imbalance
Widening the deficit
A look at some statistics of Pakistan’s trade volume clearly show the areas where planning is  lacking
By Muhammad Adnan
Lately, Pakistan’s economy has been depicting a downward trend, and this is well exhibited by the fact that in the first half of the fiscal year 2011-12, the country’s trade deficit has increased by 38.48 percent as it has been recorded at $11.48 billion as against $8.29 billion of the same period last fiscal year, according to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).  

Result card
Some of the main public sector enterprises such as PIA and Railways call for immediate attention
By Alauddin Masood
Some 78 Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs) affiliated with eight corporations working under the Ministry of Production have become dormant. According to a study carried out on the directives of Production Minister Mr. Anwar Cheema, if these PSEs are rehabilitated and equipped with modern plants and machinery they can earn US$ 30 billion annually from the marketing of their products abroad.

governance
Missing the target

The broken triangle of democracy, decentralisation and development has yet to be restored by the democratic forces
By Amjad Bhatti
The absence of representative and accountable political system coupled with highly centralising tendencies of the state has underpinned the development fiasco in Pakistan. The denial to the continuity of democratic system and polity and failure in institutionalising devolution and decentralisation have led to the under-performance of social development sector in Pakistan.

Memories of an unassuming Marxist
The progressive movement of Pakistan has lost one of its best sons in the death of Dr. Manzoor Ahmed
By Shahid Husain
In an environment where fundamentalist forces are bent upon derailing a democratically-elected government it’s high time for progressive and enlightened elements in Pakistan society to forge unity and shun dogmatism.  

Debt bondage: an unattended issue
Floods during the last few years have further highlighted the menace of bonded labour
By Altaf Hussain
Two successive catastrophes of floods and monsoon rains turned into man-made disasters have exposed millions of the people, predominantly in Sindh, to the social vulnerabilities such as debt bondage, loss of employment, forced custody of workers by the landlords in flood affected districts of Sindh.  

region
Moving in the right direction
The granting of MFN status to India has raised some hopes of traders on the two sides
By Shahzada Irfan Ahmed
The recently concluded visit of the Indian Commerce Minister Anand Sharma is being seen as a welcome development, especially in the emerging regional scenario. It is not a mere coincidence that the presidents of Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan got together at a summit meeting in Islamabad soon after he had left.  


relations
The beginning has been made
A positive outcome of the current round of talks between the commerce ministers is the signing of MOUs to remove three major irritants to normalise bilateral trade
By Abid Qaiyum Suleri
Regional cooperation among South Asian neighbors in general and regional trade among SAARC countries in particular was always marred by lack of trust. It is often said that historic animosities between Pakistan and India have held hostage SAARC’s agenda and without a miraculous improvement in their bilateral relations implementation of South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) would remain a dream. 

The question of  media literacy
A massive teaching programme on media literacy is highly needed at the moment
By Muhammad Aftab Alam
Citizens for Free and Responsible Media, Pakistan (CFRM-Pakistan), an online group of not more than 164 assertive citizens, has developed a “guide to anchoring and reporting on news channels”. The guide provides a basic checklist of what a viewer should be aware of while watching news channels. 

 

 

 

 

imbalance
Widening the deficit
A look at some statistics of Pakistan’s trade volume clearly show the areas where planning is  lacking
By Muhammad Adnan

Lately, Pakistan’s economy has been depicting a downward trend, and this is well exhibited by the fact that in the first half of the fiscal year 2011-12, the country’s trade deficit has increased by 38.48 percent as it has been recorded at $11.48 billion as against $8.29 billion of the same period last fiscal year, according to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

Trade deficit due to higher import bill comprising of petroleum products, power generating machinery, palm oil, electrical machinery & apparatus etc is expected to reach at $22 billion till the end of second half of the ongoing fiscal year.

Increasing trend of country’s imports continued and imports surged by 18.90 per cent in July-December 2011-12 and are recorded at $22.72 billion as against $19.10 billion of the same period last fiscal year. However on the other hand, exports showed a growth of only 3.94 per cent and are recorded at $11.24 billion at the end of second quarter of FY 2011-12 as against $10.82 billion of the same period last year. Therefore, the trade deficit is recorded at $ 11.48 billion during the first six months of the ongoing fiscal year.

Statistics shows that in second quarter trade deficit recorded at $6.295 billion, exports stood at $5.302 billion and imports at $11.597 billion. In the months of October, November and December 2011 the exports are recorded at $1.896 billion, $1.552 billion and $1.854 billion respectively, while imports in the same months are recorded at $3.607 billion, $3.729 billion and $4.261 billion respectively. Monthly trade deficit in the quarter is $1.711 billion, $2.177 billion and $2.407 billion respectively.

Calculating the same trade performance in percentages, it tells us that imports changed by -0.41%, 3.38% and 14.27% respectively, whereas exports changed by 3.27, -18.14 and 19.46 percent respectively. Therefore, compared to first quarter the overall trade deficit in the second quarter in percentages has increased by 23.11 percent.

Having a look on Pakistan’s trade performance in first quarter of the current fiscal year, statistics tells that the trade deficit was $5.114 billion, imports stood at $11.117 billion and exports stood at $6.003 billion. Going in details, in the months of July, August and September 2011 the imports were recorded at $3.689 billion, $3.806 billion and $3.622 billion respectively, while exports in the same months were recorded at $2.203 billion, $1.964 billion and $1.836 billion respectively.

Monthly trade deficit in the quarter was recorded as $1.486 billion, $1.842 billion and $1.786 billion respectively. Calculating the same in percentage it gives results that imports changed by -4.50, 3.17 and -4.83 percent respectively whereas exports changed by -9.23, -10.85 and -6.52 percent respectively. Therefore, compared to final quarter of last fiscal year 2010-11, the overall trade deficit in 1st quarter of FY 2011-12 in percentages had increased by 19.35%.

