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Is it a suicide to die or sacrifice to live?

 By Syed Atiq ul Hassan

Again, more suicide attacks. Again, Ariel Sharon dearly declared operation against the oppressed people of Palestine with the full backing of US. Again, the Muslim leaders, around the world, sitting and watching systematic cleansing of the most subjugated nation in the world – the Palestinians - by the merciless man Ariel Sharon, who has been licensed as “The Man of Peace” by the global sheriff George W. Bush. Yet, no hard- slogs for the Independent Palestinian State by the western capitals and the UN but the instantaneous and firm condemnation on the suicidal attacks.  

Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon declared to recapture the West Bank towns in reaction to the recent attacks. According to the latest news, Sharon has already summoned his security cabinet to decide on a military response while the Israeli tanks are already moving towards the West Bank town of Jenin . In a statement Sharon said, ‘ Israel will take control of Palestinian Authority territory and hold the land, as long as terror continues". What is the new? This has what Sharon been doing for months now.  

Noticeably the recent attacks have happened when the US President George Bush was expected to announce the Palestinian Sate upon continuous pressure from the Arab leaders. The suicide bombing also brought Yasser Arafat closer to being faced out of the Middle East peace process altogether.  

The PLO leadership firmly condemned the attacks. According to the news agency WAFA the PLO executive committee headed by Arafat, said in a statement, “We are determined to pursue those who order these operations against civilians that endanger the destiny of our homeland.., the latest attack will serve to cover up Israel 's crimes against our people.., the bombing was aimed at destroying international efforts to put an end to the Israeli occupation and for the creation of an independent Palestinian state alongside the state of Israel". It doesn’t matter how option-less and reconciling statements PLO command presents it will not change the well defined US-backed agenda of Arial Sharon.   

When asked from comments on suicidal attacks to a Palestinian woman, by the media, just after the attack on the bus in South Jerusalem, she said “Sharon does not want the Palestinians to have their state and then queries the origin of the blast, they want to put us in prison now – referring to construction of barrier to seal off the West Bank from Israel and east Jerusalem - but no one can put us in prison”.  

Analyzing the timing, the detonation spot and the beneficiaries of the recent attacks one might conjecture this as a conspiracy against the peace plan or a planted game of Musad against the Palestinians or the mission of Hamas against Zionist but the reality where there no speculations needed is that the on going terror of Sharon and the silence of the world has left no option for the isolated people of Palestine to sacrifices their own bodies, one after the other, for their basic rights to live in their own land.  

One strange reason Sharon and the US leadership are giving for the Israeli aggressions against Palestinians is the suicidal bomb attacks by Palestinian fighters. Any ordinary mind can understand that no one would like to tie up explosive with the body and blow up in the public taking others with them dead. These people are not crazy. They are not so naive as to believe that “world opinion” will support these actions. However, they have simply come to the conclusion that they don’t care what the world thinks. Nobody is hearing their cries and screams for help, so they have made themselves deaf to the criticisms of the outside world. They have decided that as long as Palestinians suffer death, destruction, mayhem, displacement, humiliation, etc., so would Israelis. One can notice that they seem to target social locations like crowded discotheque, outdoor café, busy malls, public transport etc. The message is simple - if Palestinian cities, villages, and refugee camps are under siege physically by Israeli forces then they will besiege Israelis, physically, emotionally and psychologically. What is a choice left for an 18 years old youth who has lost father, brother, sister and all his relatives by the shelling from tanks and bullets by Israeli snipers? What can one expect from a youngster who is grown-up in a refugee camp in his own motherland running barefoot amidst the ruins of their bulldozed cinder block home, playing in open sewers or litter-strewn dirt fields, while a kilometer away another youngster from Jews settlers’ is swimming in pools and playing on lush, manicured, well-irrigated lawns? It is equally important to understand the cult of suicide bomber in the background of terrifying, grueling and traumatic life experience of the Palestinian youth. It shouldn't be dismissed merely as an act of terrorism or insanity; it is a straightforward reality of occupation. Palestinians are so oppressed by the on-going terror for the last 50 years that now an entire generation think that their lives have no meaning except to fight and fight and now may be for the freedom of their next generation. It is the same as if the jail security starts shooting its prisoners indiscriminately giving the reason that some prisoners are holding hunger strike in protest of demands for the basic rights of prisoners.  

Eliminating the sources of suicide bombing that the Ariel Sharon is implementing would manifestly produce more such human bombers. Sharon has subjected everyone with the Palestinian identity to humiliation, personal indignity, dispossession, material loss and grief. Sharon ’s extreme hatred against Palestinians has made him loose balance between legitimate security concerns of his state and unsustainable aggression.  

Now, let’s see Sharon in Israelis perspective. Whatever Sharon is doing, in the eyes of Israelis he is combating to protect his nation, he is patriotic soldier defending his country and people. For this he has ignored the calls of International leaders and forums. On the other hand, what has the leaders of the Muslim Worlds doing to save Palestinians? Despite of the fact that the Muslim masses angrily demonstrating, crying to their leaders to help the Palestinians, the Muslim leaders are still divided in forming a common strategy, waiting, hoping and expecting from Western capitals to do something for isolated leadership and the people of Palestine.  

The stranded Palestinians have no hope or expectations from the leaders of the Islamic nations, except the only option left to sacrifice their bodies for freedom of their land. One may call it terrorism or a fight for the basic rights to live.  

shassan@tribune-intl.com
The writer is a Sydney-based freelance journalist and a political analyst

                                       
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Who is behind the recent attacks?  

By Syed Atiq ul Hassan  

After about a month there has been another car bomb blast left 11 killed and dozens injured. This time no foreigners killed but it happened facing the US Consulate Office. The previous similar kind of bomb was blasted at Sheraton Karachi, which left 9 French dead. Beguilingly, American and Pakistani authorities alleging the incident as another suicidal attack though there has not been any confirmed evidence found yet by the investigating agencies.  

The palpable objective behind these attacks is not so complicated to understand. It is quite obvious that the element/s responsible for these attacks want to harm Pakistan ’s reputation internationally and produce fact sheets to corroborate that there are terrorists subsisted in Pakistan . It is also possible that this could be the action of those groups who submissively retaliating against the westerners around the world. Though in these two car bomb blasts no American was killed except the recent blast happened in front of US consulate yet the US administration bluntly framed the attack as a terrorist act by its Number One enemy Al Qaeda.  

If one deems on the US allegation of correlation of Al Qaeda in these attacks then there are several disparate arguments raised in mind. For example; one would agree with the view that if there could be any safe haven which exists in the world at present, for the members of Al Qaeda including for Osama Bin Laden then there is no place but Pakistan. So, why would Al Qaeda members create wobbly conditions in Pakistan that will justify US agencies to push Pakistan to give them more access in conducting the mass operation to hunt members of Al Qaeda, Taliban and their leadership? One may have several reasons to disagree with Osama, Mullah Omer and their groups on their manifestos and one could also understand their disparities with Musharraf and his regime but it is hard to believe they can achieve anything to create dissensions with the Pakistan or the people of Pakistan while they are hiding in Pakistan . The serenity in Pakistan is in the interest of Al Qaeda and Taliban rather than apprehensions that would open more doors for FBI and CIA for their showdown against them.  

Looking into the engineering of the recent car-bomb attack, any simple mind can understand the fact that bomb planted in Suzuki high-roof could not be meant to raze the boundaries of the US Consulate office and then hit the building to blow it up. These Suzuki hi-roof possess so illuminative body that it could hardly break any ordinary barrier. It has also been seen that generally the suicidal operations are the part of the declared mission of the groups who try to terrorize and convey the message to their foes with clear acceptance of the responsibility of their deeds. The suicidal operations in most of the cases are well calculated, distinctive, and timely. If the recent attack was a suicidal act then firstly, some visible claims and targeted damage must have come on to the scene by now. Secondly, killing the innocent road-passers and the people standing around does not indicate to any intent of the Al-Qaeda or Taliban as being asserted by US and Pakistani agencies.  

Now the point is who could be then the elements behind these brutal attacks? For this, one has to analyze the situation in terms of assessing the possible beneficiaries from these horrified acts.  

Pakistani Minister for Information Nisar Memon in his recent statement linked the incident to the possible involvement of (Indian) RAW. Blame on RAW by Pakistani leaders and on ISI by Indian leaders for any single event or series of actions in Pakistan and India are, now, the routine statements by their leaders and it suits them for an easy way out and shifting responsibilities to trace out  and capture the criminals. One can understand the purpose and motives of RAW’s activities in Pakistan . One can also believe if the incident is linked as the act of terrorism by RAW in Pakistan . However, as for as, this particular incident is concerned one must also analyze the incident beyond the recent territorial tension and military face-off between India and Pakistan as there might be any other element who wants to kill two birds with on stone by taking the advantage of the current situation.    

