to-be-produced crop at a price decided beforehand. The price should be market-driven and at par with the one offered in the open market, they say.

But Majeed has his own point of view: “What I am making is an investment and not a loan.” The farmers, he believes, also prefer this agreement as they are unable to fulfill the requirements of agricultural loans and pay back principal amounts and markups in case of catastrophes.

Majeed says land revenue officials throw them in lockups on mere default on installments but the middlemen work out solutions through collective wisdom. Small farmers, he says, need them the most as they are unable to secure harvesters and trolleys etc to harvest and move their produce to the markets. They are also unable to pay the commissions charged by the aarhti (commission agent) and the labourers loading and offloading the stock.

Yield of two acres land needs the same trolley for transportation that can carry the crop produced over ten acres. That’s why small-time farmers sell off ready crop and save themselves from all other hassles.

Majeed denies working as front men for big-time vegetable dealers who can control the flow of otherwise perishable agricultural products to the market. “There may be some but I am not,” he erupts. “These dealers have the resources and investments to hold back the goods in cold storage houses etc. I waste no time in taking fresh yields to the market.”

Calm and composed for most of the time spent with this scribe, he gets irritated on the questions about middlemen being branded as exploiters. In a high tone, he challenges the farmers to go and avail other options available to them.

“There is none other than us. They come to us when they need money to marry their girls off, celebrate childbirths or feast the mourners after the death of a near one.” The money is adjusted in agricultural investments over longer periods of time without putting any extra burden on them.

“Is this the role the exploiters play?” he asks.

— Shahzada Irfan Ahmad

 

On top of the world
The gap between the availability of food and its affordability has increased at the same time
By Aoun Sahi

The average inflation rate in Pakistan between the years 2003-2010 was 10.15 per cent, reaching a historical high of 25.33 per cent in August 2008 and a record low of 1.41 per cent in July 2003.

Food and energy, which impact the poor the most, are the main characteristics of recent inflation in Pakistan.

According to the data provided by the State Bank of Pakistan, food inflation was registered at 28.5 per cent in 2008-2009, but gradual withdrawal of subsidies and other post-budget initiatives of the government after that resulted in a sharp rise in gas and petroleum prices. It is believed that it has crossed the 40 percent figure, the highest ever.

The most common ingredients of our traditional food basket such as wheat flour, rice, vegetables, pulses, meat, milk and sugar are at the top of the inflation index in the country. According to the annual average wholesale prices of commodities data released by the government of Pakistan, the price of 10 kg wheat flour bag has risen to Rs 300 from Rs 138 since 2006-07 and that of 40 kg basmati rice has reached Rs 3,150 from Rs 1,585 over the same period of time. The prices of pulses, vegetables, meat and milk have also doubled since 2006-07.

Interestingly, experts believe the gap has increased between the availability of food and its affordability. Food is available in bulk in our markets but affordability is a big issue. At the same time, it needs to be understood that food inflation is expected to impact poor households of rural and urban areas differently. The urban poor are the worst hit by food inflation.

There are some common reasons for inflation: continuous increase in agriculture input prices, withdrawal of subsidies, sharp increase in the prices of petrol, diesel, gas and electricity, devaluation of Pakistani rupee, absence of regulatory bodies to check the prices of food commodities and lack of intra-regional trade are the most common factors responsible for high food inflation in Pakistan.

Wheat

Wheat prices have seen an upward movement in the international market since 2006-07, that obviously affected the Pakistani market also. But a sharp increase in support price of the commodity, on the part of the government, during the year 2007-08, is a major contributing factor in increase in prices of wheat flour.

Smuggling of wheat flour from Pakistan to Afghanistan and Central Asian states is another factor for its price increase in the local market. Besides, the inter-provincial disparity of wheat flour prices contributes to ‘unauthorised’ movement of the commodity from one province to another, resulting in its price increase.

There are other minor factors for the increase of the price of wheat flour in Pakistan, such as the overuse of wheat in poultry feed.

Vegetables

All vegetables are considered perishable commodities. Over-urbanisation around the big cities over the years has contributed to an increase in prices of vegetables especially in urban areas. The huge farm houses, built around the only planned city of Islamabad and originally meant for providing fresh vegetables and milk to the city dwellers, are now used basically by the elite.

Flash floods in 2010 and 2011 that ruined the road infrastructure — affecting a smooth carriage of vegetables from small villages to big cities — have only made the process more time — and resource — consuming.

On the other hand, power outages have contributed to decreasing the efficiency of cold storages, with the result that perishable commodities cannot be kept for use for a long time.

Meat

Smuggling of livestock to Afghanistan and beyond is one major reason for the increase in prices of meat in the local market. Over the last three years, the price of mutton has increased from Rs 250 per kg to Rs 500 per kg whereas beef stands at Rs 300 per kg compared to the earlier of Rs 150 per kg.

Live animals were exportable till July 2011 when the government put a ban on this. Pakistan exported 153,543 animals during the year 2010, which led to an increase in the export of meat by 15 per cent. Exported animals included 48,680 cattle, 50,000 buffalos, 54,716 goats and 147 camels to Arab and Central Asian states including Afghanistan. It is amazing that a country which lost 1.5 million animals during 2010 floods took a year to place a ban on the export of meat and livestock.

Milk

Pakistan is said to be the fifth largest milk producer in the world while it may be on top of the world’s list as far as the prices of milk and its products are concerned.

Smuggling of animals is one important reason for the increase in prices of milk whereas the development of processed milk is another. Companies buy milk in bulk from different areas on low prices and sell it on high prices. So far there is no regulatory body in Pakistan to look into the prices of pasteurised milk.

Pulses and Sugar

Cartelisation of sugar mill owners and importers of pulses are some of the major reasons for the price hike of the commodities in the local market.

Pakistan imports most of its pulses from Australia, Canada and Myanmar. In 2008, the government imposed a condition of 35 per cent LC (Letter of Credit) margin on the import of pulses, making it difficult for local traders to import the commodities that resulted in the increase of their price for local consumers.

 

 

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