Going back in the last decade to have a view on the performance of Pakistan trade, statistics shows that trade deficit in 2001-02 was $294 million, $444 million in 2002-03, $1.208 billion in 2003-04, $4.352 billion in 2004-05, $8.259 billion in 2005-06, $9.495 billion in 2006-07, $14.970 billion in 2007-08, $12.626 billion in 2008-09, $11.536 billion in 2009-10,  and $15.587 billion in 2010-11.

For the ongoing fiscal year till 30 June 2012, analysts and economists have projected trade deficit at a record of $ 22 billion, however, the government has projected trade deficit of $17.292 billion at the end of current fiscal year. Economists’ projection is based on rising demand for imported industrial inputs, petroleum products, capital goods and machinery, and food items.

Imports are simultaneously rising as import bill for food, commodities and oil is going up, on the other hand exports slowdown is heavily straining the balance of payments. The main reason behind the increasing trade deficit is the higher import bill, if the current trend of increasing import bill continues then imports would further accelerate in the upcoming months due to sharp rupee depreciation against the dollar that would push the trade deficit on the higher side.

The main factors which have caused to rise in import bill include increase in international commodity prices, especially in petroleum products, that increased by 51 percent after declining by 20.6 percent last year. The quantity wise import of petroleum products have increased by 6.1 percent.

Talking about exports, the textile industry which is the backbone of Pakistan exports and it contributes to more than 60 percent of total exports of the country, it had contributed $14 billion of total exports of $25 billion in last fiscal year but it has lost 30 percent of the production in the first half of ongoing fiscal year due to prevailing energy shortages.  The demand of Pakistan’s products particularly textile, leather and cotton have been losing their demand in foreign markets specifically in the EU and US. Furthermore, the prices of finished, semi-prepared and raw products have seen decline in the values particularly textile made-ups and cotton, which caused decline in Pakistani exports in the exporting countries.

According to Ijaz Khokhar, Chief Coordinator, Pakistan Readymade Garments Manufacturing and Exporters Association (PRGMEA), “Pakistan’s overall textile exports were likely to hover between $10 billion and $11 billion this fiscal year, which stood at $14 billion last fiscal with a big fall of $3-$4 billion” further he said, “Gas and electricity shortages were the key factors behind delay in export shipments to EU and US ahead of Christmas and New Year celebrations, so the government should first help the local industry to fulfill the international commitments as it has already made instead of signing FTAs or PTAs which will never benefit the manufacturing sector unless power and gas are provided”.

The current government has set an imports target at $42.910 billion and an exports target of $25.618 billion for FY 2011-12 (trade deficit targeted as $17.292 billion), but the Chairman Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP), Tariq Iqbal Puri, has said “exports will remain between $23 and 24 billion, compared with $25 billion in FY 2010-11, because of the worst financial crisis in EU and economic slowdown in United States. Low productivity and ongoing domestic energy crisis are also responsible for decline in exports.”

Therefore, in order to reduce the trade deficit Pakistan must focus on encouraging industrial sector, so that exports would be increased in coming years and that can be possible if industrial sector is provided with required energy, on the other hand Pakistan must have to reduce its demand for oil imports and it has to generate electricity from alternative sources instead of oil.

If the policy makers and policy implementing authorities do not take serious measures to overcome the crises Pakistan would become a defaulter state.

 

Data source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics and Economic Surveys of Pakistan 2009-10 & 2010-11.

 

The writer is a consultant and can be reached at umar.adnan83@gmail.com


 

Result card
Some of the main public sector enterprises such as PIA and Railways call for immediate attention
By Alauddin Masood

Some 78 Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs) affiliated with eight corporations working under the Ministry of Production have become dormant. According to a study carried out on the directives of Production Minister Mr. Anwar Cheema, if these PSEs are rehabilitated and equipped with modern plants and machinery they can earn US$ 30 billion annually from the marketing of their products abroad.

The state of affairs of PSEs working under the supervision of other entities of the State is not much different. However, for brevity’s sake, we cite here only the example of Pakistan Railways (PR) and Pakistan International Airlines (PIA). Both PR and PIA have witnessed rapid deterioration, plunging to unimaginable depths in financial terms and quality of service delivery, largely due to corruption, nepotism, inefficiency and ineptness of State minions managing them.

Pakistan’s Planning has pointed out internal inefficiencies and poor governance to be the major factors contributing to significant losses by PR, PIA and other PSEs. Despite having a network of 7,791 route-KM, PR was suffering heavy losses, primarily due to political reasons and its management’s lack of vision and professionalism. A report by the Planning Commission said: “The Railways equipment and technology is obsolete that leads to delays and safety hazards. The institution is inefficient in its operations due to the lack of managerial and financial support.”

Meanwhile, PR’s expenditures — including wages, salaries, allowances and pensions — have consistently recorded double-digit growth for the last couple of years while its revenues have nosedived since 2010 and operational performance has been badly affected by a critical dearth of running locomotives.

Noting that Pakistan Railways’ “main focus is on improving passenger rather than freight services, despite the latter being more profitable,” the Planning Commission says: To meet the demand for passenger services, PR has drastically curtailed its high yielding freight operations overtime, resulting in sharp fall in freight revenues since 2010. Furthermore, only one-third of the Railways’ total network is being used for core commercial purposes. The State Bank has recommended that instead of providing stopgap measures to Pakistan Railways, the government must focus on re-structuring the loss-making PSE on fast track basis by introducing wide scale reforms.