In spite of the on going brutal operation and hunt by SAS and US-led forces in Afghanistan and alongside Pakistan’s western border yet they failed to find out the whereabouts of Osama Bin Laden, Mullah Omer and their other members. It is pertinent to mention here that US administration is continuously avowing that Osama is in Pakistan and continuously pushing President Musharraf to provide more and more access to its agencies in Pakistan . The establishment and the forces of Pakistan are seemed to be already infuriated by ongoing demands of US. The people of Pakistan are also feeling great concerns about growing activities of US agencies in Pakistan . One can also understand that US agencies can play any dirty game for their interest. They could go up to any extreme to plant the reasons and justify their demands. One after the other the planted games of CIA on the name of hunting terrorists, Al Qaeda, and war against terrorism are being unveiled since the attack of US-led forces in Afghanistan . One wonder this may not be another planted dirty game of the CIA.     

shassan@tribune-intl.com
The writer is a Sydney-based freelance journalist and a political analyst

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Radical Indian-Government trapped in its own Plots

By Syed Atiq ul Hassan

The present Indian government, which is a coalition of three extremist Hindu parties Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) and the major player Bharatya Janta Party (BJP), fanatically took the post-September 11 global conditions as the war against Muslims rather than against terrorism. The extremist Indian rulers found the situation as an opportunity to launch a campaign against Muslims in general and against Kashmiris in particular to accomplish their fanatic manifesto. Even before the US could ask India for help, India bluntly and unconditionally offered its bases and logistical support to US. Indian government, consecutively, tried to publicise its internal calamities as terrorist acts by ISI of Pakistan, Kashmiri militants or Al-Qaeda and held Pakistan responsible for every chaos in India. The Attack on Indian parliament, bomb blasts on army personnel, Anti-Muslim ethnic violence in Gujarat were proclaimed by Indian leadership as a result of cross-border terrorism by Pakistani backed Islamic militants and ISI.

While US-led forces countering terrorism around the world – which has yet been an operation only against Muslim extremists around the world – Indian Hindu government seemed it as an adventurous epoch to instigate its uni-focused agenda of suppressing the voice of those who are resisting for their civil liberty in so-called secular India. Taking advantage of post September 11 global torments on Islamic activists by the US and its western allies the Indian government’s intentions are crystal clear. (1) eradicate Kashmiri freedom fighters on the name of combating against terrorism (2) Suppress the voice of the Indian Muslims - the largest minority - by banning Islamic groups, institutions and missionaries running in India (3) Exploit Pakistan’s situation on its western border – accuse Pakistan of being involved in cross-border terrorism and harbouring terrorists - pressurise the world powers to force Pakistan to withdraw from the support to the Kashmiri freedom fighters.

However, looking into the upshots of Indian blinkered policies one can boldly say that Indian policy makers botched in accepting realities even-handedly. For example; judging the outlined Indian goals with the outcome India is gaining, one can easily reach to the conclusion that narrow-minded decision-makers in Indian government could not analyse the facts that any action which will spoil Pakistan will not be appreciated by the western capitals, at this stage. The reasons are pretty simple that (1) the US and its allies would not be in a position to take one sided stand on Kashmir as long as they are engaged themselves in Afghanistan (especially) when Pakistan is their key-player in the Afghan operation (2) Indian hostile action against Muslims could bring ghastly image of India particularly in the Arab (Muslim) world from where India earns substantial amount of its foreign exchange through Indian labour (3) As long as US possess its interest in the region due to many simple reasons, US can not show its back to Pakistan.

India’s dreams are broader. India keeps ambitions to grant a seat in Security Council, enhance its relations with US, thrash China in the region and be recognised by the international community as a Chief of the South Asian region. Of course these dreams require the demonstrations of great deal of responsibility, peace making efforts for the safety of the region and providing security to the other nations in the region. Contrary to what India needed; the present Indian government has come out with rigid and hostile approach on its internal, territorial and regional issues.

Introducing POTO (Prevention of Terrorism Ordinance), ban on Students Islamic Movement of India (SIMI), uncountable arrests of Muslim activists throughout India and in Kashmir are the series of acts of the present Indian government where the leadership openly blamed Muslims and used US-style hostile language accusing Islamic groups and machineries as terrorist organisations. Pravin Togadiya, the secretary general of the extremist Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) party said in a statement ‘The Muslims have to be taught a lesson, once and for all’. In addition, the attack on Indian parliament was also added into Pakistan’s account with the demand of handing over number of Islamic activists, objectively to prove to the world that Pakistan is a country breeding terrorists. Likewise, any logical mind can also understand the reasons of India’s hysterical loudness on international forums accusing Pakistan on cross-border terrorism. Indian policy makers comprehend that Osama Bin Laden, Mullah Omer and other Al-Qaeda & Taliban activists are still hiding somewhere in tribal territory on the wester border of Pakistan. This could be the best time for the world to believe India’s accusation on Pakistan being involved in exporting these elements into Kashmir. To further pressurise the world powers India has made a blunder in its game by deploying its half a million force alongside Pakistani border and started threatening to launch attack on Pakistan. Yet, Indian plots could not get success in its goals.

The politics based on radicalism or fanaticism or on aggressions may lit up the fire within no time and heat-up the average minds hastily but can never flourish long and cannot survive in today’s integrated world. The world has seen incredible demonstration of emotional support to Osama throughout the Muslim world - and then what happened – when the bubbles settled down he could not find any room for his support in the world politics. Even now Bush is unable to retain the support from its coalition partners when he planned to launch an unjustified attack on Iraq.

The politics is a game of chess where one has to be well prepared for an attack and counter-attack. The high-pitch drastic and hostile statements from the responsible leadership, threats of attack on Pakistan, deployment of dangerous military arsenals with half a million armed forces , continuos gunfire on the line of control, yet could not frighten Pakistan instead brought the attention of the world powers on the alarming situation in the region. The entire drama made the situation favourable for Pakistan to engage the international community. That is exactly what Pakistan needed. Pakistan has been waiting for this so long to somehow involve the international community to resolve the Kashmir dispute on the basis of UN Security Council’s resolution. Pakistan knew that once the international powers would involve in the dispute, eventually, they will know the ground realities – it doesn’t matter how India propagates the issues at present.

Even the Indian opposition and the leftist are strongly condemning the ruling BJP and openly blaming the present government degrading India’s image internationally and providing more projection to Kashmir issue as being an international issue.

In April, the European Union (EU) has made a public declaration on Gujarat’s anti-Muslim violence. The declaration said that "the carnage in Gujarat was a kind of apartheid...and has parallels with Germany of the 1930s". The declaration carried 15 signatures, including those of the ambassadors of Britain, France, Italy, Spain and Belgium.

On the top of Indian government’s wrong-track policies, India has consecutively been flattened by Musharraf’s visionary diplomacy on every front. India faced the first shock when Musharraf decided to be a part of the US-led coalition and Pakistan received high price from the world powers on Musharraf’s government positive steps on the crises with monetary and political gains.

Contrary to Indian hostile attitude, the international community has been observing the positive, co-operative and sensible attitude of Pakistani leadership from Agra summit to SAARC conference in Kathmandu and now in Almaty.

At the same time, Musharraf is keeping, very ingeniously, his offensive attitude on Indian threats to retain the dignity and support of its nation. Internally Pakistani leadership is getting unanimous support on dealing with India contrary to disparities within the Indian political elites and in the public. The recent 3-day demonstration of different range of nuclear capable missiles by Pakistan watered on Indian threats of war. Whenever Musharraf talks about peace and dialogue with India he also asserts to teach a lesson to India if war is thrust on Pakistan. In his recent statement in Almaty conference, Musharraf said, "We have stated repeatedly that instead of accusations, threats and dangerous escalation, India should return to the path of dialogue and negotiations, which is the only sane option, especially in the dangerous environment of South Asia. However if war is thrust on us we will respond with utmost might".

Today, India is found in too much pressure from internally and international community. The pressure of international community on India can be estimated by looking the recent conflicting statements of Prime Minister Vajpayee and Defence Minister George Fernandes. In Almaty, Vajpayee proposed the idea of a joint-patrolling on the LoC in Kashmir. Rapidly, Fernandes disagreed with the idea by manipulating Vajpayee statement, he said, "It's not that the prime minister has made the proposal. He has only said India would have to look at it".