The Planning Commission has also highlighted flaws in the country’s aviation industry, saying that the private airlines are not able to respond to the consumer demand due to the protection enjoyed by PIA. The Commission identifies huge workforce to be the root cause of PIAs financial miseries as a heavy wage bill eats into a relatively large portion of the airlines operating revenues.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan, PIA’s annual revenue per aircraft stands below US$ 30 million against the earnings of US$ 50 million per aircraft for other airlines.

It is a well-known fact that some elected politicians, enjoying executive authority over PSEs, tend to distribute favours so as to expand their established networks as well as votebank and possibilities of re-election. Absence of professional people ultimately renders PSEs into loss-making units, which could cease to operate if the government does not come to their rescue. In the past, the government has been bearing annual losses of around Rs300- 350 billion of eight major PSEs.

While most of the PSEs working under various ministries of the government are presenting a dismal look, Pakistan’s telecommunication sector continues to grow constantly since its liberalisation around 2004-2005. With a contribution of Rs117 billion to the national exchequer in the fiscal year 2011, the telecom sector has emerged as the single largest contributor to GST/FED, with a share exceeding 93 percent from the services sector. It also attracted a fresh investment of US$ 493 million, including foreign direct investment (FDI) of US$ 79 million or some five percent of the total FDI which came to Pakistan during the year. The revenues earned by the telecom sector swelled to Rs362 billion during 2011.

During the last six years, the telecom sector’s regulatory authority — PTA — has earned and deposited Rs72 billion into the national exchequer in the shape of Initial and Annual Licence Fee, Annual Spectrum, USF and R&D Fund Contributions. Auction of 3G licences in March this year, is expected to net over US$ 800 million, while creating a paradigm shift from voice-centric to multimedia-oriented services.

Earlier, PTCL was the sole service provider in the telecom sector and its service delivery record was not much different from other PSEs. As in most of the public sector utilities, lineman was considered the ‘king’ in PTCL as well. However, after privatisation in 2006 one can notice a qualitative change in the service delivery and attitude of PTCL’s employees.

PTCL’S new management has introduced a vast range of innovative products and services based on the latest technological developments. It has also emerged as the first-ever Video Phone service provider in the country for landline subscribers.

According to World Broadband Statistics Q1 2011 report, published by Point Topic Limited, globally Pakistan ranked second and fourth in the quarterly and annual broadband subscribers’ growth respectively.

The government’s decision to liberalise the telecom sector opened the floodgates of competition whereby over 200 licences were issued between 2004 and 2006 in different segments. Presently, there are some 40 active operators on the ground. Due to severe competition, all telecom operators are providing services at highly competitive rates to the greater benefit of subscribers. Given the situation, one should not be surprised if voice tariffs in Pakistan are one of the lowest in the world. Resultantly, teledensity has risen to about 69pc.

Now PTCL is engaged in efforts to provide the highest quality broadband to five million outlets, households, and businesses, guaranteeing a minimum of 10MB broadband speed to each one of them. Requiring an anticipated investment of one billion dollar plus, the milestone service will make voice telephony a relic of the past, and make PTCL a part of the lifestyle of households, providing them services of choice, at times also of their own convenience and desire.

In a nutshell, PTCL’s new management has transformed it into an efficient and robust service-provider by diversifying its product portfolio and modernising the telecom infrastructure by investing hundreds of millions of dollars every year.

In the light of these facts, it is time that the authorities take bold decisions about dormant PSEs, opting for either their privatisation or entrusting their management to companies of international repute under public-private-partnership modality if we really wish to smash the begging bowl and rub shoulders with the global community as a self-respecting nation.

 

The writer is a freelance columnist based at Islamabad.

alauddinmasood@gmail.com

 

 

 

 

governance
Missing the target
The broken triangle of democracy, decentralisation and development has yet to be restored by the democratic forces
By Amjad Bhatti

The absence of representative and accountable political system coupled with highly centralising tendencies of the state has underpinned the development fiasco in Pakistan. The denial to the continuity of democratic system and polity and failure in institutionalising devolution and decentralisation have led to the under-performance of social development sector in Pakistan.

This article attempts to explain the accumulated development deficits in Pakistan by studying the triangular relationship between democracy, decentralisation and development in the country.

The triangular analysis explains the interplay between three dominant patterns in Pakistan: (a) decentralisation without democracy; (b) democracy without decentralisation and (c) growth without development.

Some studies on the subject have argued that in many democratising countries decentralisation has come with the rise of democracy and fall of dictatorship and therefore, representative government is viewed as a first wave of democracy and decentralisation as a second wave. Decentralisation cannot work without democracy and democracy without political parties. Ironically, Pakistan presents the reverse case: the decentralisation process always preceded the representative government in Pakistan.

Three dictators — Ayub, Zia and Musharraf —-promulgated local government ordinances and conducted elections in the absence of any other tier of representative governance. Through his local government system, Ayub first created 80,000 ‘Basic Democrats’ and then sought them to serve as his Electoral College in a presidential referendum contested against the sister of the founder of Pakistan.

According to Akbar Zaidi, “Zia reviewed Ayub’s model and improvised it to counter a massive political awakening of the 70s through a (manufactured) religious bigotry and an (intended) de-politicisation of society.” Musharrarf mentored a misplaced ‘civil society’ of his own choice for gaining legitimacy and political relevance on the rhetoric of ‘grassroots service delivery’. He re-coined the devolution mantra for his despotic designs — which was exponentially funded by the international donors and vehemently supported by the non-governmental organisations.

The decentralisation had repeatedly been deployed as a military strategy for political expediency to use it as a ladder of legitimacy. These experiments of decentralisation were devoid of all the necessary elements of democracy. It has been maintained by a number of experts on local government that the local government structures and systems devised by the successive military regimes have failed to deliver, even before political issues came to the fore. They argue that it was not merely the politics which undermined the potential and possibility of local government delivery in Pakistan, the systems themselves failed on technical and structural grounds.

On the other hand, democracy is given little time and chance in Pakistan. Political parties in Pakistan remained more engaged with fighting for the restoration of the Constitution and democracy rather than enterprising in the domain of public policy and planning.

According to a research by the Centre of Civic Education, democracy remained in vogue for about 8, 330 days, which account for about 36 percent of the total days as a life of democracy in more than six decades in Pakistan. Unrepresentative regimes rule this country longer than the representative dispensations. However, democratic dispensations remained unsuccessful in exploring the potential of local governments for deepening democracy and institutionalising the lowest tier of governance for effective service delivery at the grassroots level. There is only one civilian-led legislation on local government which remained on the books but no election was held under this legislation.

In 1972 and1975, the civilian government led by the Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto introduced legislation on local government. The People’s Act 1975 constitutionalised the local government units and their powers, including taxation power. It defined the relationship of the local governments to provincial and national ministries performing general development functions in the area, including education and health. However, the legislation during the period 1972-1979, pertinent to local government could not be administered because elections under these laws were not held and the local institutions were kept under the governance of official administrators throughout the period.

In military-led politics, the local governments were used, manipulated and failed while in democracy-led politics local governments were denied, marginalised or remained unexplored for their representative potential of grassroots service delivery. These factors have resulted in massive development deficits and failures, where even an impressive rapid economic growth could not address development disparities in Pakistan. Rather, these entrenched disparities and discriminations were fuelled by the shameless denial to democracy and decentralisation which subsequently kept the federation unstable and made the society restless.

Lately, the Charter of Democracy, however, recognised the importance of subsidiarity by stating: “Local bodies election will be held on party basis through provincial election commissions in respective provinces and constitutional protection will be given to the local bodies to make them autonomous and answerable to their respective assemblies as well as to the people through regular courts of law.”

With the return of democracy in 2008, a popular demand led to a political consensus that the local government was a provincial domain; therefore, this issue should exclusively be left to the respective tiers. Against this backdrop, the Parliamentary Committee on Constitutional Reforms (PCCR) represented by all political parties in the House (upper and lower), recommended the adoptions of Article 140-A in the Constitution of Pakistan. This article clearly identifies three tiers of the government as constitutional foundations of the State of Pakistan.

The 18th          Amendment has further laid down four fundamental benchmarks for the local governments, which include: political, administrative, financial and electoral. With this, Local Governments have become the exclusive legislative and executive competence of the provinces and decentralisation at grassroots level is, thus, pending now at the provincial headquarters. The broken triangle of democracy, decentralisation and development has yet to be restored by the democratic forces to achieve the desired development goals. Provinces need to wake up and make up on this account with a sense of urgency. The implementation of the Article 140-A would effectively mend these lingering gaps.

 

The writer is executive director of the School of Political and Strategic Communications, Islamabad. This article is based on his forthcoming paper: “Bridging development deficits through democratic devolution: Post-18th Amendment framework for local governance in Pakistan”, commissioned by the European Union, Practical Action and Rural Development Policy Institute. Email:          amjad.544@gmail.com

 

Memories of an unassuming Marxist
The progressive movement of Pakistan has lost one of its best sons in the death of Dr. Manzoor Ahmed
By Shahid Husain

In an environment where fundamentalist forces are bent upon derailing a democratically-elected government it’s high time for progressive and enlightened elements in Pakistan society to forge unity and shun dogmatism.

If great Italian thinker and Marxist intellectual, Antonio Gramsi, can write “Prison Notebooks” without using jargon at a time when fascism prevailed in that country why can’t progressive and enlightened people in Pakistan ponder what mistakes they made during the last 63 years?

Failure to do so would lead to nothing but chaos and fascism. Dr. Manzoor Ahmed, who bowed out on January 15 in Islamabad after protracted illness, reminds us of an ever-smiling, tolerant and down-to-earth Marxist who welcomed new ideas and did his best to organise young doctors at the Pakistan Medical Association (PMA), political and trade union workers, and believed in community work.

He could have earned lots of money but right from the beginning he started his clinic at Shah Faisal Colony (former Drigh Road) inhabited by poor and lower-middle class people. The area was close to Landhi industrial area and factory workers would also come to his clinic when they were ill and if they had no money to buy medicines. Dr. Ahmed would give them money from his pocket. Political workers, especially full-time workers in the then underground Communist Party of Sindh, led by Imam Ali Nazish whose wages were equivalent to an unskilled industrial worker’s wage, would also frequent his clinic when they were ill.

Dr. Ahmed was a very simple, unassuming but committed person. He would have his lunch with his comrades, compounder and peon. People in the community loved him because he was not only a very good physician but cared about ordinary folk.

Manzoor Ahmed was born in Hyderabad (Deccan) in 1930. His father worked in the education department; therefore, he had to move to different places whenever his father got a new posting.

Ahmed did his Intermediate from City College, Hyderabad (Deccan) and became a close friend of eminent Urdu poet Makhdoom Mohyuddin and hero of Tilangana movement. When Indian forces attacked the princely state of Hyderabad to annex it, Ahmed and his brother joined the ‘Razakaar Force” that tried to repel the Indian forces’ onslaught but in vain.

The Nizam of Hyderabad withdrew his forces but Ahmed along with a group of young people continued to fight the Indian forces. In 1948, his arrest warrants were issued and he was declared a rebel. Ahmed then migrated to Pakistan.

Ahmed graduated from the prestigious Dow Medical College (now Dow University of Health Sciences) in the 1956-57 batch. “He was very logical and took a decision after lots of thinking,” Saleh Appa said. “It was he who brought left politics in the family.” She also said, “Many doctors would say if a diagnosis had been made by Dr. Ahmed, it must be correct.”