The entire political game of India against Pakistan has brought India in a horrendous situation and found trapped in its own plots. Now (1) India cannot afford to attack on Pakistan as the international community has already put-up so much pressure on India. The deployment of half a million arm forces for the last five months is already costing India enormously. The tourist and other foreigners are also leaving India which would damage India’s tourism industry very badly (2) India always refused to have any arbitration involving 3rd party mediation for the dialogue between India and Pakistan on the Kashmir dispute. Now India’s own strong supporter Russia is also pushing India to have dialogue with Pakistan and offered its mediation on the dispute – For which Musharraf very diplomatically accepted unconditionally. (3) India always declined to allow international monitoring agencies and observers in Kashmir but now the threats of war - initiated by India - put huge pressure on India to open the channels for international observers. These have made-up the things more complicated for India. Whatever India sow for others it is now reaping for itself.

shassan@tribune-intl.com
The writer is a Sydney-based freelance journalist and a political analyst

                                                 
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         Provocative Bush asking for more trouble

By Syed Atiq ul Hassan
Sydney Australia

After deposing Taliban and ravaging Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, the next plan of US is to eliminate the Islamic missionaries and groups running in various parts of the world and to demolish the powers of those Islamic countries where anti-American regimes exist. The rulers of the Muslim states are continuously being pushed and under watch on fulfilling US agenda to eliminate the Islamic groups except Palestine where this assignment has been given to Ariel Sharon to annihilate all the Palestinian freedom movements. To persuade on the second item in the agenda internally and internationally, the Bush administration is desperately trying to ascertain the support from the American public, European allies, Russia and Arab countries - to launch fresh attacks on Iraq. The objective is to demolish the remaining military power and bring the pro-US government in Iraq. Subsequently Iran might be the next target.  

To gain internal backing from its own people Bush administration and the intelligence agencies are trying to frighten the American public that they are still at war. Prior to the visit of George W. Bush to Europe and Russia, Vice-President Dick Cheney said another attack was "almost certain". FBI Chief Robert S. Mueller III said suicide bombings on US soil are "inevitable". Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld added more – he declared that some Al-Qaeda members have succeeded entering in to America - these terrorists would get weapons of mass destruction and would not hesitate one minute in using them - the Statue of Liberty and Brooklyn Bridge could be the possible targets and so on. In his recent statement the Vice President, Dick Cheney said that US knew "with certainty" that al-Qaeda was trying to obtain biological and nuclear weapons; September 11 was not a discreet event but part of "an ongoing campaign of terror against the US" that meant Americans were living in "a time of war". It seems that the Bush administration believes more on scaring its own people but is weak on productive measures to defuse the global tension.

Even if it is believed that the US is expecting further attacks, with weapons of mass destruction, then how effective was that “war against terrorism” which killed thousands of innocents in Afghanistan and captured hundreds - put them in cages in a tiny island of Cuba - yet the entire US-led force unable to find out the whereabouts of Osama Bin Laden and Mullah Omer for whom Bush decreed to “smoke them out and bring them dead or alive”?

One fears that Bush’s antagonistic attitude - like a Texan cowboy in the duel field - and the prejudiced policies of his administration will push the US and the Muslim World into endless acts of attacks and counter-attacks in a showdown of terrorism. 

It would not be inappropriate to quote here the remarks of Iranian Defence Minister Rear-Admiral Ali Shamkhani about Bush in a recent interview on the state television. He said, “Mr. Bush thinks that the (current) era is an era of cowboys, that the world is a Texan one, and that he is the sheriff". 

There are ample evidences that show Bush's leadership is unconvincing in the world and ineffective at home. The US Secretary of State Colin Powell admitted in the recent interview to The New York Times that before Bush came to the White House, "he had never been involved in this level of international interaction or diplomatic activity".

The Post September 11 (attacks in US) was the golden opportunity for Bush to expose his leadership by pulling the world together and inducing confidence in the American public. Oppositely, he presided over a rift with Europe, a chronically inept Middle East policy, an ongoing US unilateralism, security deterioration in Afghanistan and created fears in the Arab world by unjustified threats to Iraq, at the same time, silently watching and letting Ariel Sharon turning the civilian population in Jenin (the town of Palestine) into debris - killing unaccountable civilians using heavy military force.  

The ongoing inflexible and offensive policies of Bush have brought him into a series of alliance management problems. He finds it now hard to keep Europe or NATO in coalition in the war against terrorism. The war has now led to a rift rather than a unity between the Atlantic partners, surely a strategic blunder. Bush failed to mobilise the initial European goodwill towards the US. This is the reason that few Europeans think that this is a war of the US not for them. They feel that supporting the US is not paying any positive outcome instead earning a hostile image in the eyes of the Muslim World.

This is probably the first time when an American President received such huge anti-ism on the streets of Europe during Bush’s recent visit to Germany and France. He has faced large anti-demonstration on the streets of western cities against his plan of fresh attacks on Iraq. 

In his speech at the D-Day beaches at Normandy, he again said about Saddam, "He's a dictator who gassed his own people” – understandably referring to Kurds. The man - who first speaks then thinks - didn’t realise that the Kurds whom Saddam viciously gassed were fighting for Iran and that the US, at the time, was on Saddam's side. 

In a joint press conference with French President Chirac, Bush linked the struggle against Nazism during World War II with the "modern-day sacrifices" of his war on terrorism and the military campaign in Afghanistan. He said, "Memorial Day in my country is a day to honour those who have sacrificed for freedom, given their lives ... - We still fight people who hate civilization - civilization that we love - they can't stand freedom”. His whole concern was that America must not be isolated in the war against terrorism. Yet, Bush’s suspicious, half-told and hostile remarks has been heavily criticised in the western press. 

Across the former Soviet southern Muslim republics, the US is building air bases, helping to pursue the "war on terror" against any violent Muslim Islamist groups that dare to challenge the local dictators. Bush also wants Russia to keep a side step while the US takes any hostile action against Iran. He is looking for bargain with Putin on that issue. 

During his visit to Russia, his intentions overtly observed that he tried to corner the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, on his threats to Iran. He wants the Russians to lean on the northern bit of the "axis of evil", the puerile remarks, which he still trots out to the masses. 

Bush’s contrary behaviour for Muslim and the western world has constrained the Muslim leaders particularly the Arabs to review their policies with the US. The Post September 11 events especially the killings of thousands of innocent civilians in Afghanistan and barbaric acts of Sharon in Palestine have further opened the eyes of Muslims watching the double standards of Bush’s policies.  

This is first time when the people of Saudi Arabia crossed the boundaries of their tough laws, came out on the streets in favour of the oppressed people of Palestine and compelled the Saudi leadership to speak loudly in support of the people of Palestine. The Arab leaders have shown a great deal of sensibility particularly the Crown Prince Abdullah when he firmly made it clear to Bush that his country would not support US to attack Iraq again. Iraq and Iran are trying to normalize their relations. Egypt threatened to discontinue their diplomatic relations with Israel that is if Israel prolongs its ongoing operations on Palestine land. The US administration has spent most of its time denying that the progress towards a Middle East settlement was pivotal to its war on terrorism. Bush grasps that he needs to reactivate a peace process but doesn't know how. The administration seems to have promised the Saudis it would act, yet it heavily identifies the US war on terrorism with that of Israel but no progress for the Palestinian land. On the return of his visit from America, Crown Prince Abdullah while talking to the media remarked about Bush as “the man who watches the 9 O’clock domestic news and sleeps, he doesn’t know much about international affairs”.  

One would agree that since the September 11 attacks, US has earned more hatred than sympathy, more problems than solutions, more violence than peace and more isolation than friends. In conclusion, this is the time for Bush administration to review their policies and accept the ground realities. However, if Bush continues to follow the hard-line, unilateralism and unviable policy and persist to launch a 2nd series of desert storm on Iraq then he will be asking for more trouble.

The writer is a Sydney-based freelance journalist and a political analyst
shassan@tribune-intl.com

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Post Nuclear war scenario in the Sub-continent

     
Gist from USA  


India claims the territory of occupied Kashmir is an integral part of her. Whereas, Pakistan says Kashmiris should vote on their future. There have been heavy to moderate military skirmishes along the 630 mile line of control separating the two sides in the held Kashmir region. There has been intermittent small arms fire along the 140 mile international border dividing the Himalayan state of Jammu and Kashmir from the Pakistani province of Punjab.

Pakistan said 6 people were killed when Indian troops fired mortars at villages across the border into Punjab province. India blames the attack on its Parliament on infiltrators from Pakistan. India and Pakistan have fought two wars over the territory of held Kashmir since 1947. It is said that the bitter cold has killed more soldiers than the military skirmishes. On May 14th there was an attack on an army camp in occupied Kashmir.

Two full scale wars were fought over occupied Kashmir in 1948 and 1965. There have been unending artillery duels, not to mention a tragic 12 year insurgency within Kashmir. Some appeared ready for peace in November, 2000 when a cease-fire was called. This was followed by village elections on January 1st, 2001, the first elections in 23 years.