“Dr. Ahmed knew the legendary communist leader Hasan Nasir, who was martyred in the infamous Lahore Fort in 1960 during the military government of Gen. Ayub Khan, since the days when he was in Hyderabad (Deccan) and remained in touch with him in Pakistan too when the revolutionary leader was underground,” Saleh Appa added.

“I once asked Dr. Ahmed during a visit to his clinic whether he was diagnosing a patient or doing party work,” recalled Prof. Tipu Sultan, ex-vice chancellor Dow University of Health Sciences and president PMA (Centre). “Both!” said Dr. Ahmed. I remember the time when I first met him at his rented house in North Nazimabad along with my friend and former general secretary Sindh National Students Federation Mir Thebo. We had beer.

Afterwards he bought a house in North Nazimabad that was often the rendezvous of writers and intellectuals. It was at his residence that I met eminent poet, documentary film-maker and a stalwart of Progressive Writers’ Association (PWA) Ali Sardar Jafri when he visited Pakistan in the 1970s.

Ahmed was the darling of young doctors such as Dr. Qamar Abbas Nadeem (late), who was also a noted short story writer and Dr. Mazhar Haider. He was equally popular amongst Dr. Mahboob (late), Dr. Aziz, B.M. Kutty and Fatehyab Ali Khan.

He was President, Karachi chapter of erstwhile National Awami Party (NAP) led by veteran nationalist leader Khan Abdul Wali Khan that stood for friendly relations with India and former Soviet Union and was looked with disdain by the establishment. The progressive movement of Pakistan has lost one of its best sons in the death of Dr. Manzoor Ahmed.

 

Debt bondage: an unattended issue
Floods during the last few years have further highlighted the menace of bonded labour
By Altaf Hussain

Two successive catastrophes of floods and monsoon rains turned into man-made disasters have exposed millions of the people, predominantly in Sindh, to the social vulnerabilities such as debt bondage, loss of employment, forced custody of workers by the landlords in flood affected districts of Sindh.

The agriculture sector consists of a majority of labour force, (45.1pc of total labour) in the country. While the province of Sindh employs 13.46 million people having 7.74 million as rural and 5.72 urban workforces. Agriculture sector has been in the lead in marginalizing workers where their exclusion from the mainstream increases their vulnerabilities.

Exploitation of agriculture workers in Sindh contains all the elements of exploitation, ranging from heavy indebtedness, dependence on the employer for subsistence needs and services, restriction on movement, non-payment of wages to un-paid or obligatory labour of family members.

The leading exploitative factor of heirs in Sindh is skewed landholding pattern. As indicated in a report, “Social Development in Pakistan; Annual Review 2004” which says at the time of inception in Sindh “eight percent of landowners owned 55 percent of total farmland. Moreover, currently among other provinces, Sindh has the highest incidence of absolute landlessness, with 26 percent or two million households have no land while 26 percent of 700,000 household possess the lowest share in land”. These statistics clearly point toward the fact that a small minority having large lands exploits the majority with no land.

The menace of debt bondage is widespread in Tharparkar, Umerkot, Mirpur Khas, Sanghar and Badin. In these districts a majority of people is associated with agriculture as haris (peasants) who are either employed on shared contract basis or are wage workers. According to research carried out for the government of Sindh and the Asian Development Bank “there are some 1.7 million landless haris and sharecroppers in five districts of Sindh Province (Thatta, Dadu, Badin, Mirpurkhas and Umerkot). The report notes that most of these people are in debt bondage”.

An assessment carried out by Pakistan Institute of labour Education and Research, PILER in the wake of 2011 monsoon rains paints a very grim picture of the plight of people associated with agriculture. It notes that “a majority of haris in Sindh are illiterate and socially weak with no entitlement to the basic rights enshrined in the Constitution of Pakistan, i.e, no access to education and health amenities, no right to unionisation and collective bargaining, exclusion from basic labour laws, no entitlement to homesteads and lack of record keeping. These potential vulnerabilities further push haris to the spiral of marginalisation and bondage where they have to seek loans from landlords who then keep them enslaved for generations”.

It is a concern in flood hit areas now that in the aftermaths of floods where large numbers of people have been left with no option of labour, the labour itself in agriculture sector would be very cheap. Besides, those who had already been under debt bondage will have to resort to new loans from landlords to pay the previous debt which is tantamount to pushing them to the spiral of unending debt bondage.

“We have to seek new loans from the same or other landlords to pay the ones already taken”, says Sonu Kolhi from Kunri, Mirpurkhas whose crops on shared contract were destroyed in 2011 monsoon rains. He has no source of income to feed his family consisting of 12 members. He speaks of the gruesome practice of bondage as a result of never-ending advance loans. Following monsoon rains our landowner has told us to pay his debt which he claims is Rs300,000 against the actual loan of Rs40,000”, he laments. “In this scenario, we will have to resort to take new loan from another landowner and re-pay the previous one.”

Karamat Ali, well-known social and labour activist believes that the government is responsible for extending rights to the agriculture workers on the lines of industrial workers. “Pakistan has ratified the ILO Convention which clearly makes it mandatory upon member states to extend same rights to the agriculture workers as given to industrial workers”. He says that the plight of agriculture workers would remain the same if real land reforms are not introduced in the country, particularly in Sindh.

“The government which claims to be the saviour of rights of people has failed to live to the expectations of the people”. And since large land holding remains to be major hurdle in materialising  land reforms and exploitation of the agriculture workers, therefore, government should initiate the pending process of land reforms,” says Dr. Ghulam Haider, director of GRDO. “People here have lost every thing and we fear debt bondage would be on the rise in coming months and years”, he adds.

It seems if not tackled in time, increasing number of rural labour force might fall prey to the menace of unending bondage. The government has announced to waive off agricultural loans of landlords, it should also be announced publicly by the government that all loans/advances taken by the peasants must be waived off by the landlords.

It is necessary that government takes measures for stopping bondage practices for that changes recommended in Sindh Tenancy Act, 1950 by the civil society need to be incorporated without any delay by the government. At this time when floods have exposed the vulnerability of these groups, civil society and media should join hands to make headway in uprooting menace of bondage fighting for the cause of land reforms in Sindh.

 

   

region
Moving in the right direction
The granting of MFN status to India has raised some hopes of traders on the two sides
By Shahzada Irfan Ahmed

The recently concluded visit of the Indian Commerce Minister Anand Sharma is being seen as a welcome development, especially in the emerging regional scenario. It is not a mere coincidence that the presidents of Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan got together at a summit meeting in Islamabad soon after he had left.

The US State Department’s statement on having no objection to Pak-Iran-Afghan deals on food and trade has also helped remove skepticism to a great extent.

In another major development, the Pakistan cabinet has approved grant of Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status to India and the government is working on a tentative timeline. All these developments are highly significant in terms of regional trade.

With India depending on Pakistan to do unhampered trade with landlocked Afghanistan and desirous of importing natural gas from India through a pipeline passing through hostile lands, the time seems ripe for a conciliation between the two neighbouring states.

Once this happens, ground will be paved for the countries to re-enforce the South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) regional trade process under which tariffs would be further reduced for inter-regional trade.

Though these targets appear rosy on paper, achieving them will not be an easy task keeping in view the history of conflicts in the region. For example, the very plan to grant MFN status to India has invited criticism from certain players of Pakistan’s economy, especially the industrialists.

They fear Pakistani markets will get flooded with cheap Indian goods once the plan materialises. This, they believe, will render millions of people jobless as local industries will shut down for being uncompetitive. Another objection is that Pakistan has not benefited much from trade with India despite being granted MFN status 15 years ago.

Pakistani businessmen can see that India has a huge market and economies of scale, and resultantly, holds a significant cost advantage over its neighbours. In principle, the stance to support enhancement of regional trade is not an issue for them. They want a process which must be a win-win situation and demand that, as India seeks market access to Pakistan for its finished products, it must ensure equal access opportunity to its own market.

The supporters of free trade with India are also in a large number. They believe it would be a safe bet as there are several mechanisms and laws under World Trade Organisation (WTO) that protect uncompetitive industries which may suffer due to the opening of trade with some other country.

However, the wary businessmen urge on the official negotiating teams from Pakistan to focus on asking questions as to why exports have not increased despite India granting MFN status to Pakistan in 1996? India’s non-tariff barriers on import of cement, textile and agriculture products from Pakistan are a cause of concern for them.

Some of the examples of Indian NTBs are as follows:

Textiles products require pre shipment certificate from a textile testing laboratory accredited to the National Agency in the country of origin, certifying about the non use of hazardous dyes. There are instances wherein EU accredited labs were rejected by the Indian Customs;

Leather and Melamine products require that the samples of export consignments are sent to testing laboratories which are located far away from the port of entry in India, which is not only time consuming but also acts as a deterrent for the exporters of the world;

Pharmaceutical products require registration of the drugs with the Central Organization in India;

Processed Foods, under the Prevention of Food Adulteration Act, 1954 (of India), require that the product has to have a shelf life of at least 60  of the original shelf life at the time of entering into India;

Pre-packaged products are required to name the importer with his address and also to specify the maximum sale price at which the product will be sold to the end-consumers which has to include all the taxes (local and otherwise), the freight and transport charges, commission to be paid to the dealers and all other charges towards advertising, delivery, packaging, forwarding and the like which at times become impossible for International exporters to provide; and Agricultural Products are required to get a phytosanitary certificate and the consignment has to go through various other testing requirements. It is required to note that plant quarantine facilities are available at Amritsar airport only and not at Amritsar rail cargo station or at Wahga border. There is always a possibility that the cargo is held up and delayed during weekends and other holidays, thus exposed to other hazards.

Imtiaz Mirza, who is internal committee member of Ministry of Commerce formed on MFN, tells TNS the committee is meeting different industry owners and recording their concerns. He says the government will ensure interests of local manufacturers are protected and they be given a level-playing field. It’s the best time for Pakistan to demand removal of NTBs imposed by India, he adds.

Nabeel Hashmi, Chairman Pakistan Association of Automotive Parts and Accessories Manufacturers (PAPAAM) suggests that in the first phase the trade with India should be initiated with the import of raw materials, machinery and equipments, moulds and dies, etc. After that, India should be asked to allow transfer of technology through joint ventures and technical assistance agreements and, thus, make Pakistani industry competitive.

He also suggests imposing Pakistan’s automotive industry specific NTBs like Pakistan’s Vehicle Safety Standards, Pakistan’s Vehicle Quality Standards and Pakistan’s Vehicle Logistics & Trade Standards, etc. Import of only those parts should be imported from India which meet these Pakistani standards.

Fortunately, India and Pakistan have agreed to ease visa regime for businessmen and Islamabad assured New Delhi of moving to negative list of imports by this month-end before phasing it out by year-end, making way for MFN status hanging fire for over 15 years.

The two countries have also agreed to allow opening of two branches of their banks on reciprocal basis for which an understanding has been reached between the Reserve Bank of India and the State Bank of Pakistan.

As the process has started to roll, the stakeholders are trying to reach a workable agreeable. After marathon discussions, they have suggested gradual and stage-wise movement towards a free trade regime. The gist of these suggestions, to be executed on a short term, medium term and long term basis follows.