Most Kashmiris are disillusioned by the violence that has killed more or less 30,000 since 1990 and damaged millions of lives. Since Britain divided the subcontinent in 1947, the State of occupied Kashmir has been claimed by both India and Pakistan. Now in its 54th year the conflict continues not only to threaten the peace of South Asia, but now that India and Pakistan have nuclear capability, not only would a nuclear conflict wreck the Asian subcontinent for many many years, the conflict would threaten the rest of the 6 billion human beings and the wildlife on this earth with radioactive rain. should they really start lobbing nuclear weapons at each other?

When Pakistan was formed with a mostly Islamic population and India with a predominantly Hindu population, at the time the wishes of the rulers of all the princely States that made up India and Pakistan were taken into account. The territory that is now called occupied Kashmir was an oddity, a predominantly Muslim State with a Hindu ruler ( Raja Hari Singh ).

Hari Singh acceded to India, and Pakistan claimed that it was against the wishes of his people. The dispute then became a military one when India’s army was sent to drive out what they considered the "Pakistan Invaders" in the occupied Kashmir valley.

Since then, India and Pakistan have fought three wars in the region. The most recent one being over the Kargil sector in 1998. A large percentage of the people in the Kashmir valley are disillusioned with the government of India. The people of the Kashmir area consider the freedom fighters, not terrorist. Pakistan has 1600 people in custody for attacks on India. It says it cannot hold them without enough evidence.

The Pakistanis claim the elections in Kashmir/Jammu were rigged to install pro-Indian politicians. Another reason the people are disillusioned with the Indian government, is that 30 years ago there was a promise of autonomy for Kashmir made to the popular politician, Sheikh Muhammad Abdullah. Abdullah supported India’s claim to Kashmir on condition of autonomy for the valley. His dream was never fulfilled.

His son, Farooq Abdullah, is now the chief Minister of Jammu and Kashmir, and has tried to revive Kashmir’s demand for autonomy with legislation, but without success. He is part of the coalition led by the Hindu-nationalist Bharatla Janata Party, and often blames Pakistan for the violence in his state.

The border between India and Pakistan in Jammu and Kashmir has constantly shifted since 1948. That is why, the line that divides occupied Kashmir and Azad Jammu & Kashmir is known as the line of control. There has never been an official border agreed to by the two countries.

India claims the entire region of Kashmir, even parts under the control of Pakistan and China. Pakistan will give up parts of Kashmir under it’s control when India gives up the control of occupied Kashmir. Even though the Indians and the Pakistani’s have been fighting over the territory oc occupied Kashmir since 1948, the interior of the Kashmir valley was peaceful until 1988. That is when, the movement for freedom in the occupied Kashmir valley turned demonstrative with dozens of anti-India protest and several bomb blast.

Experts feel the real violence came in 1989 when a group of armed local separatist ( the Jammu Kashmir Liberation Front or the JKLF ) Kidnapped the daughter of the Indian Home (security) minister, demanding the release of some of their colleagues in jail. To their surprise, the Indian government gave into their demands, giving the insurgency in Kashmir an unlooked-for boost. Since then India has accused Pakistan of training and arming the mujahideen groups for alledged acts of terrorism in occupied Kashmir. Pakistan says it only gives moral support for the "struggle" of the Kashmiri people. Many of the original freedom fighters’ groups, like the JKLF have given up violence and are now part of the separatist political leadership, the Hurriyat Conference.

For sure, both the countries-India and Pakistan-know what will happen if they start lobbing nuclear weapons at each-other. So hopefully they will not have an all-out war.

India always said that Kashmir, occupied by her, is part of India. It considers itself a secular nation, partisan to no religion. Kashmir is the only Indian region that has a majority Muslim population. A fact that bolsters India’s claim of secularism.

That is why, Pakistan wants the territory of occupied Kashmir to be part of it. Sto confirm the two nation theory of its founding president Mohammed Ali Jinnah, which said the Hindus would stay in India and Muslims in Pakistan. Kashmir, according to him "was part of the unfinished business of the partition of India in 1947".

The only way for this conflict to end is for India and Pakistan to have a compromise where each would move from its present stance. Kashmir is not just a territorial issue, but also a political one involving the wishes of the Kashmiri people as well. The territory of occupied Kashmir must have elections that will decide the future of occupied Kashmir. Since Raja Hari Singh made Kashmir a part of India instead of Pakistan against the Will of the Kashmiri people, the Indian government will let the Kashmiri people vote on whether to stay part of India, or become a part of Pakistan.

Since Farooq Abdullah’s fathers promise of autonomy 30 years ago was not fulfilled, it is the right thing to do to let the people of Kashmir vote on their future. Since India refuses to give autonomy to the people occupied Kashmir, the only solution is to let the people join Pakistan if they choose to do so.

The unfinished business of the partician of India in 1947 must be finished. In order to finish it the Indians must let the Muslims in Kashmir join Pakistan if they choose to do so.

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                               India must face realities, adopt realistic approach
 

                                                                         
Syed Atiq ul Hassan

 Tensions between India and Pakistan escalated again with both the countries having build-up of their strong military arsenals across the borders. Each side is accusing the other of perpetuating the crisis and stirring, if not deliberately provoking, a full-scale war. 

The ongoing heavy cross border firing and intrusions at the line of control (LoC) by both sides killing many innocent lives every day. Both the countries have now expelled their heads of diplomatic missions. Despite the appeals from the international community and the expected visit of Deputy Secretary of US State department Richard Armitage to Pakistan and India to ease the tension, the situation is remained at a stake of dangerous conflict up to date. 

Amid the high-tension confrontation comes a war of words, focused on nuclear weapons. This has further aggravated matters. The hostile rhetoric belies the fond hope that possessing nuclear weapons would instil sobriety and a sense of responsibility in the minds of Indian and Pakistani leaders.

The flashpoint issue remains the half a century old Kashmir dispute-bone of contention. Kashmir, no doubt, is the most beautiful place on the earth. Once, it used to be a heaven for international tourists from around the world. It is a home of a culturally tolerant and religiously hybrid people and a centre of Sufism in the sub-continent. The continuous torture, extra judicial killings, aggravating situation of rapes and uncountable arrests of the innocent people of Kashmir by the Indian forces for decades turned a peaceful, happy and friendly nation into a distorted and oppressed people. The continuous oppressions compelled the people of Kashmir to take arms in their hands for self-defence. Their long struggle for freedom is now driven bye the Islamic extremists, for which India blames as cross-border terrorism by Pakistan.

Pakistan considers the Kashmiri Mujahideen as a natural reaction to the brutal actions by Indian forces and denies for providing them any help of armaments. President of Pakistan General Pervez Musharraf claims to be doing what he can to crack down on extremists, though he recently assured the hardliners in Pakistan that if the war was imposed on Pakistan, it would strike back with its full strength. At the same time, Musharraf also offered to sign a no-war pact with India. He has offered to rid South Asia of nuclear weapons in cooperation with India and other powers. Addressing at the United Nations General Assembly in September 2000, he proposed for the formation of a nuclear weapons-free zone in South Asia.

On the other hand, India cannot claim, today, for having stable relations with its other neighbours. The rigid and hard-line policy of the ruling BJP leadership has made the situation worst for India internally and at the borders.

The ongoing attacks on Muslims in Gujrat, which are blamed to have been under the shelter of BJP’s Chief Minister Modi, have challenged the Indian claim of a secular country. Then the constantly refusal by the Indian government to the international observers and the monitoring agencies in Kashmir for documenting facts on the human rights conditions in Kashmir have created fears about the conducts of the callous Indian forces in occupied Kashmir.

Despite the fact that many world powers including Japan, UK and US offered for the arbitration between India and Pakistan, India neither agrees for any 3rd party mediation nor accepts any of Pakistani proposals or demands. Pervez Musharraf showed extraordinary flexibility at the Arga summit and then a handshake offer for dialogue at the SAARC summit in Khatmondo. Yet, the Indian hardliners and Hindu extremists refused to show any suppleness to bring the Kashmir issue on the table.

In addition, India is already facing other freedom movements and ethnical issues in other parts of the country. In these circumstances, what does the Indian leadership have strategies in mind to deal with the territorial issues with the neighbours including the utmost critical issue of Kashmir remains a question mark.

India is the largest country in the region. There are more Muslims in India than those in Pakistan with several other large minorities’ population. If India wishes to maintain its superiority in the region then it has to deal every single regional issue including the issue of Kashmir with accepting the realities of the times. The unfortunate part in Indian leaderships is that many hardliners and the Hindu extremists, even after the half-century, could not swallow the reality of Pakistan. They still believe on the philosophy of “Akhad Bharat” (United India). They openly talk in their political statements about using the nuclear arms to wipe out Pakistan from the horizon of the world that is never ever possible.

Indeed, the Indian leftists have often forwarded the view that the Indian State itself perpetrated the terrorist bombings in India in the 1990s in order to justify its communalist politics. Some of them even believe that India attacked on its own parliament to give credence to its crackdown on Muslims in India and to implement their Hindu fundamentalist agenda by the ruler BJP.

The ruling BJP and other Hindu extremists are the main snag making India unable to sit on the dialogue table with Pakistan with clear-cut proposals in their hands. These are the same elements, which became the cause of failure of the Agra summit. As long as the Indian leaders look into the Kashmir issue in the context of their agenda of culmination against Muslims, they wouldn’t be able to resolve the dispute. Kashmir issue must need to be looked as an issue of the self-determination of Kashmiris with Pakistan and India are the parties involved. Then both the parties have to understand each other’s interest in respect to reach to an acceptable solution. In this regard, in 1948, India approached to UNO and the Security Council concluded the solution in shape of its resolution of 1948 on Kashmir. Both Pakistan and India agreed to have UN intervention to the plebiscite.

Even, if India feels, today, that security resolution is not acceptable to her now then again India has to approach back to the International community and to Pakistan with some sensible and practical alternates.  

The continuous use of force against the people of Kashmir with the evil intention to kill the self-determination movement by mere means of ruthless power, it will not pay anything to India instead more damage to its image globally. Apart from the demands of the Kashmiris, India has to understand the strategic and geographical importance of Kashmir for Pakistan as well. Pakistan believes Kashmir as a main artery for survival. Pakistanis understand loosing Kashmir means direct threat to their own existence. Therefore, even Pakistan’s denial for the patronage to the Kashmiri freedom fighters and providing them all sort of help including the armaments, as claimed by India, is understandable.

The threats and fear of attacks from each side have put both the countries into an arms race. Both India and Pakistan are lavishly spending huge amount of their budget on buying and manufacturing nuclear warheads, long range missiles and other dangerous weapons. India is building a huge underground facility at the cost of US$300 million to house a nuclear command and control centre. Recently, India purchased two nuclear-powered submarines from Russia.

Hence, confidence building, trust and faith between India and Pakistan are the key factors before sitting for any kind of peaceful negotiations. This is the reason that all the dialogues, in the past, between the two leaderships have never been successful. Unfortunately, the present BJP government remain following the wrong track. Massive military build-up at the border by India will not push Pakistan back from its resistance on Kashmir instead it could trigger, even accidentally, the nuclear holocaust that will not only annihilate both the countries but bear impact on the entire region.

It has been observed that whenever there is war threat or tension on the border, the peace loving citizens from the both sides raise their voice for peace in the region, amity and harmony between both neighbouring countries. There have been hurls of anti-war protests and vigils in both Pakistan and India. There have also been attempts at the LoC for peace rallies by human rights and anti-nuclear activists in India and Pakistan. However, these efforts are yet not sufficient to resolve the issues and maintain the neighbouring affable and genial relations between the two nations. In principle, Indian leadership should come forward; accept the realities of the times with broader vision and stability for the region.

The writer is a Sydney-based freelance journalist
Email: shassan@tribune-intl.com

                                                
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                                                      Not your everyday Third World dictato
                          
                          
                                                 Eric Margolis

If you want to be a successful dictator, don't hold a referendum designed to show how much the people love you. No one believes such nonsense any more, particularly not the world media, which rightfully dismissed as a farce last week's crudely rigged referendum in Pakistan.

The vote, designed to give military leader Gen. Pervez Musharraf some semblance of political legitimacy, didn't. But it certainly embarrassed Pakistan in the eyes of the world. Washington, the champion of world democracy, remained stone silent.

I interviewed Musharraf at army HQ in Rawalpindi five months after he came to power in a military coup that ousted the corrupt prime minister, Nawaz Sharif. The diminutive general looked more like a doctor or academic than the commando officer he was. Musharraf did not have any of the toughness or charisma I had felt when meeting with Pakistan's previous military ruler, Zia ul Haq, none of former prime minister Benazir Bhutto's brilliance and charm, nor any of the fire-breathing military panache I'd come to expect from Pakistan's warriors, the ones Benazir scolds me about, calling them, "Your beloved generals."

During our interview, Musharraf seemed weary and withdrawn, a reluctant leader unexpectedly put into power by his fellow generals. It seemed Musharraf almost wished he didn't have to face Pakistan's enormous problems: near bankruptcy; political instability; a hostile neighbour in India; omnivorous corruption.

Washington greeted the coup with anger and outrage. The U.S. media and Congress denounced Musharraf as another nasty Third World military dictator, branded Pakistan a "terrorist state," and called for an immediate return to what in Pakistan passed for democracy.

Then came Sept. 11. The White House declared war on Muslim extremists as well as Islamic groups opposed to American domination of their homelands and resources. The Bush administration seized on 9/11 to launch a campaign to acquire the oil and gas of Central Asia and Iraq. Total co-operation from Pakistan was a key part of this plan. Washington put a gun to Musharraf's head. Musharraf accepted the American ultimatum with unseemly haste, abandoned former allies, and became an eager, obedient servant of the United States.

Exit Musharraf, the Third World Dictator. Enter Musharraf, statesman. American criticism of Pakistan's new dictatorship abruptly ceased. In a remarkable volte-face, the White House and U.S. media overnight transformed Musharraf into a bulwark against Islamic evil and an enlightened ruler.

Each time Musharraf took a major step that pleased Washington - abandoning the Taliban, providing the U.S. with military bases, sharing intelligence, locking up Islamic militants, curbing the media, banning political demonstrations, giving up the quest to end Indian rule in Kashmir - his stature abroad grew apace. American aid flowed in; Pakistan's huge debts were rescheduled.

Over the past seven months, Pakistan has gone from being the world's leading independent Muslim state to a client of the United States. Pakistan's best military and intelligence officers have been purged on orders from Washington; its soldiers now serve as auxiliaries - or loyal native troops - to U.S. forces in Afghanistan. Pakistan's nuclear arsenal is under constant U.S. monitoring.

During this remarkably short period, American support transformed Gen. Musharraf into a true Mideast-style strongman, complete with a growing cult of personality worthy of Saddam Hussein. Most interesting, Musharraf has clearly been bitten by the bug of international celebrity, an infection that has afflicted numerous other Third World leaders.

When Washington turns on the charm, it's hard to resist. There are meetings in the White House with the world's most important man (who recently referred to Pakistanis as "Pakis.") Speeches to Congress, gala state banquets and intimate dinners with Barbara Walters and Henry Kissinger in New York. There are glowing stories in the media about progress in human rights, women's rights and agriculture. There are tens of millions in American aid, much of which can be siphoned off by the ruling elite into foreign bank accounts, or used to reward cronies and supporters in the military and media. This is what happened to Egypt's Anwar Sadat, who ended up adored in New York but hated in Cairo.

Pakistan, which used to pride itself on its independence, is now going the way of U.S. allies in the Mideast like Egypt, Tunisia and Jordan - thinly disguised military dictatorships whose armed forces, intelligence agencies, media, police, national bank and very economic survival are controlled by the U.S. government. No doubt, after so many decades of political and economic crises, some Pakistanis will welcome becoming an American satrapy. But there will be just as many who do not and will likely resort to violence to oppose their government.

Pakistan deserves better than becoming Washington's newest gendarme in the Muslim world. Musharraf, a decent, honest man and patriot, still has a chance to show his independence and, like Chile's former military ruler, Gen. Augusto Pinochet, to put his nation on the road to real democracy by cleaning house, then returning the army to the barracks.

If Musharraf does not, and allows ultimate power to ultimately corrupt him, he will confirm what many Indians have long sneered - that Pakistan is simply too backward for democratic government. 

The writer is Contributing Foreign Editor

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        A hundred days to nowhere

         By Adil Rashdi 

A day after the suicide bomber struck at Karachi’s posh Club Road, our official television had three of Sindh’s top administrators over for a talk on the law and order of the city. There was the provincial home secretary, the Nazim of Karachi and the additional inspector general of the Sindh police, now termed something like CCPO. As we all know, the last two directly represent the new experiment at local “grass-root” government, which has reached the 100-day landmark. 

While a hundred days may be considered a bit too short a duration to judge a system, a recap of a few comments of theirs will reveal where beleaguered Karachiites stand today under the new system and what portends to the future. 

In his wisdom, the Sindh home secretary, felt that the terrorist targeting of doctors was to spread fear among the various communities these professionals served. Indeed there is wisdom in this view, but not complete wisdom. For, there is much more to the strategy of the terrorists than merely causing fearing among select communities. Surely it does not need specific targeting to put the fear of God into people. Any form of violence, be it firing in the air, a small massacre or even a box of firecrackers, in enough to cause fear in not just a few communities, but even in a whole city. 