Short Term (Within one year):

i) Trade can immediately open with import of commodities and food items not produced in Pakistan.

ii) India should immediately allow Pakistan export of raw materials, machinery, tools and dies. At this point in time the Indian side is not willing even to quote for pig iron, coke, steel sheets etc.

iii) Indian non-tariff barriers should be removed for Pakistani exporters. Measures should be put in place for ease of export licensing/ procedures. For example, the yearly licensing requirement for cement from Pakistan should be removed as an annual condition. In support of balancing trade, the countries may agree on specific products for trade from both sides without restrictions.

 

Medium Term (One year to 5 years)

i) Finished goods, not produced in Pakistan, can be moved into the positive list, after demonstrable improvement in trading condition on the Indian side.

ii) Pakistan should build up capacity in customs, valuation, anti-dumping law, speedy implementation and the National Tariff Commission (NTC). It should acquire technology and technical know-how in creating and improving national testing and product standards that can put Pakistan on equal footing with India. Currently, PSQCA is neither knowledgeable nor effective.

 

Long Term (Five years and beyond)

i) Any transit facility to India should only be given towards the end of a 5-year period and subject to progress in each of the above steps and balance of trade.

There should also be clarity that granting of MFN status is not linked to discussions related to preferred trading regime, SAFTA or FTA. These are to be discussed and negotiated separately.

relations
The beginning has been made
A positive outcome of the current round of talks between the commerce ministers is the signing of MOUs to remove three major irritants to normalise bilateral trade
By Abid Qaiyum Suleri

Regional cooperation among South Asian neighbors in general and regional trade among SAARC countries in particular was always marred by lack of trust. It is often said that historic animosities between Pakistan and India have held hostage SAARC’s agenda and without a miraculous improvement in their bilateral relations implementation of South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) would remain a dream.

Finally there is a ray of hope. Despite all political and judicial turmoil that the Gilani government is facing, it kept on working on trade normalisation with neighbouring countries, especially with India.

The Pakistani cabinet deferred switching to negative list approach for trade with India from the current restrictive positive list approach. However, there seems to be a silent endorsement of GHQ for trade normalisation with India.

The good omen is that so far military leadership did not make any negative comments on the proposal of granting MFN status to India. Perhaps the establishment has realised that stability at the Eastern border would help it to concentrate on the state of affairs along the Western borders. Peaceful relations with India would also help to divert resources to combat internal security threats.

The Americans, too, must be supportive of the latest developments on normalisation of working relationship between Pakistan and India. And it seems that they are. If all goes well, the result would be reduced conflict between the two atomic neighbours, cooling down of a hotspot, which in turn would have a positive impact on US security interests in the region.

From the Indian government’s perspective, the whole issue of getting an MFN status from Pakistan (which in WTO language means nothing more than a trading partner who is getting the same treatment as other WTO members) would be much more than a moral victory for Manmohan Singh government over his rivals.

India is an emerging economic power and would not like its disturbed relations with Pakistan to be a bottleneck for its closer economic ties with Chin or the US. It is logical for any serious candidate for a permanent seat in the UN Security Council ought to resolve its issues with the neighbours on a priority basis.

A majority of the business houses and chambers of commerce in both the countries have backed liberal trading regime between the two countries. Prominent leaders of the FPCCI have conveyed the government of Pakistan that the issue of pruning the “negative list” should not be allowed to cast a shadow over the current positive developments.

Consumers’ support for trade normalisation can be gauged from their interest and participation in Expo India in Lahore, or Expo Pakistan in Delhi. They have been paying extra cost for the items of their choice traded through a third country.

While India used to demand a reciprocal MFN status from Pakistan, the latter was concerned about the non-tariff trade barriers in India. A positive outcome of the current round of talks between the commerce ministers is the signing of MOUs to remove three major irritants or non-tariff barriers to normalise the bilateral trade.

The three MoUs are Cooperation and Mutual Assistance in Customs Matters Agreement, Bilateral Cooperation Agreement on Mutual Recognition between Pakistan Standard and Quality Control Authority, and Bureau of Indian Standards, and Agreement on Redressal of Trade Grievances between Pakistan and India. The two sides have also agreed to open the branches of their central banks in each other’s country. Likewise, there are hopes for a liberal business visa regime too.

Implementation on these MOUs would help in bilateral trade dispute settlement and would reduce the cost and bureaucratic delays over quality testing and custom matters. The presence of Indian banks operating in Pakistan and Pakistani banks working in India would facilitate opening of LCs on both sides.

The most positive aspect of recent trade talks for energy starved industries of Pakistan is the possibility to import energy from India. Despite all the recent positive developments one needs to be mindful that it is a humble beginning.

Things will not yield positive results unless both the sides are genuinely interested in promoting people-to-people connectivity both through ease of visas and through a non-restrictive mode and port of entries.

Let me reiterate at the cost of repetition that amidst global financial crisis, Euro-zone turmoil and increased fuel prices one needs to explore alternative markets. We have a huge potential to increase regional trade not only with India but also with other neighbours, such as Iran and Afghanistan.

For decades, various internal and external actors did not let us work together. It is one of the rare moments when external powers, especially the US, looks for stability in the region and would support regional cooperation.

 

The writer heads Sustainable Development Policy Institute. He can be contacted at suleri@sdpi.org

 

The question of  media literacy
A massive teaching programme on media literacy is highly needed at the moment
By Muhammad Aftab Alam

Citizens for Free and Responsible Media, Pakistan (CFRM-Pakistan), an online group of not more than 164 assertive citizens, has developed a “guide to anchoring and reporting on news channels”. The guide provides a basic checklist of what a viewer should be aware of while watching news channels.

The checklist, which is in English and consists of twenty 20 points, attempts to provide a distinction between a good anchor/reporter and a bad one. It is, in fact, a nice compilation of internationally accepted and practised norms and ethics for anchors and reporters on electronic media in the world. Shared through a facebook page — having more than 1100 fans — the checklist is in English and can be accessed by only those who are part of the online community.