A review of the terrorism that Karachi has sustained over the years reveals the presence of this menace in more than one form. Till recently, there was political and sectarian terrorism that took thousands of lives. Now a new and more devastating form of terrorism has invaded the city, whether or not our custodians of law and order like to accept this harsh fact. The proportions of this new form is such that it can take a much shorter period of time to cause as much if not more devastation and mayhem than what the other two put together may have caused in a decade or more. Be that as it may, all three forms of terrorism are not aimless exercises. Each has a specific purpose. Politically motivated terrorism is aimed at destabilising a government as well maintaining a vice-grip over the electorate, which would otherwise not remain very obedient. Sectarian terrorism is, of course, a battle between two or more sects, in our case religious, and is aimed at weakening each other’s professional and financial infrastructure through which, it is felt, maximum damage can be inflicted. Geo-political terrorism, which Pakistan faces presently, has an entirely different spectrum. It is a product of virulent ideological antagonisms, which spawn equally intense violence. A battle of ideologies knows no boundaries as we have seen since the middle of the last century. The terrorism arising out of this phenomenon has, over the years and in tandem with progressing technology, developed into the most debilitating form of destruction. As we saw last year, one well-planned act changed the very nature of man’s relations with each other and has left what seems to be an indelible stamp of mutual suspicion among the world’s various races. 

Given this scenario, the home secretary’s comment about terrorism on doctors leaves one wonders whether he has the comprehension of the actual state of affairs regarding terrorism in Pakistan, especially in the country’s main economic and political artery, Karachi, upon which his writ prevails. 

The additional inspector general of the Sindh Police, despite his ‘wizened years’ said nothing that would reflect any active change in the Sindh Police high command’s thinking or comprehension about law enforcement in the light of  the prevalent situation or its ability to tackle the new and complex battle that has only just begun. As to the Police’s ability to curb crime, he emphasised the success in the apprehension of those responsible for US journalist Daniel Pearl’s murder. Commendable indeed, but what is the average rate of success in the long run? Daniel Pearl’s is a ‘high profile’ case and the whole country’s resources, not to mention international expertise was mobilised to rope in some of the perpetrators. Even then they have not found his body! What about the various acts of terrorism that have continued to afflict the city? How many of those have been solved, how many genuine terrorists have been caught and how many militant sectarian organisations have been rendered inoperative? Things as they stand today raise the negative graph sky-high. He, of course, elaborated upon the complexities of detecting and investigating crime, but since when has such work been easy? He needs only to look back three years to realise that this very Police did manage to arrest high intensity terrorism and give Karachi peace and tranquillity. The difference then was the quality and enterprise of command that transformed this force, to an appreciable extent, into a dedicated crime-fighting machine from a rabble of public bullies! That this present command has recently restored many of that team of officers back to their old posts, who had successfully curbed terrorism and maintained peace then, can be seen as an acknowledgement of this fact. 

The Nazim of Karachi appeared to be ailing from delusions. His statement that the crime in Karachi was much less then in other countries of the world but it was the international press propaganda that had blown it out of proportion, can only be a product of a mind full of the unreal. This one statement is enough to judge the scope of the man’s thought process and to what grievous measure of trial he will eventually subject the city of Karachi in the hard days ahead. 

The success and failure of a system is usually judged by the people running it. The best system can fail if its operators do not meet the standards that ensure success. This is universal law. Yes, bad systems do exist, but then it is people who make them. As to how the new ‘grass-root’ administrative system has fared in its hundred-day existence, is difficult to judge conclusively in this short time. Even our president says it will take time to produce results. But with the present mettle of men whose perceptions have been recorded here, one dreads to work out the possible outcome!

                                                  _________________________

 

Our Rip Van Winkles

By Adil
Rashdi 

Since a decade or more, the city of Karachi has seen terrorism in many of its ghastly faces. In fact, other than a brief spell in the last year of the Nawaz government, the city has never seen the end of it. Be it sectarian, political or as of now, geo-political, the scourge remains a continuing scourge and there is very little hope it will end through the process of law enforcement that the people have been subjected to since one can remember. 

Wednesday morning’s bomb blast outside the Sheraton Hotel, ending in an instant, the lives of over a dozen innocent Frenchmen and Pakistanis, is a harsh reminder of this fact. Moreover, it clearly indicates the inability yet, of the custodians of our law and order, all along the ruling hierarchy, in not just combating this scourge, but in understanding the very battle they believe they are fighting.  

President Musharraf’s televised response to this latest and perhaps most ghastly attack upon foreigners in ‘our land of the pure’ was as always forthright and coated with the regular amount of sincerity and sense of purpose towards addressing the grave issue. One may disagree with his method of governance, however one cannot deny his sincerity and commitment towards the country’s welfare. However, his endeavour to calm the grief of the innocent foreign and local victims of this attack as well as bolster the spirit of the Pakistani public with the information that he held a high level security meeting in which several important decisions were made to combat terrorism, alas, is not good enough. The government must realise that this is not the first time it has given purposeful assurances on this issue, which have, as recent events have proved, never progressed beyond the statements made.  

Last year, there was the supposed de-weaponisation campaign, then quite recently the crackdown against sectarianism followed by the daring decision to eradicate religious extremism, these being interspersed with a lot of hoopla about police reforms. Yet, illegal weapons continue to be harboured (the heavy firing in Karachi on the eve of the recent political strike makes this quite evident), sectarian terrorism is literally a daily event and religious extremism, as we all know, is still rife in the country, despite a lull at present, which must never be misconstrued as a permanent state of affairs. As to the police reforms, what of it? 

Given the stark realities of the present state of law and order in the backdrop of the government’s performance in this area of state management, how, may one ask, can mere official verbosity instil confidence in a people unless there follows visible and effective action?  

The idea here is not to issue a ‘charge sheet’ on the president, for his good intentions are clearly manifest. Obviously there is the hierarchy that follows which needs to be taken to task. However, we do have an autocracy and all power does emanate from him as the chief executive of the government. Therefore he must hold his subordinates accountable for their performances, especially those on whom he devolves the responsibility to maintain law and order in the land.  

The city of Karachi, as we all know, has been a terrorist’s backyard for many years. The province of Sindh as a whole has also been the most difficult to manage as its recent-past history will bear out. Given this history, it would indeed be interesting to discover the criterion adopted to select administrators for this important quarter of the country, which is the economic hub of the 140-million-strong nation as a whole.  

Since this government came to power, Sindh has had two governors and as many inspectors-general of police, which means on an average, change has taken place within roughly a year and a quarter. What is interesting to note is that the state of the province and the all-important city of Karachi has not changed for the better, which is a fact requiring no elaboration here. Obviously there is a vital flaw in that criterion and with all that we hear of the government’s genius, through the government mouthpiece of course, in tackling the long standing issues plaguing the country, how is it that this crucial pre-requisite to “good governance” has been ignored; or is there no realisation that there is something terribly wrong with the subordinate hierarchy which explains why the president’s sincere intentions for the country are not being implemented in spirit?  

The statements by the Sindh governor and the IGP for the benefit of the press and public in the wake of Wednesday’s terrorism contain nothing new nor do they inspire confidence. Yes, we will continue to wage war against terrorism, and yes, we will not rest until the “anti-state” forces and terrorism are eliminated. Oh, yes, “every act of the enemies of peace and development would be responded with greater force!” Let us also not forget, two investigating teams have been constituted to investigate the crime. Perhaps the French may also be requested to lend their expertise. The perpetrators may well be the “foreign hand” from across the border – so on and so forth. The only new development is the possible Al-Qaeda connection. It is incredible how these “administrators” of people believe these words carry weight any longer. One can only assume they remain in a constant state of slumber over the realities of the situation and the considerations attached to it. 

Speaking of considerations, can anyone believe that our provincial administrators and of course the pleasant character of federal stature, who is directly responsible for the country’s internal security, have a proper perspective of what they are actually facing in the present terrorist attacks? Are they aware of the fact that since September 11 and Pakistan’s consequent position, the spectrum of terrorism in Pakistan has widened and what this could mean for the country? Do they realise that their past half-baked attempts at halting illegal weapons, sectarianism and religious extremism cannot be sustained given the devastating, destructive power of the Al-Qaeda brand of terror that rocked the all-powerful USA to its heels? Are they giving enough importance to the kamikaze phenomenon that is synonymous with such terrorism? Do they believe that they are mentally equipped to devise a strategy to combat this new and more terrible menace? Is just lack of resources the problem or does the calibre of the people involved also determine success or failure of any plan against terrorism of this magnitude? Do they not realise this is a war of a different kind, which requires an equally brilliant counter-strategy to that of the likes of Osama bin Laden? Such questions can go on and on. 

One major indicator condemning these administrators to ignorance is the visible lack of anticipation of such occurrences. One would have imagined, that given the country’s vanguard posture in the war against terrorism following 9/11, they would have anticipated such occurrences and would have adopted effective preventive counter-measures which could save so many from so much tragedy.  

What is equally depressing is that they are not doing justice to the president’s confidence in their ability to counter grave threats to the country’s welfare. If they really believe that Wednesday’s attack was in fact an attack by those wanting to diminish international confidence in the country and arrest the direly needed foreign investment which is “pouring in”, or so we are constantly told, then they should have been better prepared. Lack of time is no excuse, and ample time they have had to prepare. 

It all boils down to what our august president decides to do now. It is not just a matter of giving his subordinates a strategy, for, brilliant strategist he may be. It all depends on how the strategy is implemented and of what ability should be the people to implement it. One is reminded of a quote of that brilliant Chinese strategist Sun Tzu: The ruler who has good men about him prospers, he who does not is ruined.

ali_makkishah@hotmail.com


Referendum held: Now what next to follow?

By Mohammad Saleem Shaikh
By Mohammad
 Saleem Shaikh

Since heavy contingents of the police and Pakistan army for the security purposes were deployed at all the polling stations to thwart any untoward incident, the long-hailed referendum eventually ended peacefully. Following the referendum results in outright favour of the president Musharraf, he has now had the green singal by the people to continue to go with his policies of reforms. 

Now what comes to think over is that would Musharraf do his best to run the country with his widely acclaimed national policies pursued for socio-economic development of the country as he has been doing during his the pre-referendum era? Would he continue to justify the hopes and expectations of the people attached to his government?  

Following the victory in the referendum, President Musharraf has had a five-year term for himself to rule the country further. He, hence, now stands to be Pakistan's third de facto army chief to claim to be an elected ruler of the state-although a self-evident violation of the Constitution. He was so firm to make himself president that he left no stone unturned to make his referendum movement successful. For this, he went through even every sort of criticism from all the quarters of the country including from Alliance for Restoration of democracy (ARD).  
 

Although referendum ended in peaceful manner and the results went in out-and-out favour, president Pervez Musharraf has still a long way to go through. He is now amid the heavy responsibilities to lead the country relating to the socio-economic developments. It would not be wrong or irrelevant to say that by winning the referendum, he has burdened himself with more onerous responsibilities.

It is being thought by the people outside and inside the country that the results of Tuesday's referendum will cast their shadow across Pakistan's political landscape for quite some time. And, now the task before President Musharraf is to vindicate by his actions that his victory would pave the way for real democracy and lead Pakistan towards political stability and economic growth and social development that still continue to be unrealized dream of the nation. With so many powers already in his hands and more to be had through the proposed constitutional amendments, there is a danger that, in lieu of checks and balances, we may have a situation in which the president will have all the powers only for himself. Then, what will happen is not sure but can be predicted well.

Fears also prevails among the people regarding no guarantee for the upholding of the interests of civil society as now the National Security Council will be heavily under the heel of the military. It is in this context that even after the October elections the elected Civilian leadership may succumb to undue pressures emanating from the military ruler rather than becoming responsive tot the urges-cum-wishes of the nation.

Given the contentious nature of the referendum, it is of significant importance that controversy should not circumfuse the upcoming general elections due in October. It should, however, be fair, free, and transparent and all the political parties as well as personalities not debarred by the law should be allowed to partake in it. The whole exercise should not only be free from even the distant suspicion of manipulation; it should appear to be so.

In his Thursday’s televised address to the nation, Musharraf himself vowed that the October elections would be held transparently and efforts would be made for its being fair and free. Same facilities would be provided to the people to cast their votes to the leaders of their own choice without facing any troubles. Therefore, it can be concluded here that one can realise the sincere interests and intentions of the president Pervez Musharraf with regard to holding of the October’s elections.

It is really commendable that Musharraf has vowed to continue with his widely acclaimed policies for national development and with the process of reforms including continuing of his fight against corruption, terrorism and poverty.  

He also reiterated his determination as anti-terrorism fight, poverty alleviation would continue to be as his top-priority reform agenda. He also said that he would leave no stone unturned to bring back the real democracy in country, economic development, improvement of law and order situation and terrorism and spread of the education every nook and corner of the country. But, here he should concentrate more on the economic and political reforms as these two very factors can contribute a lot in restoration of peace, improvement of law and order situation as well as social and economic development.

Here it seems to be very pertinent to mention that since the President Pervez Musharraf has won the referendum, the expectations attached to the present military government of the people has greatly increased. Therefore, the long period of five years will be period of challenges for the president if he wants to stay in power for the next five years. He never has to avert from the promises and pledges he has been making so far with the nation. Thence, the errand before the President Pervez Musharraf now is to justify by his actions that his victory in the Tuesday’s referendum would tend to strengthen democracy and lead Pakistan towards political stability and economic growth.

And, what next to be done by the president military ruler of the country is that the heed to be directed to the more serious issues of good governance and matters pertaining to the state-affairs at his earliest. President Pervez Musharraf, who has got a mandate to rule the country for further five years, should now set on the role of a politically unbiased leader of all four province as he now tends to represents the federation; not a single province.

It is in this contest that he should exercise non-partisan sort of politics and never resort to targeting any political parties or their leaders. It is important for him and his government as the future of parliament with which he is required to work as the members of the parliament comes from different political parties inside the country.

It will really be necessary to open up the door for dialogue with all the party leaders to ensure the success of the only purpose, which he has been given a mandate for. This will also be better and do well for the restoration of real democracy.

It is really encouraging to note that unlike the previous governments that failed to keep their promises they did with the people, the president Pervez Musharraf has come up so far in keeping his promises and he has done his best so far.  But now what needs to be done is that attention should now be directed towards the proposed constitutional amendments under which the elections of the National and Provincial Assemblies will be held. All political parties are intending to contest these polls, they should be allowed to participate fully in the October elections.

But as the nation is passing through stern testing times, it is essential that both the military regime and the opposition should do some thing possible to make their positions more flexible and adjustable to work jointly in the interest of restoration of true democracy in the country.

saleemzeal@hotmail.com


                                             
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Quest For A Just World Order
 

By Farrukh Khan Pitafi 

The visiting delegation of the Russian Parliamentarians has left ripples in the stagnant pool of our diplomatic consciousness. The public statements and well-articulated benign outlook of the delegation have provided ample testimony to the fact that time is ripe for Pakistan to join the quest for multi-polarity. Islamabad’s attitude seems turning more conducive in this context. Our relations with China are once again growing warm thanks to the open hearted leadership in Beijing. It seems that the current regime is learning swiftly from its own follies unlike its predecessors. This is the major reason why many of the government’s erstwhile critics, including this scribe, may find it more and more convincing to appreciate the govt. policies in this vital field. However let us spell out a caveat on the outset. All recent developments in the field of foreign policy are at a rudimentary stage and if due care is not maintained in this sector by the government these positive developments may freeze in the budding stage. 

It is noteworthy that behind the current global chaos lies the specter of uni-polarity. Uni-polarity is essentially different from collective security. In theory collective security knows no pole. It indeed is an ideal envisaging a just order in which all global disputes are resolved amicably and on principles with absolutely no soft corners to the selfish interests of any of the actors. The essential ingredients of collective security are tolerance, democracy, and political and intellectual pluralism. These essential features of collective security are not found in the uni-polar world. 

In contrast uni-polarity is an anomalous product of balance of power. Gramisci’s usage of the term hegemony seems fit for study such an order. Cultural hegemony unlike pluralism tends to suppress or crush the currents of opposing culture or intellectual traditions. In uni-polarity Adam Smith’s proverbial ‘invisible hand’ ceases to function leaving the world hostage to the whims of a single power. The ensuing sense of deprivation in the neglected poor remnants of the previous order and those under threat takes refuge in terrorism, guerrilla warfare and other forms of asymmetric challenge to the unravelling order. Since in this paradigm all states are tied to a single pivot, the expression of rage naturally comes through the non-state actors (NSAs).  

The tragedy with the NSA politics is that unlike nation states there is hardly any established mechanism to deal with its leading actors. Hence unnecessary indiscriminate violence becomes rule of the day and affects the human life adversely. It therefore cannot be gainsaid that until the world order matures to the extent that there unambiguous plural and tolerant traditions are in place to help us settle in collective security, multi-polarity remains the only panacea to safeguard the needs of the disgruntled and the poor. 

Strikingly no state in the recent history has been so central to the establishment of the global order despite its apparent lack of prowess as is Pakistan. Pakistan’s geography, political relevance and the current thrust of history are proofs that it can play key role in the establishment of an order meant for the global stability. Let us see how. 