The development of the checklist and sharing through social media is a welcome step. However, according to statistics, not more than 20 million Pakistanis i.e. 11pc of the total population have access to Internet and only 5 million Pakistanis are part of social media i.e., facebook, twitter, wordpress, etc.

Since the checklist is in English and shared online, what about 90pc of population who have no access to Internet and cannot read/understand English? Similarly, the checklist is about anchoring and news reporting, therefore, what about the other categories of the media programmes such as sitcom, drama, sports, and educational media, etc. Advertisements are also among the critical media content, which has strong bearing on the viewers and require skillful audience to understand the ‘messages’ therein.

Nadeem Iqbal, Coordinator of the Network for Consumer Protection — civil society group working on consumer protection for the last many years — argues whatever is being run on media has some apparent and some less apparent or hidden messages. In many of the cases, the media seem to mislead the audiences, avert their attentions from a particular issue, or divert them towards a non-issue. He further says that media in Pakistan is advertising-based and not viewers-based. Since there are no specific advertisement regulations in the country, everyone — literate, semi-literate, and illiterate — is now exposed to all kinds of messages on media through programmes and advertisements.

The code of conduct of the Pakistan Electronic Media Regulatory Authority (PEMRA) for programmes and advertisement is least enforced regulation. Due to absence of any regulatory check, he believes, the advertisements are now being presented in the shape documentaries and songs, which is deceptive and misleading. Most dangerous is the situation when media do not inform the audience about viewers’ suitability for the programmes, he says.

Adnan Rehmat, a well-known media development expert and member of the core committee of the CFRM-Pakistan, believes that “a very sophisticated knowledge and skill is required for viewers to deal with the situation. CFRM-Pakistan is a first and foremost initiative in the country to develop understanding of the viewers about the media and media ethics.”

With its limited capacity and outreach, Mr. Rehmat notes, the forum is endeavoring to introduce a culture of media watch and citizens’ education about media in the country. Nevertheless, he agrees that the “forum cannot by any mean cater for needs of entire viewers’ community of the country. A massive nation-wide ‘media literacy’ campaign, however, is required to satisfy the needs of millions of television viewers in the country.”

But, what is ‘media literacy?’ Is it different from existing media education, being provided at the mass communication departments?

What is media literacy?

The research shows that media literacy is quite different from media education. It is all about education of media consumers and least about media practitioners. The term ‘media literacy’ was first defined by the participants of the National Leadership Conference on Media Literacy in Maryland USA in 1992.

According to the definition, media literacy is “the ability of a citizen to access, analyse, and produce information for specific outcome.” Elizabeth Thoman, founder of Media and Value — a premier magazine on media literacy, which emerged in 1977 — defined media literacy as the ability to choose and select, the ability to challenge and question, the ability to be conscious about what’s going on around us — and not be passive and vulnerable.

Patricia Aufderheide, a professor of communication studies in the School of Communication at American University in Washington, wrote that the images and sounds being relayed through the media, including Internet contain a variety of messages and information. Media literacy empowers the citizens to decode, evaluate, and analyse such constructed and politically, ideologically, and commercially implicated media messages, she believes.

State of media and media literacy in Pakistan

In the developed world, media literacy is a well-researched concept and part of mainstream academic discourse. In Pakistan, however, the concept seems to be at a very primitive stage. Though the electronic media landscape in the country has expanded and from one state-run television channel to more than eighty Pakistani satellite channels, including more than thirty-five news and current affairs channels are operating accessible at the moment.

Newspapers circulation, according to sources at federal ministry of information and broadcast, has doubled over the period of past ten years — from two million to four million. The number of universities with mass communications or journalism department has increased from six public sector universities to over 30 of universities during the past ten years.

Advertising market has expanded manifold. However, except for a few limited initiatives — CFRM-Pakistan, UKS Foundation, and Society for Alternative Media and Research (SAMAR) — nowhere in the academics or in civil society any substantive effort has been made toward the promotion of media literacy. PEMRA, which is supposed to be custodian of rights of media consumers, seems to be completely indifferent to the issue.

Media literacy: whose responsibility?

In view of the above, the semi-literate Pakistani society seems to be at the mercy of the television channels and other media outlets for all their vague, misleading, and least regulated programmes and promotions. Worldwide best practices show that in the United Kingdom (UK), the Office of Communication or Ofcom — the communications regulator in the UK — has duty to promote media literacy.

In the United State of America (USA), a variety of governmental and non-governmental organisations have been embarking on the promotion of media literacy. In Australia, New Zealand and Canada, media literacy is part of school curricula. In China and Hong Kong, partnerships among the market, regulator, and interest groups to promote such initiatives have proved to be quite effective and workable.

How to promote media literacy in Pakistan?

Pakistan is a semi-literate society, where people have limited understanding of their rights. No doubt, over the years, media have played a vital role in sensitisation about the rights among citizens. Nevertheless, media have its own interests and cannot necessarily ensure protection of media consumers’ rights. Therefore, Rehmat is of the view that there is a need to institutionalise media literacy within the existing education system.

A massive teaching programme on media literacy is highly needed at the moment. He suggests that the academia should move forward and join hands with the concerned citizens’ groups to undertake thorough research on media literacy from local perspective. Nadeem Iqbal, on the other hand, suggests introducing orientation session for marketing staff advertiser to educate them about ethics. Most importantly, as a primary protector of the citizens’ rights, the role of government and the media regulator is highly important for promotion of media literacy among the audiences. A comprehensive media policy, which should holistically cover all aspects of media, advertisements and media literacy, is also highly needed, Iqbal says.

 

The writer is Islamabad-based media law and policy expert and Executive Director of the Institute for Research, Advocacy & Development (IRADA). He can be reached at aftabadvocate@gmail.com and aftab@irada.org.pk

 

 

   

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