The present world witnesses emergence of several potential global powers. Interestingly most of these powers are located in the Eurasian region contiguous to Pakistan’s circle of relevance. In the sense of hardcore real politick power politics is partly the game of resources and partly of the efficient harnessing of them. It is inevitably the century of the vitality of human resources as the limits of mechanized resources have already been tested. And till the time artificial intelligence and virtual reality do not reach a prudent level this centrality of human resources can hardly be overemphasized. Situated with the two most human-resource rich countries Pakistan cannot remain isolated from the global power games. Amusingly enough Pakistan’s best part of history is a clear indication to the principle-centered path that this country should adopt in the approaching days.  

Since its very inception our nation has faced several jittery phases. Most natural threat that compelled it to seek political support of some heavyweight was India’s stubborn and uncooperative attitude towards its existence. India went to the extent of sponsoring a resistance movement in East Pakistan by fanning the local sense of deprivation and later with the naked display of force resulting in the creation of Bangladesh. At first Pakistan almost reduced itself to a secondary tool in the hand of the western powers. However gradually it found a trustworthy and principled friend in the shape of China. China has proven itself to be the best friend of our country and has extended full support to our interests in the most crucial phases. Even this friend of ours forgave with open heart several follies that we committed from time to time. China is hence to be the most defining factor of our foreign policy formulation. 

In the last decade of the cold war Pakistan served as the frontline state against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. Regardless of the suitability of our role in the cold war one thing has become absolutely clear with our later experience: that we are not naturally germane to western interests in the region. Since our basic ethos is truly different from the western guiding philosophy we can never see dream of absolute convergence. This however is not true of Russia.  

Russia is a beautiful mix of the oriental and occidental values and its Eurasian character makes it an ideal ally for Pakistan. One more thing that has officially been recognized recently here in Pakistan is that Russia holds key to the material as well as cultural riches of the Central Asian Republics (CARs). Although the natural resources in the CARs are still not developed to their full potential, once exploited properly they have the capacity to outshine almost all-major regions in the field. Russia itself owns forty percent of the world’s proven fuel deposits. Fortunately Pakistan’s geography is congenial for the interests of the land-locked states of Central Asia and to Russia, that need access to hot waters. Pakistan and Iran jointly offer this opportunity abundantly. In return Pakistan may get plenty of benefits. First that it acquires healthy amount of foreign capital by serving as a trade route. Secondly as the foreign trade starts passing through Pakistan more and more companies may find it convincing to invest in the local infrastructure. Culturally too this trade can integrate Pakistan into the Central Asia, which indeed is the cradle of our civilization, hence overcoming the identity crisis that we have faced for umpteen years. 

Russian interest in development of relations is also profound in strategic terms. The 9-11 has changed the attitude of Europe towards the current US administration. Prior to 9-11 Europe was critical of the iconoclastic binge of the Bush administration that took pleasure in discarding the protocols and agreements of the past. The fate of Kyoto Protocol and the Anti Ballistic Missile (ABM) treaty attracted devouring criticism. However after the eleven September attacks all major European countries, mostly part of NATO, have stood firmly with the US stand facilitating NATO’s radical expansion towards the east. If the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers decide to include the Baltic States into this treaty organization in the informal meeting to be held in mid May, it may prove a blow to the Russian interest in the region. It is hence taken for granted that Russia would be more than willing to enhance its strategic role in Asia if it is momentarily compromised in Europe. It has already shown keen interest in developing an Asian axis with China and India as its major cohorts. While India is still hesitating, the development of a strategic alliance between China and Russia can impart great regional stability and cohesion.  

So far the Indo-Pak confrontation has proven to be the major impediment in the development of such an alliance. Since India so far was very close to Russia and Pakistan’s relations with China were no lesser strong, the mutual disagreement of our two states to coexist in the same axis has barred the growth of this vital collaboration. However in the recent years thanks to the over zealous Indian leaders like Advani and Fernandes India’s desire to go the west’s way has become only too self-evident. Hence Russia may not find any difficulty in finding common grounds with Pakistan and China. Mr. Bush has also helped to grant this potential alliance a fourth aspiring regional associate in shape of Iran. His axis-of-evil speech has rapidly undone the western encouraged and perhaps sponsored politico-religious divide in Iran, hence bringing to an end the western hopes of ‘Islamic reformation’ in Tehran. Iran today finds itself more united than ever and most vocal against the forces of aggression. If Pakistan plays its role effectively it may achieve a longer lasting relationship with Iran that may later compliment in the Central Asian trade and relations. 

India could prove a very precious ally in this context. Unfortunately however the lure for India to join the west is very strong. As is evident from various western works ranging from the Clash of Civilizations and Asia-2025, the western powers have already chosen friends and foes. They are keen to treat the Socialist China, despite all its opening up, as a competitor and not an ally. Since it is a competition in which human resources play a vital role, India has to be the natural alternative. Unfortunately in its blind pursuit of hegemony and global power status India is forgetting that it is one of us and not one of them. With such a big number of its citizens on the level of basic subsistence, India should champion the cause of the poor and not the rich. But until we have BJP led coalition government in India, we should stop hoping too seriously of any such sane attitude from Delhi. 

To our misfortune we, even then, cannot enjoy the luxury of branding India an enemy. India has a huge mass of Muslims living there. The safety of these Muslims in view of the guiding principle of Pakistan’s identity, the Two Nation Theory, is Pakistan’s important concern. The recent tragic massacre of Muslims in Gujrat speaks volumes in support of this. Hence the leadership in Islamabad must maintain contacts with the secular forces in India, which have already proven to be worth this respect. Our hearts beat with those of the Indian Muslims and instead of planning to hit them with the weapons of mass destruction we must try help them accommodate in their habitat.  

The second most distracting factor in the development of the strategic axis, Afghanistan, is no more unresolved. Now there is no serious threat to the confidence building between China, Russia and Pakistan. If Iran joins this nexus, as is most likely, an absolute convergence of interest can be achieved here. But when we talk of the CARs we must not forget that Turkey is another serious player in the region and needs to be engaged. Turkey so far has waited for the EU to open its doors for membership. This is the major reason that it has emphasized more on its European identity rather than its Asian or Muslim fraternity. However the recent remarks by General Tuncer Kilinc, the secretary-general of Turkish National Security Council are also revealing. According to him, Turkey should look towards the countries like Russia and Iran if the European Union maintains its ambiguity over Turkish membership. Turkey is also disenchanted by the US stubborn insistence on attacking Iraq, which obviously would not be free of implications for Turkey.  

Coming back to Russia and China the recent developments are very encouraging. China is trying its best to help Pakistan place itself on the Asian power map. It has invited Pakistan in the proceedings of various influential fora. Our relations with Russia are also improving. It is not a matter only of the invitation for Musharraf to visit Moscow or the above-mentioned visit of the Russian parliamentary representatives. Recent cooperation between the two countries in the field of space technology, especially with the growing emphasis on the cooperation in the field of espionage, is highly indicative of the potential of strategic partnership. 

Despite all this emphasis on multi-polarity, it by no means implies that the US should be termed an enemy. In this world of fierce interdependence such churlish ideas are tantamount to foolishness. However instead of total reliance on the US support, which obviously is equally counterproductive for the US itself, Islamabad should explore new vistas of balance and stability. Meanwhile it can prove a true ally of the US by becoming its conscience and no more remaining a tool of regional disruption. Time holds testimony to the fact that the people of the United States have always proven themselves to be far more tolerant and conscientious than their successive administrations. Attempts to dupe them as enemies can be nothing but reckless bigotry.  

While General Musharraf is now proving himself far-sighted enough to learn from history in this field, there are many among the downtrodden circles of his own country that still consider him more the protector of the western interests in the region. If the recent developments grow further unabated all such criticism may vanish soon. However there is one very serious need that if fulfilled can help him win support of a huge chunk of even his opponents. If General Musharraf succeeds in convincing the US to shift its bases from Pakistan to some other country, he may immediately become hero of even those who have opposed him due to his foreign policy concessions to the west. There are solid grounds for this too. The operation in Afghanistan is almost over. Afghanistan has already developed substantial capacity to host foreign troops. In these circumstance there is hardly any benefit for the either side to maintain the US presence in our country. Instead of being productive such presence can prove cataclysmic, as we are know it already that the terrorists and bigot lot use such excuses to perpetuate hatred. Why should then any such excuse be left for the exploiters? Moreover, the US military stay may jeopardize Pakistan’s image as a sovereign actor in the eyes of its regional friends Time is waiting for the quick decisions of the General. If he succeeds he may not find it too onerous to restore momentum.  
fkp@mail.com


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